FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Conference League Predictions
Dečić host FK Liepāja this Wednesday needing to overturn a one-goal deficit in the second leg of their Conference League first qualifying round tie. Liepāja won the first leg 1-0, but they did it with ten men for 70 minutes, and with their captain now suspended, our prediction backs the hosts to win or draw in Tuzi.
The Latvians' victory was as fortunate as it was gritty. Captain and centre-back Marvins Martinš was sent off in the 21st minute for a high foot near his own box, leaving Dečić with a numerical advantage for well over an hour. Yet it was Liepāja who broke through, Amar Haïdara winning possession and releasing Virsliga top scorer Ede Oloko to round the goalkeeper on 64 minutes.
Now the tie returns to Montenegro, where the visitors must cope without Martinš at the back. Liepāja's away form offers the hosts real encouragement, with recent road trips producing a 4-0 hammering at Riga FC, a 1-0 loss at Grobiņa and a 3-1 defeat at Daugavpils.
Dečić, crowned Montenegrin champions for the first time in 2024, finished fourth last season and cleared this round a year ago. Liepāja have not managed that since 2022.
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FK Decic Tuzi v Liepajas Metalurgs Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.4 | 4.25 | 6.25 |
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2.58 | 3.51 | 2.63 |
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|
2.58 | 3.51 | 2.63 |
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|
2.55 | 3.32 | 2.59 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.51 | 2.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FK Decic Tuzi and Liepajas Metalurgs?
Our prediction for the FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs match is: Dečić wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/07/2026 between FK Decic Tuzi and Liepajas Metalurgs in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.72% for a win of FK Decic Tuzi against Liepajas Metalurgs with odds of 81 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs is 12.31% with odds of 8 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Liepajas Metalurgs vs FK Decic Tuzi with odds of 6.6 at Roobet.
FK Decic Tuzi - Liepajas Metalurgs Prediction and Best Odds:
| FK Decic Tuzi Liepajas Metalurgs Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FK Decic Tuzi wins | 53.72% | 81 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 53.46% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: FK Decic Tuzi | 27.16% | 12 at Roobet |
FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs Form
FK Decic Tuzi and Liepajas Metalurgs Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2026 - Cup
24 May 2026 - 1. CFL
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2026 - Cup
20 May 2026 - 1. CFL
10 May 2026 - 1. CFL
6 May 2026 - Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
17 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - 1. CFL
16 May 2026 - 1. CFL
2 May 2026 - 1. CFL
22 Apr 2026 - Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - Cup
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
4 Jul 2026 - Virsliga
30 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
26 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
21 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
30 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
26 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
12 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
30 May 2026 - Virsliga
17 May 2026 - Virsliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - Cup
4 Jul 2026 - Virsliga
21 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
16 Jun 2026 - Virsliga
26 May 2026 - Virsliga
22 May 2026 - Virsliga
FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
FK Decic Tuzi - Liepajas Metalurgs Key Points
- Liepāja won the first leg 1-0 despite playing 70 minutes with ten men following Marvins Martinš's 21st-minute red card.
- Martinš, Liepāja's captain and centre-back, is suspended for the second leg.
- Liepāja are winless in their last three away games.
- Dečić are unbeaten in seven of their last nine games.
- Dečić were crowned Montenegrin champions for the first time in their history in 2024 and finished fourth last season.
- Dečić need only a one-goal home win to force extra time.
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Our FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs Prediction
Liepāja got the result in Latvia, but they did it the hard way, and the numbers now swing towards the hosts. Marvins Martinš, the captain and centre-back who anchored that ten-man defence, is suspended, while Liepāja's away record has been dismal, with three heavy defeats on the road.
Dečić need only a one-goal win to force extra time, and with home advantage in Tuzi and a squad that cleared this round a year ago, they have every reason to believe. Hence, our FK Dečić Tuzi vs FK Liepāja prediction is that Dečić wins or draws.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FK Decic Tuzi Liepajas Metalurgs
| FK Decic Tuzi vs Liepajas Metalurgs | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Decic Tuzi wins | 2.4 | 81 | +3,275.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 8 | +135.3% |
| Liepajas Metalurgs wins | 2.5 | 6.6 | +164.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FK Decic Tuzi is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3,275.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 1.2% (-40.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
