Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
Crystal Palace and Fiorentina will look to park their domestic struggles aside as they target a good start in the UEFA Conference League quarter-finals when they meet in the first leg on Thursday. This match at Selhurst Park between the Eagles and 'La Viola' comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
The Premier League hosts finished tenth in the league phase with ten points (W3, D1, L2) and then got past Zrinjski Mostar (3-1 by aggregate) and AEK Larnaca (2-1 by aggregate) in the knockout rounds to reach the quarter-finals. While they struggle to move up the mid-table in the Premier League, the Eagles will hope to go deeper in this tournament.
Fiorentina finished 15th in the league phase with nine points (W3, L3) before edging Jagiellonia Bialystok (5-4) and Rakow (4-2) in the two knockout phase games to reach this round. With their recent surge in form, the visitors will hope to take a lead to next week's second leg in Italy. Who has an edge in this tight contest? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Crystal Palace v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 4.1 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.86 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.86 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.9 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/04/2026 between Crystal Palace and Fiorentina in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.38% for a win of Crystal Palace against Fiorentina with odds of 1.62 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina is 22.86% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace with odds of 6.25 at Melbet.
Crystal Palace - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Crystal Palace Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 47.75% | 6.25 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.75% | 2.02 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.38% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 22.03% | 12 at Bet365 |
Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Form
Crystal Palace and Fiorentina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Crystal Palace - Fiorentina: Form Analysis
Palace were last seen in the second leg of the previous round in this competition, when they won 2-1 away against AEK Larna in extra time. That result meant the Eagles were beaten just once in their last eight competitive matches (W4, D3).
Even in the Conference League, Palace are unbeaten across their last six games (W3, D3). When it comes to home form, they are unbeaten in the last four matches here (W2, D2), although that was preceded by a run of nine home games without a win.
Seven of Palace's last nine home matches have seen less than 2.5 goals.
Fiorentina edged Hellas Verona 1-0 away from home last weekend in Serie A. That was their fourth win across the last five competitive matches (D1). Their Conference League form is impressive too, with three wins from their last four such games (L1).
La Viola have seen their away form improve lately, winning five of their last six away matches in all competitions. Crucially, two of those have come in the Conference League as Fiorentina shows that they can lift their game in Europe.
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Crystal Palace against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
W. Benitez
R. Matthews
DefenderC. Riad
N. Clyne
B. Sosa
MidfielderJ. Devenny
W. Hughes
J. Lerma
Y. Pino
B. Johnson
R. Cardines
P. Leonardelli
O. Christensen
DefenderP. Comuzzo
E. Kospo
L. Balbo
E. Kouadio
MidfielderL. Deli
J. Fazzini
R. Mandragora
G. Puzzoli
R. Braschi
Missing players
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
J. Strand Larsen
N. Fortini
MidfielderM. Brescianini
ForwardM. Kean
Crystal Palace & Fiorentina Squad Analysis
Dean Henderson missed Palace's last match, which was three weeks ago. He should return to the squad, while Eddie Nketiah and Cheick Doucoure are unlikely owing to injuries. Jorgen Strand Larsen is suspended.
Palace will continue with their preferred 3-4-3 system, with Jean-Philippe Mateta expected to get into the starting line-up. His last six goals have come at Selhurst Park, but Ismaila Sarr could be the key to Palace's hopes.
Sarr has five goals in the Conference League and three in his last three competitive games.
Fiorentina will likely miss Rolando Mandragora, who didn't play their last two games. Dodo was the latest casualty from last weekend's game, while a few others like Manor Solomon and Niccolo Fortini are also out of contention.
La Viola lined up in a 4-3-3 formation or a variant of it by stacking the midfield. They may still field a bit of a conservative 4-2-3-1 system here. That may leave Albert Gudmundsson (four goals) and Cher Ndour (three goals) as their key attacking outlets.
Most goals and assists
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
I. Sarr
(9 Goals)
C. Ndour
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Goals)
D. Kamada
(4 Assists)
C. Ndour
(2 Assists)
Crystal Palace - Fiorentina Key Points
- Palace have created the most number of big chances (46) in this year’s Conference League.
- Fiorentina are third in that tally with 34 chances created.
- Fiorentina have scored in eight of their last ten Conference League matches.
- Palace have scored in seven of their last eight Conference League games.
- Six of Fiorentina’s last nine away matches have produced BTTS.
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Our Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Prediction
Palace and Fiorentina are going through a rough patch in their respective leagues, although recent improvements have raised morale. The Eagles are nine points away from European qualification spots while being ten points above the relegation zone in the Premier League standings. Fiorentina are five points above the drop zone in Serie A, which puts more emphasis on success in this competition.
Goals have been a regular feature for Fiorentina in this competition, while Palace haven't been too bad either. Our Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina prediction is BTTS.
Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina Alternative Predictions
Fiorentina wins
Palace haven't quite firmed up on the winning stakes lately, although they are looking a stubborn unit. Fiorentina, on the other hand, have won four of their last five competitive matches. They have also won five of their last six away games in all competitions, while winning two on the trot away from home in this tournament. The visitors could end up picking up a narrow win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Crystal Palace Fiorentina
| Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 1.7 | 1.62 | -4.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 4.2 | +23.5% |
| Fiorentina wins | 4.65 | 6.25 | +34.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 34.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.5% and is now 16.0% (-5.5%)
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Crystal Palace vs Fiorentina - FAQs
HBO Max are the official broadcasters of the Conference League in the United Kingdom. In Italy, Sky are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Conference League Livescore page!
The top eight teams at the end of the League phase have received a direct entry into the round of 16. The teams ranked from 9th to 24th played in the knockout phase play-offs, where the teams which ended up between 9th to 16th will be seeded while the remaining teams are unseeded. The teams from 25th down to 36th are eliminated. We are in the quarter-finals now.
The winner of this two-legged fixture will face either Shakhtar Donetsk or AZ Alkmaar in the semi-finals. Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens and Mainz vs Strasbourg are the other two quarter-finals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
