Derby County vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
This Championship matchday 12 fixture will see 19th-placed Derby County host eighth-placed QPR on Saturday at Pride Park. Can the Rams secure their second straight win this season against the Hoops to strengthen their survival bid? Here is our prediction.
The prospects aren't looking good for Derby County with just 12 matches into the season. The East Midlands club are already set for what is expected to be a seething battle to beat the drop. A run of just two wins, five draws and four defeats has seen them fall to 19th in the standings – just three points above the drop zone.
They snapped a five-match winless run on Tuesday by defeating Norwich 1-0. Notably, John Eustace's side have found the net in most of their games, but have struggled defensively. They have scored and conceded in seven of their 11 league matches this season.
After a slow start to the season, QPR have found their rhythm in recent games. They have won five of their last eight matches, drawing two. This includes a hard-fought 1-0 win away against Swansea in their last game.
Julien Stéphan's side's attack has been at the forefront of their recent resurgence, scoring in 10 of their 11 Championship matches. However, they struggled with porous defensive line, conceding in eight of those games.
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Derby County v QPR Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.22 | 2.51 |
|
|
2.79 | 3.22 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.26 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and QPR?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs QPR match is: Both team to score:
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Derby County and QPR in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.44% for a win of Derby County against QPR with odds of 2.9 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs QPR is 29.18% with odds of 3.55 at BC Game.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.37% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs Derby County with odds of 2.94 at BC Game.
Derby County - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County QPR Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| QPR wins | 39.37% | 2.94 at BC Game |
| Under 2.5 | 60.02% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: QPR | 14.34% | 6 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs QPR Form
Derby County and QPR's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
15
|
58 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | -12 |
Derby County and QPR Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs QPR Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
29 Nov 2021 - Championship
23 Jan 2021 - Championship
22 Apr 2019 - Championship
14 Dec 2016 - Championship
Derby County against QPR Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderR. Nyambe
D. Batth
MidfielderJ. Ward
L. Thompson
ForwardR. Brewster
L. Salvesen
A. Weimann
K. Jackson
B. Hamer
DefenderK. Morgan
L. Morrison
MidfielderI. Chair
P. Smyth
S. Field
I. Hayden
ForwardK. Dembele
M. Frey
Missing players
Z. Larkeche
Most goals and assists
Derby County
QPR
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
R. Kone
(10 Goals)
, 
R. Burrell
(10 Goals)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
N. Madsen
(6 Assists)
Derby County - QPR Key Points
- Derby County have both scored and conceded in seven of their 11 Championship matches this season.
- Both teams have found the net in four of Derby County’s last six Championship home matches.
- QPR have both scored and conceded in eight of their 11 Championship matches this season.
- Both teams have scored in five of QPR’s last six Championship away matches.
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Our Derby County vs QPR Prediction
This will be a difficult clash for both teams. After ending their five-match winless run on Tuesday, Derby County will look to build on that momentum on Saturday. However, they will face a stern challenge from in-form QPR, who sit 11 places above them in the standings.
Meanwhile, we expect both sides to find the net in this highly anticipated clash. They have both scored and conceded in their recent matches. Our Derby County vs QPR prediction is Both team to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County QPR
| Derby County vs QPR | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.25 | 2.9 | +28.9% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.55 | +1.4% |
| QPR wins | 3.1 | 2.94 | -5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- QPR is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 34.0% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
