Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
07/03/2026 10:00
Sheffield Wednesday

Prediction :

 

Derby County win + 2–4 total goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions

This Championship Matchday 36 clash sees Derby County host Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park on Saturday. The Rams will look to boost their chances of finishing in the playoff places with a win against the Owls. Check out our prediction below.

Derby County recovered from back-to-back losses to defeat 20th-placed Blackburn Rovers 3–1 in their most recent outing. That victory moved them to eighth in the standings with 51 points – six points adrift of the playoff places. 

They thrashed Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 away earlier in the season and have won their last two home matches. The Derby-based outfit will also be eyeing revenge in Saturday's clash, having lost their last matchup against Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park. 

Sheffield Wednesday have been the whipping boys in the English second tier this season. Off-field challenges plus underwhelming performances have left them bottom of the standings on negative points (-7). 

They have failed to win 34 of their 35 Championship matches this season and are currently on a 13-match losing streak. Notably, they have conceded between 1–2 goals in nine of those 13 losses and stand little chance of turning things around at Pride Park on Saturday.

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Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.28 5.6 10
Melbet
1.25 5.6 11.2
Betwinner
1.25 5.6 11.2
Bet365
1.22 5 12
Roobet
1.28 5.2 12
Check all Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday match is: Derby County win + 2–4 total goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.27% for a win of Derby County against Sheffield Wednesday with odds of 1.28 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday is 10.6% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County with odds of 12 at Bet365.

Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Prediction and Best Odds:

Derby County Sheffield Wednesday Prediction Probability Odds
Derby County wins 63.27% 1.28 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 60.44% 1.88 at Stake
Both Team To Score 51.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County 33.62% 1.8 at Bet365

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Form

Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Derby County
69 46 20 9 17 +8
24 Sheffield Wednesday
0 46 2 12 32 -60

Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  1
Blackburn

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
4 :  2
Derby County

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Swansea

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Ipswich Town

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  1
Blackburn

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Swansea

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Ipswich Town

23 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
West Brom

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
4 :  2
Derby County

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  1
Derby County

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  3
Southampton

25 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

22 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  2
Millwall

8 Feb 2026 - Championship

Swansea
4 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  3
Southampton

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  2
Millwall

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  1
Wrexham

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Birmingham

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  1
Portsmouth

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Brentford
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

22 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

8 Feb 2026 - Championship

Swansea
4 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

17 %

Draw

17 %

Sheffield Wednesday

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  3
Derby County

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
4 :  2
Derby County

1 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday

7 May 2023 - League One

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  0
Derby County

8 May 2021 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Jan 2021 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  0
Derby County

Derby County against Sheffield Wednesday Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
J. Vickers
23
J. Ward
28
D. Sanderson
5
M. Clarke
2
D. Murkin
42
B. Clark
27
L. Travis
25
B. Brereton
19
S. Szmodics
10
R. Brewster
7
P. Agyemang
9
J. Lowe
12
J. Yates
45
T. Adaramola
17
C. McNiell
8
S. Ingelsson
24
J. Heskey
4
S. Fusire
2
L. Palmer
22
G. Otegbayo
6
D. Iorfa
1
P. Charles

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Sheffield Wednesday

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

R. O'Donnell

Defender

I. Gordon

C. Forsyth

Midfielder

D. Ozoh

R. Brewster 62'

C. Allen

O. Eames

O. Fraulo

B. Clark 89'

Forward

J. Banel

S. Szmodics 74'

C. Morris

P. Agyemang 75'

Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday
Goalkeeper

L. Stretch

Defender

C. McGhee

R. Johnson

J. Emery

Midfielder

J. Thornton

J. Yates 82'

M. Nakamba

Forward

W. Grainger

J. Ndala

C. McNiell 74'

I. Ugbo

S. Fusire 89'

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday
Defender

L. Cooper

G. Siqueira

E. Weaver

Forward

G. Brown

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Sheffield Wednesday
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Jamaica J. Lowe (4 Goals) England C. McNiell (4 Goals) England J. Yates (4 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Ward (9 Assists)
Best assists
Jamaica J. Lowe (4 Assists)

Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday Key Points

  1. Derby County have won their last two matches, both of which ended with between 2–4 total goals.
  2. Derby County’s last six home matches have produced between two and four goals.
  3. Sheffield Wednesday have lost their last 13 games, 10 of which ended with between 2–4 total goals.
  4. Eight of Sheffield Wednesday’s last nine away games have ended with 2–4 total goals.
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Our Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction

Sheffield Wednesday's Championship misfortunes have shown no sign of abating and they are unlikely to flip that narrative on Saturday. Notably, they have been vulnerable at the back, conceding at ease against opponents.

Derby County stand a good chance of both finding the net and winning this contest, but they haven't been solid at the back either. Hence, we are backing them to win, and the match to produce a good count of goals. Our Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction is Derby County win + 2–4 total goals.

Prediction :

 

Derby County win + 2–4 total goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Sheffield Wednesday

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Derby County wins 1.27 1.28 +0.8%
Draw 5.6 5.6 0%
Sheffield Wednesday wins 11 12 +9.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Derby County is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 78.1% (-0.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction