Damac FC vs Al Ahli Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League

Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
23/02/2026 14:00
Al Ahli

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions

Saudi Pro League title hopefuls Al Ahli travel to lowly Damac on Monday looking to strengthen their title push. Currently in third place in the table, Al Ahli have won almost 40 more points than Damac, who sit third from bottom. Let's have a look at a prediction for this match.

Damac are looking to claw their way off the relegation zone and will know a big win over their title-chasing visitors could spark a season turnaround. Fabio Carille’s men have won just two of their 21 games and, with 10 losses, have accumulated 15 points.

They are, however, just one point from safety and less than 10 points from the 10th spot. Faris Al-Janub lost at home to Al Shabab 3-1 on Friday.

Al Ahli were in action on Thursday and hammered the bottom team, Al Najma, 4-1 at home. The win extended their current unbeaten run to 14 games.

Matthias Jaissle’s men, whose last loss came two months ago, have failed to win just twice in this streak. The Royals have won 16 league fixtures and drawn five times.

They are tied on 53 points with league leaders Al Hilal and are just one point ahead of third-placed Al Nassar. In this hotly contested race, Nadi Al-Umam will know that any slip-up could mean the end of their title chances.

Al Ahli haven’t lost any of the last six duels with Damac and are on a three-match winning run against their hosts.

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Damac FC v Al Ahli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
9 5.4 1.31
Melbet
7.55 4.65 1.33
Betwinner
8.6 5.45 1.25
Bet365
7.5 3.9 1.36
Roobet
7.8 4.6 1.39
Check all Damac FC vs Al Ahli odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Damac FC and Al Ahli?

Our prediction for the Damac FC vs Al Ahli match is: more than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/02/2026 between Damac FC and Al Ahli in Saudi Pro League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 6.7% for a win of Damac FC against Al Ahli with odds of 9.5 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Damac FC vs Al Ahli is 25.85% with odds of 5.45 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 67.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Ahli vs Damac FC with odds of 1.4 at Shangrila.

Damac FC - Al Ahli Prediction and Best Odds:

Damac FC Al Ahli Prediction Probability Odds
Al Ahli wins 67.45% 1.4 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 52.98% 1.85 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 53.13%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Al Ahli 38.92% 4 at Bet365

Damac FC vs Al Ahli Form

Damac FC and Al Ahli's standings in the Saudi Pro League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Al Ahli
81 34 25 6 3 +46
16 Damac FC
29 34 6 11 17 -23

Damac FC and Al Ahli Last Matches

Damac FC
Damac FC Last matches
L L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
1 :  3
Al Shabab

12 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
2 :  1
Al-Taawoun FC

6 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
2 :  0
Damac FC

3 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
0 :  0
Al-Kholood

30 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Neom SC
3 :  0
Damac FC

26 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Hazm
2 :  1
Damac FC
L D L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
1 :  3
Al Shabab

12 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
2 :  1
Al-Taawoun FC

3 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
0 :  0
Al-Kholood

21 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
1 :  2
Al Nasr

13 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
1 :  1
Al-Ittihad Jeddah

4 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
0 :  2
Al Hilal
W L D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
2 :  0
Damac FC

30 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Neom SC
3 :  0
Damac FC

26 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Hazm
2 :  1
Damac FC

17 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Fayha FC
1 :  1
Damac FC

9 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Khaleej Club
4 :  0
Damac FC

30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Okhdood Club
0 :  1
Damac FC
Al Ahli
Al Ahli Last matches
D W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  1
Al-Najma

16 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
4 :  3
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab
2 :  5
Al Ahli

9 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Wahda FC (UAE)
0 :  0
Al Ahli

5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
2 :  0
Al-Hazm

2 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
0 :  0
Al Ahli
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  1
Al-Najma

16 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Ahli
4 :  3
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

5 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
2 :  0
Al-Hazm

28 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  0
Al-Ittifaq FC

20 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  1
Al-Khaleej Club

14 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
2 :  1
Al-Taawoun FC
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab
2 :  5
Al Ahli

9 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League

Al Wahda FC (UAE)
0 :  0
Al Ahli

2 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
0 :  0
Al Ahli

24 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Neom SC
0 :  3
Al Ahli

17 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Kholood
0 :  1
Al Ahli

10 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Okhdood Club
0 :  1
Al Ahli

Damac FC vs Al Ahli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Damac FC

0 %

Draw

25 %

Al Ahli

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.25
Total goals
75%
BTTS
1.25
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

21 Feb 2025 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
0 :  2
Al Ahli

20 Sept 2024 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  2
Damac FC

2 May 2024 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  1
Damac FC

9 Nov 2023 - Saudi Pro League

Damac FC
2 :  2
Al Ahli
Damac FC vs Al Ahli Prediction

Damac FC against Al Ahli Lineups: Starting 11

Damac FC

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
Kewin
12
S. Alhwsawi
15
J. Harkass
3
A. Bedrane
13
A. Al Obaid
7
A. Al-Qahtani
8
V. Vada
6
T. Abdu
20
D. Al-Anazi
11
Y. Meite
2
M. Sylla
10
E. Millot
17
I. Toney
7
R. Mahrez
79
F. Kessie
6
V. Atangana
13
W. Galeno
27
A. Majrashi
46
R. Hamed
3
R. Ibanez
2
Z. Hawsawi
16
E. Mendy

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Al Ahli

Substitutes

Damac FC
Damac FC
Goalkeeper

M. Al Bagawi

N. Al Ghamdi

Defender

A. Al-Khaibre

H. Rabei

Midfielder

K. Al-Sumairi

N. Al Saadi

A. Al Obaid 88'

Forward

M. Alsalkhadi

T. Abdu 80'

J. Okita

A. Al-Qahtani 66'

Y. Naji

Al Ahli
Al Ahli
Goalkeeper

S. Al-Jadani

A. Al-Sanbi

Defender

M. Sulaiman

M. Yousef

A. Majrashi 88'

Midfielder

Z. Aljohani

Z. Hawsawi 88'

E. Al-Muwallad

Forward

F. Albrikan

E. Millot 76'

S. Abu Al-Shamat

R. Mahrez 88'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Damac FC
CD Huachipato Al Ahli
Top Goalscorer
Argentina V. Vada (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England I. Toney (32 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina V. Vada (6 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria R. Mahrez (8 Assists)

Damac FC - Al Ahli Key Points

  1. Three of the last four meetings between Damac and Al Ahli have seen over 3.5 goals.
  2. Al Ahli have scored three or more goals six times in their last 10 games.
  3. Damac have conceded 36 goals in 21 league outings.
  4. Al Ahli have scored 44 league goals.
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Our Damac FC vs Al Ahli Prediction

Our prediction for Damac v Al Ahli is for more than 3.5 goals. Al Ahli are in a hotly contested title race, and any slight mishap will see them lose ground. Goal difference is keeping the visitors from ascending to the summit in the league, and therefore, they will be seeking a big win.

Al Ahli are a free-flowing attacking team and are averaging more than two goals a game in the league. As they are facing a Damac team with one of the league's most porous defences, Al Ahli could lead the way in a high-scoring affair. 

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Damac FC Al Ahli

Damac FC vs Al Ahli Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Damac FC wins 9.75 9.5 -2.6%
Draw 5.25 5.45 +3.8%
Al Ahli wins 1.24 1.4 +12.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Al Ahli is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 80.6% and is now 71.4% (-9.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.