Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Selhurst Park will light up in midweek for a Matchday 26 clash between Crystal Palace and Burnley in the Premier League. The Eagles are 13th in the league standings, while the Clarets are in 19th place after 25 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Palace returned to winning ways in the M23 derby at the Amex over the weekend, bringing an end to a two-month wait for an EPL victory in the process. With the mid-table being as tightly compact as it is, another three points here could take Oliver Glasner's side into the top half with a little luck in results elsewhere.
Burnley, on the other hand, suffered a painful loss to fellow relegation candidates West Ham last time out. Still on 15 points after 25 games, it's looking increasingly likely that Scott Parker's charges are headed straight back to the Championship unless they can turn things around massively right away. Let's get into the key stats!
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Crystal Palace v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.54 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.1 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Burnley match is: 2 to 4 match goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2026 between Crystal Palace and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.76% for a win of Crystal Palace against Burnley with odds of 1.54 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Crystal Palace vs Burnley is 36.94% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Crystal Palace with odds of 7.25 at LSbet.
Crystal Palace - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Crystal Palace Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 41.76% | 1.54 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.21% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Crystal Palace/Crystal Palace | 20.41% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Crystal Palace vs Burnley Form
Crystal Palace and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Crystal Palace and Burnley Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
26 Feb 2022 - Premier League
20 Nov 2021 - Premier League
13 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Crystal Palace - Burnley: Form Analysis
Crystal Palace moved up to 13th in the table and nine points clear of the dotted line with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over south coast rivals Brighton on Sunday afternoon.
That victory ended the Eagles' nine-match winless run in the league and was just the second time they kept a clean sheet in the top flight since beating this opponent 1-0 at Turf Moor in the reverse fixture at the start of December.
However, the hosts have only earned 12 points in as many home games this season and enter this match winless in their last seven (D3 L4) - their longest run without a league victory at Selhurst Park in almost three decades.
Palace are unbeaten in their last five matches against this opponent (W3 D2)!
Meanwhile, after a few promising performances against Liverpool, Man United and Spurs, Burnley come into this fixture following two costly defeats to Sunderland and, most recently, West Ham.
With that, the Clarets are now 11 points below 17th-placed Nottingham Forest and winless in their last 16 EPL games. The only teams they have beaten this season are Sunderland, Wolves and Leeds.
The visitors have been marginally better on the road than at home this term, but 10 points from 12 games and no wins in their last seven does not provide much reason for optimism in this one.
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Crystal Palace against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
W. Benitez
DefenderC. Riad
N. Clyne
B. Sosa
MidfielderC. Uche
J. Devenny
W. Hughes
Y. Pino
B. Johnson
M. Weiss
DefenderL. Pires
H. Ekdal
MidfielderF. Luis
J. Ward Prowse
A. Barnes
L. Foster
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
Missing players
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
Crystal Palace & Burnley Squad Analysis
Ismaila Sarr scored the winner against the Seagulls at the weekend and has now netted in two of his three matches since returning from the Africa Cup of Nations with champions Senegal.
After completing his big-money move from Wolves on the winter transfer deadline day, Jorgen Strand Larsen was handed his debut in the last match. He will likely lead the line again here with Jean-Philippe Mateta still sidelined.
The other injury absentees for the hosts this week include Justin Devenny, Cheick Doucoure and Eddie Nketiah, though the latter is believed to be close to making a return in the next few weeks.
Evann Guessand provided an assist on his Palace league debut last weekend!
Parker opted to start Zian Flemming ahead of Lyle Foster and Armando Broja at number nine in the last match. The 27-year-old recorded a match-high seven shots in 67 minutes and could keep his place up top for this one.
Florentino Luis was withdrawn at halftime against the Hammers for Josh Laurent. Given that the Portuguese midfielder did not sustain an injury, it likely suggests that Laurent will be given the nod to start this match.
The visitors will be missing at least five players through injury in midweek, including Mike Tresor, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, Zeki Amdouni and long-term absentee Josh Cullen.
Most goals and assists
Crystal Palace
Burnley
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Crystal Palace - Burnley Key Points
- Seven of Crystal Palace’s last 10 games have ended with between 2 and 4 goals.
- Crystal Palace have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home games across all competitions.
- Eight of Burnley’s last 10 games have ended with between 2 and 4 goals.
- Burnley have conceded two or more goals in six of their last seven league matches.
- Three of the last four games between these sides ended with between 2 and 4 goals.
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Our Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction
While Crystal Palace kept a clean sheet in their last match, those have been rare for them this season, and the last one was more attributable to wasteful finishing from Brighton, rather than a solid defensive display from the Eagles.
As for Burnley, it’s becoming difficult to see how they will be able to avoid the drop this season. They have the worst defence in the league (1.98 xGA per 90), and we expect there to be a few more goals coming in this one. Our Crystal Palace vs Burnley prediction is 2 to 4 match goals.
Crystal Palace vs Burnley Alternative Predictions
Crystal Palace wins
Crystal Palace have won their last three games against this opponent and are unbeaten in their last five, while Burnley are winless in their last 16 EPL matches since the start of November.
Ismaila Sarr to score or assist
Ismaila Sarr has scored in two of his three games since returning from AFCON and will relish the opportunity to take on a leaky Burnley defence in this one.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Crystal Palace Burnley
| Crystal Palace vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 1.69 | 1.54 | -8.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.8 | +28.0% |
| Burnley wins | 5.6 | 7.25 | +29.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crystal Palace is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 64.9% (5.8%)
Crystal Palace vs Burnley - FAQs
The Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Burnley will take place on February 11 at 19:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Burnley will be played at Selhurst Park in London.
The Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Burnley will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
