Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Crystal Palace had an excellent win in the Conference League on Thursday evening. The Eagles return to Premier League action on Sunday but are only 14th in the table. They host 12th placed Newcastle United at Selhurst Park. Read our match prediction below.
Palace's hopes of another season in European football may well have to depend on winning the Conference League. They are seven points adrift of the places that could qualify them for Europe but are in much better form than at the start of the year. As you will read in the form section of this preview, they are a difficult side at present to beat on home soil and will hope for another win this weekend.
Newcastle United are out of the Champions League and four points behind the top eight in their domestic competition. The Magpies are not the most consistent side around and have lost their last two games but had some recent away league victories. There doesn't seem to be any imminent prospect of coach Eddie Howe losing his job but might that change if there's no European football next season?
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Crystal Palace v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.49 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.38 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.42 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.5 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.4 | 2.34 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Newcastle match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Crystal Palace and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.24% for a win of Crystal Palace against Newcastle with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs Newcastle is 19.23% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Crystal Palace with odds of 2.55 at 888Starz.
Crystal Palace - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Crystal Palace Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 40.53% | 2.55 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.33% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | |
| Half-time : Crystal Palace / Full-time : Newcastle | 14.33% | 26 at Bet365 |
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Form
Crystal Palace and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
Crystal Palace and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
21 Jan 2023 - Premier League
Crystal Palace - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Thursday saw Crystal Palace beat Fiorentina 3-0 at home in the first leg of their Conference League quarter-final. That took their unbeaten league and cup run to five games, last losing at Manchester United in early March.
That loss at Old Trafford is the only one they have experienced in their last nine games in all competitions. Home form has seen the Eagles unbeaten in five games with all of them seeing a clean sheet kept. Four of those games had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
A history of low-scoring games at Selhurst Park.
Each of the last eight games played between these two sides at this venue have seen under 2.5 goals scored. That statistic has come up in 16 of the last 19 games played between Palace and Newcastle.
Newcastle United have lost their last two matches and conceded nine goals. Seven of those came in their Champions League exit at Barcelona. Even more painful was the 2-1 home loss to local rivals Sunderland in their last home league match.
The Magpies have only won four away league games this season and been beaten in seven. Two of the last four have been lost but they were at Liverpool and Manchester City. They have had recent away victories at Spurs and Chelsea.
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Crystal Palace against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
W. Benitez
DefenderN. Clyne
C. Riad
B. Sosa
D. Kamada
J. Devenny
A. Wharton
I. Sarr
J. Mateta
N. Pope
DefenderK. Trippier
D. Burn
MidfielderJ. Willock
J. Ramsey
Y. Wissa
H. Barnes
A. Elanga
N. Woltemade
Missing players
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
F. Schar
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
Crystal Palace & Newcastle Squad Analysis
This is such an important game for both clubs. Crystal Palace had an excellent win in the Conference League on Thursday and look extremely likely to reach the semi--finals. Back in the Premier League, there has been much improved form of late but it needs to be maintained.
Their home record is strong and away clubs are finding it difficult to score at Selhurst Park.. Scoring three goals at home against Fiorentina was a big boost for them. They have struggled for goals at home this season.
Sarr is in good scoring form for Palace.
Ismaila Sarr scored on Thursday and he has scored in three of his club's last five matches. Crazy stat time. Seven of his 12 goals for Palace this season were scored between the 35th minute and the half-time break. They will be missing Eddie Nketiah for this game.
Newcastle have found it difficult to score on the road in this season's Premier League. They have had a couple of recent away league victories but also losses at Liverpool and Manchester City. Bruno Guimaraes and Fabian Schar will both be absent for this match.
Most goals and assists
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Crystal Palace - Newcastle Key Points
- The last eight games between these two clubs at Selhurst Park have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Four of the last five Palace home games have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Palace have kept five consecutive home clean sheets.
- 16 of the last 19 matches between Newcastle and Crystal Palace have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Palace have only scored 14 home league goals this season, Newcastle have just 15 on the road.
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Our Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction
One poor run of form has put Palace in danger of failing to qualify for Europe via their league position. The Eagles have come through their bad patch and could yet secure a top eight finish and win the Conference League.
Newcastle are also in danger of missing out on Europe and that would be a big blow for them. Consistency has been a problem and regularly struggle for goals on the road. Our main Crystal Palace v Newcastle prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Crystal Palace wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Crystal Palace Newcastle
| Crystal Palace vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 2.77 | 3.05 | +10.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.42 | 2.55 | +5.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.3% and is now 39.2% (-2.1%)
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Crystal Palace vs Newcastle - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
