Crystal Palace vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Premier League’s Sunday schedule kicks off at Selhurst Park, with Crystal Palace playing host to Leeds United. The Eagles are in 13th place in the league standings, while the Whites are two spots below them in 15th after 29 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Oliver Glasner’s side enter this weekend’s fixture off the back of another frustrating night here in South London, held to a goalless draw in their Conference League round of 16 first leg by AEK Larnaca on Thursday. Still, they will fancy a win here, having gone unbeaten at home against this opponent in their last seven encounters, and three points in this match could get them back in the top half of the EPL
Back-to-back league losses coming into this match have seen Daniel Farke’s side dragged back into the relegation scrap, as they are now just four points above West Ham in 18th place. However, the Peacocks have the psychological edge in this one after securing a comfortable 4-1 victory in the reverse fixture. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Crystal Palace v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.18 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.18 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.15 | 2.92 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Leeds match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Crystal Palace and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.76% for a win of Crystal Palace against Leeds with odds of 2.58 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs Leeds is 39.55% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Crystal Palace with odds of 3.09 at 888Starz.
Crystal Palace - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Crystal Palace Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.55% | 3.4 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.49% | 2.35 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 15.24% | 5 at Bet365 |
Crystal Palace vs Leeds Form
Crystal Palace and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
Crystal Palace and Leeds Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2023 - Premier League
9 Oct 2022 - Premier League
25 Apr 2022 - Premier League
30 Nov 2021 - Premier League
8 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Crystal Palace - Leeds: Form Analysis
Before their stalemate against Larnaca, Crystal Palace secured an impressive 3-1 comeback victory over a slumping Spurs on the road on MD29, which moved them up a spot in the EPL standings.
The Eagles have now won three of their last six matches across all competitions (D2 L1), which is as many victories as they managed in their previous 16 games dating back to early December.
However, the hosts have won only one of their last nine league games at this venue (D3 L5) and have the sixth-worst home record in the division with 15 points earned from 14 games at Selhurst Park.
Palace have scored the second-fewest goals at home in the Prem this season (14)!
Meanwhile, Leeds United’s 1-0 loss to fellow newly promoted Sunderland on MD29 marked their second consecutive league match without scoring and extended their winless run in the EPL to four games (D2 L2).
The Whites bounced back from that defeat, though, securing a commanding 3-0 victory over Norwich last weekend to book their spot in the quarter-final of the FA Cup for the first time since 2002-03.
However, following up that result with another win will not be easy for the visitors based on their away record. They’ve only won one league match on the road this term and have taken just nine points from 14 outings.
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Crystal Palace against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
R. Matthews
DefenderN. Clyne
C. Riad
B. Sosa
MidfielderA. Wharton
J. Devenny
D. Kamada
Y. Pino
J. Mateta
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Bogle
S. Bornauw
MidfielderI. Gruev
S. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
ForwardJ. Piroe
G. Wilfried
D. James
Missing players
D. Munoz
MidfielderC. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
N. Okafor
Crystal Palace & Leeds Squad Analysis
Jean-Philippe Mateta made his return to the Palace squad as a substitute against Larnaca, and he will be eager to make his mark here, having received mixed reactions from the home crowd.
However, the Frenchman will likely have to settle for another cameo role this weekend, with Jorgen Strand Larsen expected to lead the line. The Norwegian scored between an Ismaila Sarr brace against Spurs, marking his third goal in five league appearances for the Eagles.
Daniel Munoz sustained a shoulder injury in his last league game and is a doubt for this one, while Eddie Nketiah and Cheick Doucoure are ruled out with a muscle and knee injury, respectively.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin could be one to watch for Leeds this weekend!
The England international was rested against the Canaries last week and will be looking forward to this match. He bagged a brace in the reverse fixture in December and has scored seven career goals against Palace - his highest tally against any EPL team.
Sean Longstaff was impressive in midfield in the last match and could retain his spot in the starting 11 alongside Ethan Ampadu. Ilia Gruev is the most likely to drop to the bench in this instance.
With Noah Okafor ruled out, Joel Piroe, who got on the scoresheet and was a standout performer against Norwich, may get the nod to partner Anton Stach in attacking midfield this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Crystal Palace
Leeds
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Crystal Palace - Leeds Key Points
- Crystal Palace have only failed to score in one of their last 10 games.
- Crystal Palace have only kept two clean sheets in their last eight home league games.
- Crystal Palace and Leeds United are averaging 1.55 and 1.43 xG per 90, respectively, this season.
- Nine of Leeds’ last 10 away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last three league matches between these sides.
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Our Crystal Palace vs Leeds Prediction
Crystal Palace are the favourites in this clash, but they only have a three-day turnaround from their Thursday night UECL fixture against Larnaca, which isn’t ideal against an opponent battling the drop and in need of points.
Leeds have one of the worst away records this season, but they have been tough to beat on the road of late, losing only one of their last seven league outings, while taking a point from the other six. Matches between these two have produced goals in the past, and we’re expecting a few more in this one. Our Crystal Palace vs Leeds prediction is BTTS.
Crystal Palace vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Fourteen goals have been scored in the last three games between these sides (average 4.7). Additionally, four of Leeds’ last six away games in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
Crystal Palace wins
While Palace have not been great at Selhurst Park this season, they have kept clean sheets in their last three matches at home and are unbeaten in their last seven against this opponent at this venue.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Crystal Palace Leeds
| Crystal Palace vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 2.35 | 2.58 | +9.8% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.4 | -6.1% |
| Leeds wins | 3.2 | 3.09 | -3.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.6% and is now 29.4% (1.8%)
Crystal Palace vs Leeds - FAQs
The Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Leeds will take place on March 15 at 14:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Leeds will be played at Selhurst Park in London.
The Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Leeds will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
