Bristol City vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Bristol City
22/11/2025 07:30
Swansea

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions

Bristol City and Swansea City will be guided by ambitions to return to winning ways when the Championship resumes. The two sides face off at the Ashton Gate Stadium on Saturday, Bristol sitting eighth and Swansea 18th. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Bristol City left for the international break with their top-six target taking a big hit. They collected just one point from a possible nine in their latest three outings.

That point came in their latest outing, a 1-1 draw with Watford, which left them two points below the top six. With only three goals in their last four league matches, Bristol will want to start with an improvement in attack.

Swansea have also had issues in their forward line all season. The visitors have scored 15 goals in 15 matches, which accounts for their low placing.

They’ve managed just one win in their last seven league matches, though there’s no threat of falling into the bottom three just yet. A 4-1 loss to Ipswich left the Swans seven points above the relegation region.

It was their fifth defeat in seven in the Championship, a run that should be arrested before it’s too late. The visitors are unbeaten in the last two meetings with Bristol, which offers some hope. They even posted a 1-0 win here on their last visit.

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Bristol City v Swansea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.97 3.35 3.95
Melbet
1.97 3.3 3.9
Betwinner
1.95 3.34 3.91
Bet365
1.91 3.4 3.9
Roobet
1.94 3.4 3.9
Check all Bristol City vs Swansea odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Bristol City and Swansea?

Our prediction for the Bristol City vs Swansea match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Bristol City and Swansea in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.46% for a win of Bristol City against Swansea with odds of 2 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bristol City vs Swansea is 24.31% with odds of 3.5 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Bristol City with odds of 4.05 at Shangrila.

Bristol City - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:

Bristol City Swansea Prediction Probability Odds
Bristol City wins 38.46% 2 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 58.62% 1.8 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 56.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bristol City 18.94% 5 at Bet365

Bristol City vs Swansea Form

Bristol City and Swansea's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Swansea
64 46 18 10 18 -2
12 Bristol City
62 46 17 11 18 0

Bristol City and Swansea Last Matches

Bristol City
Bristol City Last matches
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Bristol City

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Blackburn

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
5 :  1
Bristol City

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Birmingham

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Bristol City
L D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Blackburn

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Birmingham

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  2
QPR

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

21 Sept 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  3
Oxford United
L W D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Bristol City

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
5 :  1
Bristol City

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Bristol City

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Bristol City

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  3
Bristol City

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Fulham
2 :  0
Bristol City
Swansea
Swansea Last matches
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  4
Ipswich Town

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Swansea

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  1
Swansea

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Norwich

22 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
QPR
D L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  4
Ipswich Town

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Norwich

22 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
QPR

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  3
Leicester

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Millwall
W L W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Swansea

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  1
Swansea

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Swansea

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Swansea

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Swansea

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Swansea

Bristol City vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bristol City

40 %

Draw

20 %

Swansea

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
0.6
Goals scored
0.6
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

9 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea

29 Sept 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Bristol City

10 Mar 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Swansea

20 Aug 2021 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea

25 Aug 2018 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Bristol City
Bristol City vs Swansea Prediction

Bristol City against Swansea Lineups: Starting 11

Bristol City

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

23
R. Vitek
19
G. Tanner
16
R. Dickie
26
Z. Vyner
2
R. McCrorie
10
S. Twine
4
A. Randell
33
A. Mehmeti
21
N. Borges
30
S. Armstrong
18
E. Riis
33
A. Idah
20
L. Cullen
10
E. Ji-sung
16
I. Samuels-Smith
30
E. Gaibraith
6
M. Stamenic
2
J. Key
15
C. Burgess
26
K. Casey
35
Ronald
22
L. Vigouroux

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Swansea

Substitutes

Bristol City
Bristol City
Goalkeeper

M. O'Leary

Defender

C. Pring

H. Roberts

N. Borges 73'

Midfielder

J. Knight

E. Riis 59'

Y. Hirakawa

S. Twine 72'

E. Morrison

M. Sykes

R. McCrorie 58'

Forward

F. Mayulu

S. Armstrong 84'

O. Thomas

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

A. Fisher

Defender

R. Santos

I. Samuels-Smith 68'

Midfielder

J. Fulton

J. Key 78'

M. Yalcouye

G. Franco

M. Stamenic 65'

Z. Inoussa

E. Ji-sung 66'

Forward

Z. Vipotnik

L. Cullen 66'

M. Widell

B. Manuel

Missing players

Bristol City
Bristol City
Defender

L. McNally

Swansea
Swansea

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bristol City
CD Huachipato Swansea
Top Goalscorer
England S. Twine (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia Z. Vipotnik (23 Goals)
Best assists
Scotland R. McCrorie (6 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Tymon (7 Assists)

Bristol City - Swansea Key Points

  1. Bristol City scored more than a goal once in their last 10 outings.
  2. Swansea scored more than once in two of their previous 10 games.
  3. Seven of Swansea’s last 10 away games had under 2.5 goals netted.
  4. Eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Bristol City vs Swansea Prediction

Swansea have averaged one goal per game in their 15 league matches so far. Their low placing in the Championship standings is largely due to that. Here they come into a game that has in the recent past also been low-scoring.

Eight of their previous 10 meetings with Bristol produced less than three goals. Lately, Bristol haven't been scoring a lot either, and we could be headed to a match with limited attacking action. Our prediction for Bristol City v Swansea City is for less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bristol City Swansea

Bristol City vs Swansea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Bristol City wins 2.06 2 -2.9%
Draw 3.25 3.5 +7.7%
Swansea wins 3.6 4.05 +12.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bristol City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 48.5% and is now 50.0% (1.5%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.