Derby County vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
22/02/2025 07:30
Millwall

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Despite a change of coach, Derby County remain in the relegation zone. They only have Luton below them in the table and this weekend are home to 14th placed Millwall. Can the Rams escape the bottom three? Read our match prediction.

Derby are a point from safety and have played a game more than their rivals. County began life under new coach John Eustace with a 4-0 loss at QPR. They have now gone 11 games without a win and have not scored in their last five home league matches.

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of those five matches with just one point being earned. That was in their most recent home league fixture when they were held to a goalless draw by Oxford United. Just two goals have been scored in their last eight league fixtures. 

Millwall are 14th but only six points behind the final promotion play-off position. Midweek saw them draw 1-1 at Preston after taking a first-half lead. They have gone three league games without a win with one point from their last two away matches. 15 of their last 19 away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. With Derby struggling for goals, we go for that stat to come up again.

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Derby County vs Millwall Form

Derby County and Millwall's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Millwall
66 46 18 12 16 -2
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8

Derby County and Millwall Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  2
Watford

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Leeds

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
West Brom
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Derby County

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Derby County

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
4 :  2
Derby County
Millwall
Millwall Last matches
W W W L D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Millwall

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
West Brom

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
5 :  1
Millwall

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
QPR

28 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall
L W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
West Brom

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
QPR

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  2
Cardiff

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Hull

13 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Millwall
3 :  0
Dagenham And Redbridge FC

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Oxford United
D W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Millwall

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
5 :  1
Millwall

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

28 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  1
Millwall

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
2 :  2
Millwall

Derby County vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

0 %

Draw

33 %

Millwall

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Derby County

20 Feb 2019 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

18 Aug 2018 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Derby County

Derby County against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
24
R. Nyambe
6
S. Langas
25
M. Clarke
8
B. Osborn
32
E. Adams
4
D. Ozoh
17
K. Goudmijn
10
J. Yates
19
K. Jackson
15
L. Salvesen
26
M. Ivanovic
11
F. Azeez
25
L. Cundle
56
C. Neghli
23
G. Saville
24
C. De Norre
15
J. Bryan
5
J. Cooper
6
J. Tanganga
52
T. Crama
1
L. Jensen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Millwall

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

C. Forsyth

M. Clarke 74'

J. Rooney

Midfielder

L. Thompson

H. Armstrong

N. Mendez

L. Salvesen 66'

K. Roofe

D. Ozoh 90'

Forward

M. Harness

K. Goudmijn 66'

T. Barkhuizen

K. Jackson 66'

Millwall
Millwall
Goalkeeper

L. Roberts

Defender

W. Harding

Z. Sturge

J. Bryan 58'

M. Wallace

Midfielder

G. Honeyman

L. Cundle 65'

R. Wintle

B. Mitchell

C. De Norre 79'

Forward

A. Emakhu

F. Azeez 79'

J. Coburn

M. Ivanovic 65'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Millwall
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia M. Ivanovic (12 Goals)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists) , 
England J. Yates (4 Assists) , 
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)
Best assists
England F. Azeez (6 Assists)

Derby County - Millwall Key Points

  1. Six of the last eight games between these two sides have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Derby have failed to score in their last five home league games, all having under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  3. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 15 of Millwall's last 19 away league matches.
  4. Seven of the last ten Derby league fixtures have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Derby County vs Millwall Prediction

Derby County may have a new coach but they are still struggling to avoid relegation. New coach John Eustace must solve the problem that his side has scoring goals. They haven't scored a home goal since Boxing Day and that was an own goal by West Brom!

Millwall are still in with a chance of making it into the play-offs. Their away form isn't great though and only 14 league goals have been scored this year on the road. Just 19 have been conceded though. Our Derby v Millwall prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Derby County vs Millwall Prediction