Derby County vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
The international break must have come at a wrong time for Derby County, who are now seeking a sixth straight win. The Rams, now sitting 10th, host 15th placed Watford in their next Championship match. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
Derby County went into the break off a 2-1 away win at Blackburn. That was their fifth straight victory, and with the momentum, they’ll be looking to leap into the top six.
The hosts are just two points away from the playoff slots, having garnered 23. With only two clean sheets in the last 10 matches, defence is the area John Eustace’s charges need to work on.
Watford will arrive for this match with an impressive run against Derby County. They are unbeaten in their last five meetings with the Rams. In this fixture, the visitors have claimed four wins in five matchups.
However, that is about to change, if recent form for both sides is anything to go by. Ahead of the international break, Watford had failed to win in their latest two outings. Both these matches ended in draws, and they only have one win in four.
Watford have been poor on the road this season. They are winless so far, after playing seven away league matches, registering just three points. This run places them as the poorest away side in the Championship.
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Derby County v Watford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.2 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.22 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.1 | 3.05 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Watford?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Watford match is: Derby County wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Derby County and Watford in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.91% for a win of Derby County against Watford with odds of 2.52 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Watford is 32.63% with odds of 3.22 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Derby County with odds of 3.15 at Shangrila.
Derby County - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 40.91% | 2.52 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.51% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 15.28% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Derby County vs Watford Form
Derby County and Watford's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
16
|
57 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 |
Derby County and Watford Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
Derby County against Watford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderR. Nyambe
D. Batth
C. Forsyth
MidfielderL. Thompson
C. Blackett-Taylor
L. Salvesen
K. Jackson
A. Weimann
A. Marriott
DefenderJ. Abankwah
M. Alleyne
MidfielderM. Sissoko
N. Mendy
T. Ince
ForwardN. Irankunda
V. Semedo
M. Doumbia
Missing players
R. Vata
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Watford
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
L. Kjerrumgaard
(10 Goals)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
I. Louza
(9 Assists)
Derby County - Watford Key Points
- Derby County are coming off five straight wins.
- Watford have lost four of their seven away league matches.
- With three points on the road, Watford are the poorest away side.
- Derby won each of their last three away matches in the Championship.
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Our Derby County vs Watford Prediction
Derby County have suffered straight defeats in their last two visits to Watford but will feel this is the best time to change things. The Rams come into this game with the better run, having posted five straight wins ahead of the Saturday meeting.
They face a Watford side that has struggled on the road this season. Watford are the poorest travelers, with only three points clinched from a possible 21. Our prediction for Derby County v Watford is: Derby County wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Watford
| Derby County vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.5 | 2.52 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.22 | -0.9% |
| Watford wins | 2.8 | 3.15 | +12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 39.7% (-0.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Derby County vs. Watford game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Watford when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
