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Derby County vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
22/11/2025 10:00
Watford

Prediction :

 

Derby County wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

The international break must have come at a wrong time for Derby County, who are now seeking a sixth straight win. The Rams, now sitting 10th, host 15th placed Watford in their next Championship match. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.

Derby County went into the break off a 2-1 away win at Blackburn. That was their fifth straight victory, and with the momentum, they’ll be looking to leap into the top six.

The hosts are just two points away from the playoff slots, having garnered 23. With only two clean sheets in the last 10 matches, defence is the area John Eustace’s charges need to work on.

Watford will arrive for this match with an impressive run against Derby County. They are unbeaten in their last five meetings with the Rams. In this fixture, the visitors have claimed four wins in five matchups.

However, that is about to change, if recent form for both sides is anything to go by. Ahead of the international break, Watford had failed to win in their latest two outings. Both these matches ended in draws, and they only have one win in four.

Watford have been poor on the road this season. They are winless so far, after playing seven away league matches, registering just three points. This run places them as the poorest away side in the Championship.

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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Watford Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.45 3.2 2.82
Betfred
2.63 3.1 2.88
William Hill
2.5 3 2.88
Betway
2.5 3.1 2.8
Unibet
2.48 3.15 2.9
Check all Derby County vs Watford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Watford?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Watford match is: Derby County wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Derby County and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.73% for a win of Derby County against Watford with odds of 2.63 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Watford is 32.72% with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Derby County with odds of 2.9 at Unibet.

Derby County vs Watford Form

Derby County and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Derby County
Derby County
23 15 6 5 4 1
15
Watford
Watford
20 15 5 5 5 1

Derby County and Watford Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Derby County

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Hull

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Derby County

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
QPR

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Norwich

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Derby County
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Hull

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
QPR

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Norwich

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Preston North End
D W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Derby County

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Derby County

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Derby County

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Derby County

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  1
Derby County

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Derby County
Watford
Watford Last matches
L W L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Bristol City

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Watford

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Middlesbrough

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Watford

22 Oct 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
West Brom

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Bristol City

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Middlesbrough

22 Oct 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
West Brom

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Oxford United

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Hull

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  1
Blackburn
D L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Watford

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Watford

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Watford

22 Sept 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Watford

Derby County vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

0 %

Draw

0 %

Watford

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (home team)
2
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  2
Watford

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Derby County
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Derby County vs Watford last Lineups

Derby County

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
J. Zetterstrom
6
S. Langas
28
D. Sanderson
5
M. Clarke
23
J. Ward
42
B. Clark
18
D. Ozoh
20
C. Elder
25
B. Brereton
7
P. Agyemang
9
C. Morris
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
20
M. Doumbia
66
N. Irankunda
29
J. Petris
39
E. Kayembe
10
I. Louza
16
M. Bola
6
M. Pollock
4
K. Keben
3
M. Alleyne
1
E. Selvik

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Watford

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

C. Nelson

O. Beck

M. Johnston

Midfielder

L. Thompson

L. Travis

D. Ozoh

Watford
Watford
Defender

C. Wiley

Midfielder

G. Chakvetadze

J. Grieves

R. Vata

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Morocco I. Louza (6 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Ward (3 Assists)
USA P. Agyemang (3 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (4 Assists)

Derby County and Watford Stats in Championship

Derby County
Derby County
Watford
Watford
40%
Wins
33%
33%
Draw
33%
27%
Losses
33%
2.6
Total goals per match
2.47
1.33
Goals scored per match
1.27
1.27
Goals conceded per match
1.2
40%
Over 2.5
53%
60%
Under 2.5
47%
67%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sheet
7%

Derby County - Watford Key Points

  1. Derby County are coming off five straight wins.
  2. Watford have lost four of their seven away league matches.
  3. With three points on the road, Watford are the poorest away side.
  4. Derby won each of their last three away matches in the Championship.
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Our Derby County vs Watford Prediction

Derby County have suffered straight defeats in their last two visits to Watford but will feel this is the best time to change things. The Rams come into this game with the better run, having posted five straight wins ahead of the Saturday meeting.

They face a Watford side that has struggled on the road this season. Watford are the poorest travelers, with only three points clinched from a possible 21. Our prediction for Derby County v Watford is: Derby County wins.

Prediction :

 

Derby County wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Watford Prediction

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