Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
After an opening-day defeat to Ospreys, Connacht Rugby will be looking to bounce back when they welcome Black Lion to the Sportsground in this Challenge Cup round two fixture on Saturday. Can Stuart Lancaster's charges defeat Black Lion this weekend? Here is our prediction for the match.
Connacht Rugby have struggled with a less-than-stellar start to their campaign this term so far, and this shaky run continued in their Challenge Cup opener last week. The Westerners conceded 19 unanswered points in the second half to squander a 16-point first-half lead against Ospreys, eventually losing 24-21.
That result marked their fourth defeat in five games across all competitions. Nevertheless, the Irish club boasted strong results in their last seven Challenge Cup games, winning five. They have also won three of their last four Challenge Cup home games.
Black Lion lost their Challenge Cup opener by eleven points to Montpellier HR. The Georgian club closed in on what would have been a milestone victory against the French side with a 13-point first-half lead, before falling by 24 unanswered points in the second half.
That result saw the Lions suffer their fourth consecutive Challenge Cup defeat, all of which by double digits. They have also lost their last three Challenge Cup away games by wide margins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Connacht Rugby v Black Lion Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.03 | 51 | 11 |
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1.02 | 51 | 13 |
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1.01 | 36 | 14 |
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1.01 | 50 | 9 |
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1.06 | 23 | 11.1 |
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Connacht Rugby vs Black Lion Form
Connacht Rugby and Black Lion Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
12 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Challenge Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
26 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies
17 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies
19 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
1/5 (20%)
0/5 (0%)
4/5 (80%)
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
20 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup
9 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
26 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies
17 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies
19 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup
15 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup
Connacht Rugby - Black Lion Key Points
- Connacht Rugby have won five of their last seven Challenge Cup games.
- Connacht Rugby have won three of their last four Challenge Cup home games by wide margins.
- Black Lion have lost their last four Challenge Cup games by double digits.
- Black Lion have lost their last three Challenge Cup away games by wide margins.
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Our Connacht Rugby vs Black Lion Prediction
Connacht Rugby have remained difficult opponents in the Challenge Cup since last season, especially when playing at home. They head into this match as the clear favorites and will look to bounce back from their opening-round defeat.
Meanwhile, a four-game losing streak in the Challenge Cup overshadows the Black Lion's trip to Ireland. They have also suffered defeats in their last three Challenge Cup away games, all of which by wide margins. Hence, we return Connacht Rugby for a commanding victory on Saturday. Our Connacht Rugby vs Black Lion prediction is Connacht Rugby -22.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
