Derby County vs Blackburn Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
28/02/2026 07:30
Blackburn

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions

Blackburn Rovers will hope to move further away from the EFL Championship relegation zone when they travel to top-six chasers Derby County for matchday 35. This match on Saturday in Derby between the 11th-placed Rams and the 20th-placed Rovers comes with our prediction of BTTS.

Ahead of this weekend’s games, Derby’s 48 points (W13, D9, L12) put them six points outside the top six places. Blackburn have 38 points (W10, D8, L16) and are four points above the relegation zone.

Derby were beaten 4-2 away at Hull in this week’s Championship fixture, extending their recent poor form. The Rams have now lost three of their last four league games (W1) and fallen behind in the race for playoff spots.

Getting their mojo back at home could be crucial in reviving those hopes, as Derby have just two wins from their last nine home league games (D3, L4).

Blackburn were beaten 2-1 at home by Bristol in their game this week, ending a two-game winning sequence. With three wins from their last five league games (L2), the Rovers are pushing to move away from the danger zone.

Despite those successes, Blackburn are still far away from improving their away record. They have just one win from their last nine away competitive trips (D3, L5), although that came on their latest visit.

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Derby County v Blackburn Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.18 3.2 3.5
Melbet
2.17 3.13 3.49
Betwinner
2.17 3.13 3.49
Bet365
2.1 3.2 3.5
Roobet
2.16 3.1 3.6
Check all Derby County vs Blackburn odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Blackburn?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Blackburn match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Derby County and Blackburn in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.32% for a win of Derby County against Blackburn with odds of 2.21 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Blackburn is 21.09% with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Blackburn vs Derby County with odds of 3.65 at Shangrila.

Derby County - Blackburn Prediction and Best Odds:

Derby County Blackburn Prediction Probability Odds
Derby County wins 43.32% 2.21 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 54.56% 2.32 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 54.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County 20.62% 5.25 at LSbet

Derby County vs Blackburn Form

Derby County and Blackburn's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Derby County
69 46 20 9 17 +8
20 Blackburn
52 46 13 13 20 -14

Derby County and Blackburn Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
4 :  2
Derby County

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Swansea

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Ipswich Town

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

23 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
West Brom
W L L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Swansea

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Ipswich Town

23 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
West Brom

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
4 :  2
Derby County

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

30 Jan 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  5
Derby County

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  1
Derby County

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Derby County
Blackburn
Blackburn Last matches
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Bristol City

20 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Preston North End

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  3
Blackburn

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Blackburn

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
Hull
D D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Bristol City

20 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Preston North End

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
Hull

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Watford

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  2
Charlton Athletic
D D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  3
Blackburn

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Blackburn

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Blackburn

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Blackburn

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Hull
0 :  0
Blackburn

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  0
Blackburn

Derby County vs Blackburn Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

67 %

Draw

0 %

Blackburn

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Derby County

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

9 Aug 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
4 :  2
Derby County

Derby County against Blackburn Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
J. Vickers
23
J. Ward
28
D. Sanderson
5
M. Clarke
2
D. Murkin
42
B. Clark
27
L. Travis
25
B. Brereton
19
S. Szmodics
7
P. Agyemang
9
C. Morris
11
A. Gudjohnsen
23
Y. Ohashi
25
R. Morishita
4
Y. Ribeiro
28
A. Forshaw
24
M. Baradji
2
R. Alebiosu
20
E. Cashin
15
S. McLoughlin
17
H. Carter
22
B. Toth

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Blackburn

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

R. O'Donnell

Defender

I. Gordon

C. Forsyth

D. Murkin 87'

Midfielder

O. Fraulo

B. Clark 87'

D. Ozoh

S. Szmodics 80'

C. Allen

O. Eames

Forward

J. Banel

R. Brewster

C. Morris 62'

Blackburn
Blackburn
Goalkeeper

N. Michalski

Defender

C. O'Riordan

T. Atcheson

D. De Neve

M. Baradji 80'

H. Pickering

Y. Ribeiro 69'

Midfielder

T. Gardner-Hickman

H. Carter 80'

K. Montgomery

A. Forshaw 56'

Forward

M. Jorgensen

A. Gudjohnsen 69'

O. Afolayan

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Blackburn
Blackburn
Defender

L. Miller

G. Pratt

Midfielder

S. Trondstad

Forward

A. Kargbo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Blackburn
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan Y. Ohashi (11 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Ward (9 Assists)
Best assists
Japan R. Morishita (9 Assists)

Derby County - Blackburn Key Points

  1. Derby scored in their last 15 competitive matches played at home.
  2. Nine of Derby’s last 11 home matches in all competitions saw both teams score goals.
  3. Blackburn scored at least once in four of their last five Championship matches.
  4. Blackburn conceded in their last four away league matches.
  5. The last six matches between these sides produced BTTS.
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Our Derby County vs Blackburn Prediction

Both teams come into this match with contrasting objectives – Blackburn looking to move away from the relegation zone and Derby looking to get closer to the playoff spots. Blackburn picked up some momentum with three wins from their last five league games, while Derby lost a bit of steam with three defeats from their last five Championship matches.

Derby have been consistent scorers in home matches, and even the last six league matches between these sides produced BTTS. That’s why our Derby County vs Blackburn prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Blackburn

Derby County vs Blackburn Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Derby County wins 2.19 2.21 +0.9%
Draw 3.35 3.25 -3.0%
Blackburn wins 3.55 3.65 +2.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Derby County is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.7% and is now 45.2% (-0.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Blackburn Prediction