Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League
Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
After defeats at the weekend and a blow to their league hopes, Derry City and St Patricks Athletic face off on Monday in the rescheduled matchday 33. This match at the Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in Derry between the 5th-placed ‘Candystripes’ and the 3rd-placed ‘Saints’ could be a cagey affair with our match prediction backing the hosts on a double chance.
Ahead of this weekend’s matches, Derry have 41 points from 33 matches (W9, D14, L10) and are seven points above the relegation zone. St Patricks have 59 points from their 33 matches (W17, D8, L8) and are six points behind Shamrock Rovers, although with a game in hand.
Derry lost 2-0 away at Drogheda on Friday, ending their six-game unbeaten competitive run (W4, D2). That sequence also saw them qualify for the final of the FAI Cup, which remains their realistic hope of European football. Yet, three wins from their last four home competitive games (D1) make them a stubborn opponent.
Shelbourne defeated St Patricks 2-1 at home on Friday, ending the Saints' three-game winning streak in the league. That defeat also complicated their hopes of catching the leaders, although wins in each of their last four away league matches give hope of getting back to winning ways, although their recent head-to-head record is poor.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Derry City v St Patricks Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.35 | 3.25 | 2.03 |
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3.58 | 3.44 | 2.00 |
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3.43 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
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3.43 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
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3.43 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derry City and St Patricks?
Our prediction for the Derry City vs St Patricks match is: Derry City or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2026 between Derry City and St Patricks in Airtricity League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.89% for a win of Derry City against St Patricks with odds of 3.58 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derry City vs St Patricks is 26.99% with odds of 3.44 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.13% chance ⭐ for a win of St Patricks vs Derry City with odds of 2.25 at Shangrila.
Derry City vs St Patricks Form
Derry City and St Patricks's standings in the Airtricity League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
59 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +26 |
|
6
|
41 | 33 | 9 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
Derry City and St Patricks Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League
10 Oct 2026 - FAI Cup
18 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
6 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
6 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
7 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
19 Jul 2026 - FAI Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League
10 Oct 2026 - FAI Cup
14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
21 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
14 Aug 2026 - FAI Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League
19 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
5 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup
28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2026 - Airtricity League
11 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
5 Sept 2026 - FAI Cup
28 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
16 Aug 2026 - FAI Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
14 Sept 2026 - Airtricity League
21 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
9 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
10 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League
26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
Derry City vs St Patricks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Aug 2026 - Airtricity League
22 May 2026 - Airtricity League
16 Mar 2026 - Airtricity League
29 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League
23 Jun 2025 - Airtricity League
5 May 2025 - Airtricity League
Derry City - St Patricks Key Points
- Derry City have avoided defeat in six of their last seven competitive matches.
- Derry City are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Irish league.
- St Patricks lost three of their last six competitive matches.
- St Patricks failed to win six of their last ten away league matches.
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Our Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction
Defeat to Shelbourne last Friday was a big blow to St Patricks’ title hopes, as they now need Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians to slip, while they can’t afford to drop more points. Derry City also lost their recent game, which keeps their continental hopes only on the FAI Cup.
Derry City haven’t lost to St Patricks since March 2025, winning two and drawing four – all those stalemates in a row. That gives the home fans slight hope of avoiding defeat here, so our Derry City vs St Patricks prediction is Derry City or draw.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
