Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
This Championship Matchday 36 clash sees Derby County host Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park on Saturday. The Rams will look to boost their chances of finishing in the playoff places with a win against the Owls. Check out our prediction below.
Derby County recovered from back-to-back losses to defeat 20th-placed Blackburn Rovers 3–1 in their most recent outing. That victory moved them to eighth in the standings with 51 points – six points adrift of the playoff places.
They thrashed Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 away earlier in the season and have won their last two home matches. The Derby-based outfit will also be eyeing revenge in Saturday's clash, having lost their last matchup against Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park.
Sheffield Wednesday have been the whipping boys in the English second tier this season. Off-field challenges plus underwhelming performances have left them bottom of the standings on negative points (-7).
They have failed to win 34 of their 35 Championship matches this season and are currently on a 13-match losing streak. Notably, they have conceded between 1–2 goals in nine of those 13 losses and stand little chance of turning things around at Pride Park on Saturday.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.28 | 5.6 | 10 |
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|
|
1.25 | 5.6 | 11.2 |
|
|
|
1.25 | 5.6 | 11.2 |
|
|
|
1.22 | 5 | 12 |
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|
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1.28 | 5.2 | 12 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday match is: Derby County win + 2–4 total goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.27% for a win of Derby County against Sheffield Wednesday with odds of 1.28 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday is 10.6% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County with odds of 12 at Bet365.
Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Sheffield Wednesday Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 63.27% | 1.28 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.44% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 33.62% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Form
Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
24
|
0 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | -60 |
Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
23 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
22 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
8 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
22 Feb 2026 - Championship
8 Feb 2026 - Championship
3 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 May 2023 - League One
8 May 2021 - Championship
1 Jan 2021 - Championship
Derby County against Sheffield Wednesday Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
R. O'Donnell
DefenderI. Gordon
C. Forsyth
MidfielderD. Ozoh
C. Allen
O. Eames
O. Fraulo
J. Banel
C. Morris
L. Stretch
DefenderC. McGhee
R. Johnson
J. Emery
MidfielderJ. Thornton
M. Nakamba
ForwardW. Grainger
J. Ndala
I. Ugbo
Missing players
L. Cooper
G. Siqueira
E. Weaver
ForwardG. Brown
Most goals and assists
Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Key Points
- Derby County have won their last two matches, both of which ended with between 2–4 total goals.
- Derby County’s last six home matches have produced between two and four goals.
- Sheffield Wednesday have lost their last 13 games, 10 of which ended with between 2–4 total goals.
- Eight of Sheffield Wednesday’s last nine away games have ended with 2–4 total goals.
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Our Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction
Sheffield Wednesday's Championship misfortunes have shown no sign of abating and they are unlikely to flip that narrative on Saturday. Notably, they have been vulnerable at the back, conceding at ease against opponents.
Derby County stand a good chance of both finding the net and winning this contest, but they haven't been solid at the back either. Hence, we are backing them to win, and the match to produce a good count of goals. Our Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction is Derby County win + 2–4 total goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Sheffield Wednesday
| Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 1.27 | 1.28 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0% |
| Sheffield Wednesday wins | 11 | 12 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 78.1% (-0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.