Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions
Saturday’s action in the EFL Championship kicks off at Pride Park with Derby County taking on Oxford United. The Rams are eighth in the league standings, while the U’s are 22nd after 42 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Derby County are in the midst of a red-hot battle for a Playoff spot, currently on 63 points, five points behind sixth-placed Hull City with four games left to play in the regular season.
The Rams suffered a 2-1 defeat to a surging Southampton last weekend and have now split their last 10 league games, five wins and five defeats.
However, the hosts have been in excellent form at home of late, currently riding a five-match win streak at Rams Park, while having scored two or more goals in four of those matches.
Meanwhile, Oxford United are in danger of dropping to League One. They are the first side below the dotted line with 44 points, two fewer than West Brom in 21st place in the standings.
However, the U’s have shown they will not go down without a fight. They beat Watford 2-0 last weekend and have now lost only two of their last 10 league games since February (W4 D4).
The visitors have earned 18 points from 21 away games this season (W4 D6 L11), but they are unbeaten in their last three matches against this opponent, including a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture.
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Derby County v Oxford United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.93 | 3.45 | 4 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.42 | 3.68 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.4 | 3.93 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Oxford United?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Oxford United match is: Derby County draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Derby County and Oxford United in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.54% for a win of Derby County against Oxford United with odds of 2.05 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Oxford United is 30.46% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Derby County with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
Derby County - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 46.54% | 2.05 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 57.19% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 21.84% | 5 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Oxford United Form
Derby County and Oxford United's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
|
22
|
47 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 |
Derby County and Oxford United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
6 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
Derby County vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
Derby County against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
S. Langas
M. Johnston
D. Batth
MidfielderO. Eames
O. Fraulo
C. Allen
ForwardL. Salvesen
M. Ingram
DefenderC. Makosso
H. Ter Avest
MidfielderJ. McDonnell
W. Vaulks
O. Romeny
J. Jeon
A. Emakhu
M. Harris
Missing players
B. Clark
ForwardP. Agyemang
G. Leigh
J. Currie
MidfielderB. De Keersmaecker
T. Goodhram
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Oxford United
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
W. Lankshear
(11 Goals)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
M. Helik
(4 Assists)
,
S. Mills
(4 Assists)
Derby County - Oxford United Key Points
- Derby County are on a five-match win streak at home.
- Derby County have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games.
- Oxford United have only won one of their last five league matches.
- Oxford United have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away games.
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Our Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction
Derby County could trim the gap to the top six to just two points this weekend, and they will be confident in their chances of doing so given their stellar home form in the Championship over the last two months.
Oxford United are still among the favourites to suffer the drop this season, but they have been fighting valiantly to avoid that happening. It is for that reason that we will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw in this one. Our Derby County vs Oxford United prediction is Derby County draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Oxford United
| Derby County vs Oxford United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 1.82 | 2.05 | +12.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.55 | -1.4% |
| Oxford United wins | 4.55 | 4.1 | -9.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 48.8% (-6.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Derby County vs. Oxford United game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Oxford United when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
