Elche vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Even if temporarily, Alaves will be looking to rise from the La Liga bottom three when they travel to Elche. Sitting 14th, Elche have been on a steady rise, especially when playing at home. That’s why a prediction for them to win this match sticks out.
The hosts are coming into this game off the back of a loss away to Celta Vigo. They fell 3-1, their first defeat in four matches, and will be happy to be back at home for this encounter.
Eight of Elche’s nine wins this season were achieved in home matches. The latest of them was against Atletico Madrid, a highlight of their three straight home wins ahead of this encounter.
Alaves have had a tougher run in their recent matches, which has seen Babazorros drop to the relegation zone. Their 4-2 loss at home to Athletic Bilbao left them a point below safety, their last 10 matches having returned just two wins.
They lost four times in those 10 games, and away matches haven’t offered much comfort. The visitors have lost six times in their last 10 games on the road.
They will, however, be looking to complete a league double here, having won 3-1 in the reverse meeting.
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Elche v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.32 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.22 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Elche and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Elche vs Alavés match is: Alaves wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Elche and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.64% for a win of Elche against Alavés with odds of 2.39 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Elche vs Alavés is 27.51% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Elche with odds of 3.42 at Melbet.
Elche - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Elche Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 50.64% | 2.39 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.33% | 1.95 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 71.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Elche | 28.34% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Elche vs Alavés Form
Elche and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
|
15
|
43 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 |
Elche and Alavés Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Elche vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
11 May 2021 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2020 - LaLiga
Elche against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
I. Pena
DefenderA. Pedrosa
H. Fort
B. Sangare
L. Petrot
MidfielderJ. Nwankwo Donald
F. Redondo
M. Neto
G. Diangana
J. Piera
L. Cepeda
Josan
R. Fernandez
G. Swiderski
DefenderJ. Pacheco
V. Koski
Y. Enriquez
E. Munoz
MidfielderC. Benavidez
A. Guevara
Calebe
D. Suarez
A. Manas
M. Diaz
Missing players
Y. de Santiago Alonso
ForwardR. Mir
C. Alena
ForwardL. Boye
Most goals and assists
Elche
Alavés
A. Silva
(10 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
M. Neto
(5 Assists)
, 
A. Rodriguez
(5 Assists)
,
G. Valera
(5 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
Elche - Alavés Key Points
- Elche won their last three home matches.
- Elche won their last home match against Alaves.
- Eight of Elche’s last nine wins this season came at home.
- 11 of Alaves’ 16 defeats this season were away from home.
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Our Elche vs Alavés Prediction
With three wins in their last four matches, Elche look to be pulling a great escape from the relegation zone, where they resided a few weeks back. Their opponents, on the other hand, have not had a good run in recent times, winning just once in the last five matches.
Their away form isn’t remarkable either, as they lost 11 of their 17 league matches on the road. This is the kind of form that has kept Alaves stuck in the bottom three. Our prediction for Elche v Alaves is that Alaves wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Elche Alavés
| Elche vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 2.31 | 2.39 | +3.5% |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.4 | -1.2% |
| Alavés wins | 3.44 | 3.42 | -0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Elche is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.3% and is now 41.8% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
