Derby County vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
27/11/2024 15:00
Swansea

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

11th placed Derby County are home to Swansea City who are three places below them in the Championship table. Only a single point separates these two clubs after 16 games. Read our match prediction below.

Derby have been struggling for wins in recent weeks. They have only had one victory in their last seven league games and two in the last 11. Their last two league fixtures have both ended in 1-1 draws, most recently at Preston after going behind.

Home form has seen The Rams win four out of seven with only one loss to Norwich in September. Three goals were conceded in that loss but only two in their other six home league fixtures.

Swansea City lost a seven-goal thriller at home to Leeds on Sunday. They led twice and lost to a 91st minute goal. That was a rare high-scoring match for The Swans. Their other 15 league games have only seen 21 goals scored.

Only seven points have been earned from their eight away league fixtures. Those eight games have seen just 11 goals scored and 12 of their last 15 matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.

We go for under 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.

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Derby County vs Swansea Form

Derby County and Swansea's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Swansea
61 46 17 10 19 -5
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8

Derby County and Swansea Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
D D L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Derby County

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Plymouth

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Derby County

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Derby County

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Hull

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Derby County
W W L W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Plymouth

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Hull

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
QPR

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Norwich

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Cardiff

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  0
Bristol City
L D D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Derby County

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Derby County

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Derby County

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Derby County

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  0
Derby County
Swansea
Swansea Last matches
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  4
Leeds

10 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Swansea

5 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Watford

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  2
Swansea

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Millwall

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  0
Swansea
W D D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  4
Leeds

5 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Watford

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Millwall

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Stoke

29 Sept 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Bristol City

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Norwich
W L L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Swansea

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  2
Swansea

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  0
Swansea

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Swansea

2 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Swansea

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Swansea

Derby County vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

0 %

Draw

100 %

Swansea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

1 May 2019 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Derby County

Derby County against Swansea Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
19
K. Jackson
2
K. Wilson
35
C. Nelson
6
E. Cashin
20
C. Elder
17
K. Goudmijn
32
E. Adams
18
M. Harness
27
C. Blackett-Taylor
11
N. Mendez
9
Z. Vipotnik
25
M. Peart-Harris
20
L. Cullen
35
R. Pereira Martins
17
G. Franco
6
M. Grimes
14
J. Tymon
6
H. Darling
5
B. Cabango
26
K. Naughton
22
L. Vigouroux

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Swansea

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

N. Phillips

C. Forsyth

C. Elder 62'

S. Bradley

Midfielder

L. Thompson

K. Goudmijn 62'

B. Osborn

Forward

D. Brown

M. Harness 79'

J. Collins

K. Jackson 79'

T. Barkhuizen

C. Blackett-Taylor 62'

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

J. Mclaughlin

Defender

J. Key

K. Naughton 66'

N. Tjoe-a-On

N. Abbey

C. Christie

H. Darling 60'

Midfielder

J. Allen

F. Bianchini

Z. Vipotnik 66'

A. Abdulai

M. Peart-Harris 84'

J. Fulton

G. Franco 84'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Swansea
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales L. Cullen (11 Goals)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists)
England J. Yates (4 Assists)
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil R. Pereira Martins (5 Assists)

Derby County - Swansea Key Points

  1. Six of the last eight Derby home matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Eight away Swansea league games have only seen 11 goals scored.
  3. 12 of the last 15 Swansea games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  4. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of the last nine Derby matches.
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Our Derby County vs Swansea Prediction

It's an important time of the season for both these clubs. Some good results can see them become promotion play-off contenders. A few bad results though would see them in a relegation battle. They both lack consistency and at times struggle to score goals. 

Swansea may have scored three on Sunday but that's a rarity with only 11 goals in their other 15 games. Derby have a good home defensive record so our Derby v Swansea prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Derby County vs Swansea Prediction