Derby County vs West Brom Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
There's Friday night action in the Championship as two midlands sides clash. Derby County host West Bromwich Albion at Pride Park with the Rams seeking to improve their home form against a Baggies team that have been simply dreadful away from home. Who will we back in our match prediction for this testing game for both teams?
The current Championship table shows that Derby have the edge in terms of league form, with the Rams occupying 10th spot in the table, one of four teams on 41 points. West Brom's predicament is more alarming with the Throstles now 19th in the table with 31 points, three clear of the relegation spots, but with many teams below them having at least one game in hand.
County come into this game in relatively good form in the league with three wins in their last four games. They were beaten at home 2-1 by Wrexham and 3-1 in the FA Cup by Premier League Leeds Utd, but followed that with two fine away wins, a 1-0 win at Preston at the weekend and a 2-1 win at Charlton on Tuesday night.
WBA's recent form is awful and a real concern. Their one bright spot was a 6-5 win on penalties in the FA Cup after a 2-2 draw at Swansea. Prior to that, they had lost 2-1 to Leicester, then lost 3-2 at home to Middlesbrough and on Tuesday were thrashed 5-0 at home by Norwich City.
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Derby County v West Brom Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.15 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.13 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.2 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.2 | 2.66 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and West Brom?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs West Brom match is: Derby wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2026 between Derby County and West Brom in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.96% for a win of Derby County against West Brom with odds of 2.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs West Brom is 23.2% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.84% chance ⭐ for a win of West Brom vs Derby County with odds of 2.95 at LSbet.
Derby County - West Brom Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County West Brom Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 51.96% | 2.7 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.66% | 2.35 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 27.92% | 6 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs West Brom Form
Derby County and West Brom's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
21
|
51 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -10 |
Derby County and West Brom Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
12 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs West Brom Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Dec 2021 - Championship
8 Jul 2020 - Championship
Derby County against West Brom Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
R. O'Donnell
DefenderD. Sanderson
C. Forsyth
MidfielderO. Fraulo
L. Thompson
C. Blackett-Taylor
L. Salvesen
K. Jackson
A. Weimann
J. Griffiths
DefenderC. Mepham
A. Gilchrist
C. Taylor
MidfielderJ. Wallace
A. Mowatt
ForwardJ. Maja
S. Iling-Junior
D. Dike
Most goals and assists
Derby County
West Brom
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
I. Price
(9 Goals)
, 
A. Heggebo
(9 Goals)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
M. Johnston
(8 Assists)
Derby County - West Brom Key Points
- Derby have won three of their last four Championship matches.
- West Brom have lost all their last four Championship league games.
- Including wins on penalties, Derby have won all the last six matches between the two teams.
- West Brom have lost ten league games away from home in a row.
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Our Derby County vs West Brom Prediction
Our prediction for the Derby County v West Bromwich Albion Championship match is: Derby wins.
West Brom's recent away form is so poor, that we had to double check the facts that they had lost ten league games away from home in a row, and not only that, they have not won any of their last four home or away in the league and were beaten 5-0 at home by Norwich in midweek. Derby's home form isn't that great, they've generally been better away from home, but they are the team to back here given West Brom's form.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County West Brom
| Derby County vs West Brom | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.77 | 2.7 | -2.5% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.3 | +6.5% |
| West Brom wins | 2.72 | 2.95 | +8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.1% and is now 37.0% (0.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
