Derby County vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Derby County hosts Portsmouth this weekend, both seeking back-to-back wins to boost their ambitions in the Championship. While mid-table side Derby wants to close in on the top six, Portsmouth are looking to move away from the bottom three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Derby County strolled to a 3-0 win over bottom side Sheffield Wednesday in their last outing. That was an expected result, and though their next match will be tougher, Derby will view Portsmouth as a beatable opponent.
The Rams lost only three times in the last 10 games, winning six, and they have three wins in their last six home matches.
These two sides haven't met a lot in recent times, but the last time Portsmouth won away to Derby was in 2002. On their most recent visit, Pompey suffered a 4-0 defeat, and ahead of this Saturday encounter, things don’t look so promising.
Portsmouth are coming from a 2-1 win against Blackburn Rovers and will be aware the challenge ahead is tougher. That win halted a three-game losing run, but their away form will bear the bigger concern.
This season, in nine league matches, Portsmouth have one away win. They are coming off four straight defeats on the road, and with six points, they are the poorest performers away from home.
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Derby County v Portsmouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.06 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.2 | 3.74 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.2 | 3.82 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.2 | 3.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Portsmouth?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Portsmouth match is: Derby County wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Derby County and Portsmouth in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.82% for a win of Derby County against Portsmouth with odds of 2.06 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Portsmouth is 23.36% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Derby County with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
Derby County - Portsmouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Portsmouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 56.82% | 2.06 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.61% | 2.25 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 31.34% | 3.15 at LSbet |
Derby County vs Portsmouth Form
Derby County and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
18
|
55 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 |
Derby County and Portsmouth Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Portsmouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
2 Apr 2024 - League One
18 Nov 2022 - League One
Derby County against Portsmouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
C. Nelson
D. Batth
MidfielderE. Adams
ForwardL. Salvesen
C. Blackett-Taylor
K. Jackson
A. Weimann
J. Bursik
MidfielderL. Le Roux
A. Segecic
Y. Min-hyeok
J. Swift
M. Pack
F. Umeh Chibueze
H. Blair
M. Kirk
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Portsmouth
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
A. Segecic
(10 Goals)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
J. Murphy
(6 Assists)
Derby County - Portsmouth Key Points
- Portsmouth are on four straight defeats on the road.
- Derby emerged victors in six of their last 10 matches.
- Derby have won three of their last six matches at home.
- Portsmouth are the worst performers in away matches in the Championship.
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Our Derby County vs Portsmouth Prediction
Derby County are desperate to return to their form between November and December, when they went on a five-match winning spree. They should feel confident enough coming into this one without a loss in the last two.
Playing at home will work for them, having beaten Portsmouth three times in the last five meetings they hosted. Portsmouth aren’t coming here on a strong run either, with four straight defeats on the road. They are so far the worst performers in away matches as well. Our prediction for Derby County v Portsmouth is that Derby County wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Portsmouth
| Derby County vs Portsmouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 1.92 | 2.06 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.4 | +1.5% |
| Portsmouth wins | 4.2 | 4.1 | -2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 48.5% (-3.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
