Derby County vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
it's not been the best of starts to the new season for Derby County. The Rams are yet to win in the Championship and are 16th in the table. This weekend, they host ninth placed Swansea City. Looking at the stats,our prediction for this match is BTTS.
County finished eighth in the table last season, just two places and four points behind the final play-off position (though it'd be good enough this term). Losing three of their last five league games ended their promotion hopes.
There has been some unrest at the club with a proposed takeover not taking place.
They began the 2026-27 league season with a 2-1 away loss at Charlton. That was followed by a 2-2 home draw with Cardiff City last weekend, trailing twice in that game. The Rams have also been beaten 2-1 at home by Lincoln City in the Carabao Cup.
Both teams have scored in each of their last six competitive fixtures.
Swansea City have earned four points from their first two league fixtures of the new season following an early Carabao Cup exit to Birmingham City. Their one win came at Stoke in their opening match. Last weekend produced a goalless home draw against Sheffield United.
Both teams have scored in four of their last five away Championship matches.
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Derby County v Swansea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.30 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.22 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.22 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.22 | 3.19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Swansea?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Swansea match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2026 between Derby County and Swansea in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.83% for a win of Derby County against Swansea with odds of 2.43 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Swansea is 26.13% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Derby County with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
Derby County - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Swansea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins | 50.04% | 3.26 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.3% | 2.19 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea | 22.27% | 7.00 at Roobet |
Derby County vs Swansea Form
Derby County and Swansea's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 |
|
23
|
7 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 |
Derby County and Swansea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
Derby County vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
1 May 2019 - Championship
Derby County against Swansea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
R. Nyambe
MidfielderJ. Ward
F. Bilbija
O. Fraulo
O. Eames
S. Szmodics
R. Brewster
A. Fisher
DefenderJ. Seelt
T. Parente
MidfielderE. Just
R. Pereira Martins
M. Yeo
S. Eustaquio
T. Woodward
ForwardZ. Vipotnik
Missing players
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
ForwardP. Agyemang
C. Burgess
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Swansea
S. Szmodics
(3 Goals)
, 
B. Clark
(3 Goals)
A. Idah
(4 Goals)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
J. Tymon
(2 Assists)
, 
E. Ji-sung
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Widell
(2 Assists)
Derby County - Swansea Key Points
- Five of the last six Swansea league games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- The last six competitive games Derby has played have all seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six Swansea away league matches.
- Three of the last five games between these two clubs saw both sides get on the scoresheet.
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Our Derby County vs Swansea Prediction
Derby County really need to get their first league win of the season. Just a single point has been earned from their two league games played so far, and like their opponents they failed to get past round one of the Carabao Cup.
Both teams have scored in each of their league games played this season. The Swans have made a brighter start in the Championship and will be tough opponents for County this weekend. Our Derby County v Swansea prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Swansea
| Derby County vs Swansea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.25 | 2.43 | +8.0% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.30 | -4.3% |
| Swansea wins | 3.15 | 3.26 | +3.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Swansea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 30.7% (-1.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Derby County vs. Swansea game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Swansea when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
