Coventry City vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
Championship title chasers Coventry City face a Good Friday Midlands clash against playoff hopefuls Derby County. Frank Lampard's Sky Blues have come through a sticky spell to reassert themselves at the top of the table, while the Rams playoff hopes remain in the thick of the playoff battle, three points outside of the top six with seven games left to play. Here's our prediction for the match.
Coventry City currently sit nine points clear at the top of the Championship table, with 80 points from 39 games, also scoring a league high 81 goals in those games. Derby County are in a battle for the playoffs, sitting in eighth spot with 60 points from 39 games, four clear of Watford below them and just three behind Southampton and Wrexham above them.
Coventry have come through a sticky spell to win seven of their last eight in the league. That run includes a 2-0 win away at Bristol City, a 3-0 home win over Preston and their sole defeat came in a 2-1 home defeat against Southampton. However, they bounced back at the weekend, beating Swansea 3-0 away from home.
Derby's recent form is also solid with three wins in their last four games. That run started with a 2-1 win over Sheffield Wednesday at home, followed by a 1-0 defeat away to Millwall. The Rams then won 1-0 away at Portsmouth before an important 1-0 home win over Birmingham last weekend.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Coventry City v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 3.95 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.04 | 5.55 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.92 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.56 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.95 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Coventry City and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Coventry City vs Derby County match is: Coventry wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2026 between Coventry City and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.5% for a win of Coventry City against Derby County with odds of 1.66 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Coventry City vs Derby County is 9.79% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Coventry City with odds of 5.55 at Melbet.
Coventry City - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Coventry City Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City wins | 56.5% | 1.66 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.96% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Coventry City | 20.94% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Coventry City vs Derby County Form
Coventry City and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
95 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 |
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
Coventry City and Derby County Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
16 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
26 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
23 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
Coventry City vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Mar 2021 - Championship
Coventry City against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
B. Wilson
DefenderL. Woolfenden
K. Hayden
J. Bidwell
MidfielderJ. Rudoni
J. Markelo
V. Torp
E. Mason-Clark
H. Wright
H. Price
DefenderC. Forsyth
D. Batth
I. Gordon
MidfielderC. Smith
O. Fraulo
L. Thompson
C. Allen
P. Agyemang
Missing players
O. Dovin
Most goals and assists
Coventry City
Derby County
H. Wright
(17 Goals)
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
M. Van Ewijk
(10 Assists)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
Coventry City - Derby County Key Points
- Coventry have won 14 of their 19 games at home this season (D3, L2).
- Derby have lost three of their last four away league games.
- Coventry City are averaging over two goals per game this season.
- Coventry were 5-3 winners when the teams met at Pride Park in August 2025.
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Our Coventry City vs Derby County Prediction
Our prediction for the Coventry City vs. Derby County Championship match is: Coventry wins.
Coventry City have put their mini-wobble behind them in comprehensive fashion, winning seven of their next eight games to take full control of the top of the table. Promotion looks a certainty for Frank Lampard's men and that doesn't bode well even for a Derby team that are in relatively good form themselves. This is a big ask for the Rams to pick up anything from this game as the data all points to a win for the home side, which is what we are backing here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Coventry City Derby County
| Coventry City vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City wins | 1.46 | 1.66 | +13.7% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0% |
| Derby County wins | 7 | 5.55 | -20.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Coventry City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.5% and is now 60.2% (-8.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Coventry City vs. Derby County game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Coventry City and Derby County when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
