Derby County vs Ipswich Town Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
07/02/2026 07:30
Ipswich Town

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions

Matchday 31 in the EFL Championship sees high-flying Derby County take on Ipswich Town at Pride Park. Derby are in seventh place in the league standings, while Ipswich are in fourth place. Here's our match prediction. 

The calendar may have flipped, but the real gift has been the unexpected turnaround it brought along for Derby. The home team have made a surprising push towards the promotion positions. With 45 points accumulated from 30 games, they are two points adrift of the desired spot.

The Rams come into this match unbeaten in their last four league games (W3, D1). Their most recent match was a 5-0 away thrashing of Bristol City. This was marked down on paper as their biggest league win since March 2019.

A return to their humble abode sees the team aiming to end a two-match winless run. They suffered defeat against Wrexham before sharing the spoils against West Bromwich.

Ipswich Town are losing sight of the ball. Heading into this clash, they are winless in their last two league games. Before this, they had avoided defeat in six games, including a four-match winning streak. 

Their most recent match was against Preston. Despite having home advantage, they could only manage a 1-1 draw. 

In unfamiliar territory, the Tractor Boys have lost just one of their last three outings. Notably, they've won four of their last five matches in this fixture.

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Derby County v Ipswich Town Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.7 3.4 2.01
Melbet
3.76 3.4 1.97
Betwinner
3.7 3.4 1.99
Bet365
3.8 3.6 1.86
Roobet
3.85 3.5 1.93
Check all Derby County vs Ipswich Town odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Ipswich Town?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Ipswich Town match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Derby County and Ipswich Town in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.37% for a win of Derby County against Ipswich Town with odds of 4.12 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Ipswich Town is 35.61% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Ipswich Town vs Derby County with odds of 2.05 at LSbet.

Derby County - Ipswich Town Prediction and Best Odds:

Derby County Ipswich Town Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 35.61% 3.62 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 56.24% 1.99 at Stake
Both Team To Score 64.58%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 17.93% 5.5 at Bet365

Derby County vs Ipswich Town Form

Derby County and Ipswich Town's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Ipswich Town
84 46 23 15 8 +33
8 Derby County
69 46 20 9 17 +8

Derby County and Ipswich Town Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

23 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
West Brom

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  1
Derby County

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham
D D W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
West Brom

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Portsmouth

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Millwall
W D L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  1
Derby County

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Derby County

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

15 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  3
Derby County
Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town Last matches
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Preston North End

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Ipswich Town

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Bristol City

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Blackburn

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Ipswich Town
2 :  1
Blackpool

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  1
Oxford United
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Preston North End

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Bristol City

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Blackburn

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Ipswich Town
2 :  1
Blackpool

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  1
Oxford United

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday
L D L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Ipswich Town

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  0
Ipswich Town

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  1
Ipswich Town

2 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

28 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Ipswich Town

Derby County vs Ipswich Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

33 %

Draw

33 %

Ipswich Town

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Derby County

1 Apr 2023 - League One

Derby County
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

21 Aug 2018 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Ipswich Town

Derby County against Ipswich Town Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
J. Vickers
23
J. Ward
5
M. Clarke
4
D. Batth
2
D. Murkin
18
D. Ozoh
27
L. Travis
25
B. Brereton
42
B. Clark
10
R. Brewster
7
P. Agyemang
31
I. Azon Monzon
47
J. Clarke
33
A. Mehmeti
7
W. Burns
14
J. Taylor
5
A. Matusiwa
3
L. Davis
4
C. Kipre
26
D. O'Shea
19
D. Furlong
28
C. Walton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ipswich Town

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

R. O'Donnell

Defender

R. Canoville

C. Forsyth

Midfielder

O. Fraulo

D. Ozoh 63'

L. Thompson

C. Allen

O. Eames

B. Clark 90'

Forward

J. Banel

B. Brereton 63'

L. Salvesen

R. Brewster 82'

Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town
Goalkeeper

A. Palmer

Defender

B. Johnson

J. Greaves

Midfielder

D. Neil

J. Taylor 75'

K. McAteer

W. Burns 64'

J. Cajuste

Forward

S. Egeli

G. Hirst

I. Azon Monzon 76'

C. Akpom

J. Clarke 76'

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town
Defender

A. Young

C. Townsend

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Ipswich Town
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Clarke (16 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Ward (9 Assists)
Best assists
Albania A. Mehmeti (7 Assists)
Chile M. Nunez (7 Assists)

Derby County - Ipswich Town Key Points

  1. Derby County have seen five of their last nine league games end with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Two of Ipswich Town's last three league games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  3. Derby County and Ipswich Town have seen under 2.5 goals land in four of their last five league games.
  4. Ipswich Town have seen two of their last three away league games end with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Derby County vs Ipswich Town Prediction

Derby are flying high at the moment and should not be underestimated. The home team can make this a cagey affair against a side that has failed to win their last two league games. 

With Ipswich playing away from home in this fixture, they've been a difficult team to beat, suffering just one defeat in 12 league games. There has been a noticeable pattern during this period—their run of low-scoring matches. Nine of those outings produced under 2.5 goals, including six consecutive matches. That said, expect a low-scoring affair. Our Derby County vs Ipswich Town prediction: less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Ipswich Town

Derby County vs Ipswich Town Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Derby County wins 3.65 4.12 +12.9%
Draw 3.24 3.62 +11.7%
Ipswich Town wins 2.06 2.05 -0.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 30.9% and is now 27.6% (-3.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Ipswich Town Prediction