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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Community Shield

England - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
10/08/2025 10:00
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

Liverpool wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

The customary English football season curtain raiser is here; Crystal Palace will be facing Liverpool in the Community Shield this Sunday. The match, hosted at the seat of English football, Wembley Stadium, traditionally brings together the Premier League champions against the FA Cup winners. We have a prediction for the match after our preview below.

For Crystal Palace, this is one historic moment, as they play in their first ever Community Shield. They are here courtesy of winning their first piece of silverware, the FA Cup. The side from London pipped Manchester City to win the cup at the same venue of Sunday’s match.

As Palace go in search of their first Community Shield, Liverpool will be playing in their 25th and seeking a 17th win. A win on Sunday will see The Reds go joint second with Arsenal as the most successful teams in the Community Shield. While Liverpool have the experience, Palace will be banking on their record at Wembley, winning on four of their last six visits here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Crystal Palace v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.5 4.2 1.57
Betfred
6 4 1.57
William Hill
5 4.2 1.6
Betway
5.25 4.2 1.55
Unibet
5.8 4.4 1.57
Check all Crystal Palace vs Liverpool odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?

Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/08/2025 between Crystal Palace and Liverpool in Community Shield :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.68% for a win of Crystal Palace against Liverpool with odds of 6 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is 18.41% with odds of 4.43 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace with odds of 1.62 at 22bet.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Form

Crystal Palace and Liverpool Last Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace Last matches
D W W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  3
Crystal Palace

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crawley Town
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Millwall

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
D W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Millwall

20 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  2
Wolves

17 May 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Manchester City

5 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Aston Villa

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Bournemouth
W D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  3
Crystal Palace

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crawley Town
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama F Marinos
1 :  3
Liverpool

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End
1 :  3
Liverpool

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
W D D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

27 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  1
Tottenham
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama F Marinos
1 :  3
Liverpool

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End
1 :  3
Liverpool

19 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Liverpool

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

20 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  1
Liverpool

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  2
Liverpool

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Crystal Palace

17 %

Draw

50 %

Liverpool

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
0.83
Goals scored (away team)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  1
Liverpool

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Liverpool

25 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Liverpool

15 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
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Crystal Palace - Liverpool: Form Analysis

So much has been said about Crystal Palace’s underdog status coming into this game. They will be comfortable that way, having held the same in the FA Cup final against Manchester City.

In the end, they halted their 120-year wait for a major title. Palace will however, want to have it in mind that the last four Community Shield first timers ended up as losers.

On the flipside, seven of the last nine teams to win it, beat the team contesting as league champions. This being a true yardstick for their preparedness going into the new season, Palace will hope to improve on their one win in 16 meetings with Liverpool.

None of the last four Community Shield debutants have won in this fixture.

Liverpool have posted 12 wins in the last 16 matches against Palace. They are coming here as clear favorites and their summer activity has been geared towards strengthening an already tough side.

The last time Liverpool played at Wembley, they lost in the League Cup final, beaten by Newcastle United and they should be wary of Crystal Palace’s threat.

Liverpool's latest Community Shield win was in 2022. There will be some reliance on good omen as Liverpool, who have already lost at Wembley this year, have historically never lost there twice in the same year.

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Crystal Palace & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Crystal Palace haven't been as expressive in the transfer market as their opponents. They have only enlisted the services of Borna Sosa and Walter Benitez.

There will, however, be some good news with the return from injury of former Liverpool man, Nathaniel Clyne. The defender joins Marc Guehi and Adam Wharton on the returnees list but Chadi Riad and Cheick Doucoure are still out.

Eberechi Eze has been linked with a move away, with Arsenal mentioned as a potential destination. However, he is in the team for now and continues to link up with Jean Phillippe Mateta in attack.

Liverpool have had an active summer in the transfers, with four new signings.

Liverpool have spared no chance to strengthen in the summer. The Reds will be parading an expensively assembled squad as they make the first impression of their outlook next season.

Florian Wirtz and Jeremy Frimpong have arrived from Bayer Leverkusen. Another stopover in Germany brought in Hugo Ekitike while they have also shopped locally for Milos Kerkez.

A familiar face that’s no longer with Liverpool is Trent Alexander Arnold who has since joined Real Madrid. Luis Diaz has also departed for German champions Bayern Munich. Liverpool were this summer also forced to deal with the unfortunate passing on of Diogo Jota.

Crystal Palace - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Liverpool have 12 wins in the last 16 matches against Palace.
  2. Palace won twice in their last 19 matches with Liverpool.
  3. Liverpool are coming from four wins in five preseason matches.
  4. Crystal Palace lost two of their last three preseason matches.
  5. Liverpool are vying for their 17th Community Shield win.
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Our Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction

Head-to-head numbers in this matchup will outright favor a Liverpool win. The Reds have won 12 of the last 16 matches against Crystal Palace and we don’t see much changing here.

To add to their advantage in this matchup, Liverpool have done the better transfer business in the summer, building on an already rich squad, even though they’ve had three key departures after their title run last season. Arne Slot’s side also finished stronger in their preseason engagements. Our prediction for Crystal Palace v Liverpool is that Liverpool wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Liverpool wins the match

 
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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Odds 2.1

In the last six meetings between these teams, the one dominant outcome was Liverpool’s wins. However, in terms of goals, things have been tight in this fixture, and most of the matches had low scores.

In the last six meetings, less than three goals were registered five times and we will go with the same here too. Our second prediction for this match is for under 2.5 goals.

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bet365 welcome offer

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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

The Crystal Palace v Liverpool match will be staged at the Wembley Stadium.

The Crystal Palace v Liverpool match will be played on Sunday 10th August.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction
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