Comoros vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu | in AFCON Predictions
Mali and Comoros will face off in the third match in Group A at the 2025 African Cup of Nations. For the two nations, this clash presents another chance to seek the first win at the competition. Heading into this outing, Comoros are at the bottom of the pool while Mali are second. We have a prediction for this match below.
This group has been one of the tightest so far, with the opening two rounds only producing one win. That win belonged to the host nation, Morocco. The victory was against Comoros, a 2-0 defeat for the island nation.
Taking part in the AFCON for only the second time, Comoros have so far posted a point after playing to a draw on matchday two. Meanwhile, Mali can advance automatically even without a win, after drawing in their opening two matches. There will be a confident feeling around the Mali camp, as manager Tom Saintfiet has beaten his Comoros counterpart five times before.
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The Best Betting Odds for Comoros v Mali Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 3.6 | 1.55 |
|
|
7.5 | 3.75 | 1.5 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.5 | 1.55 |
|
|
8.5 | 3.75 | 1.48 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.75 | 1.53 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Comoros and Mali?
Our prediction for the Comoros vs Mali match is: Mali wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Comoros and Mali in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.74% for a win of Comoros against Mali with odds of 8.5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Comoros vs Mali is 28.12% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Comoros with odds of 1.55 at Bet365.
Comoros - Mali Prediction and Best Odds:
| Comoros Mali Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 45.14% | 1.55 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 60.79% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 25% | 2.55 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Mali/Mali | 18.72% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Comoros vs Mali Form
Comoros and Mali's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
|
3
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 |
Comoros and Mali Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Comoros vs Mali Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Comoros - Mali: Form Analysis
Comoros are looking to erase both a poor history against Mali and a winless run ahead of this match. Going into this encounter, they are winless inside 90 minutes in their latest six matches.
Four of the said six matches were defeats, but they managed to stop the bleeding in the last game. Comoros had a positive game against Zambia, even scoring a goal, which would later be chalked off after VAR checks.
In the end it was a 0-0 draw, as they failed to score for the second game back-to-back. That result was also a depiction of the work done in defence. Comoros had conceded 2+ in each of the previous five matches.
In two meetings with Mali, Comoros conceded six goals.
Mali are targeting a fourth consecutive knockout round appearance. This match marks the third meeting between these two nations.
The previous two also happened in 2025, and Mali carried the day, with identical 3-0 wins in the World Cup qualifiers. That might be the motivation they need after each of their last three matches ended in stalemates.
Les Aigles came into the tournament having drawn 0-0 with Jordan in a friendly match. They would then start off with a 1-1 draw against Zambia before holding Morocco by the same margin on matchday two.
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Comoros against Mali Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Comoros & Mali Squad Analysis
Mali have a few doubts in their squad ahead of this game. After spending much of the season nursing an injury, Yves Bissouma hasn’t had much game time. However, he featured in the Morocco game for 57 minutes and has been listed as doubtful for the Comoros match.
The Tottenham Hotspur midfielder, also Mali’s skipper, had a decent game, but there will be a need to manage his minutes. Paris FC defender Hamari Traore is another major doubt for this match with a muscle injury.
He missed the Morocco game, having earlier been benched against Zambia. In the two previous meetings between these nations, Kamory Doumbia and Dorgeles Nene scored five of the six goals. They will be looking to continue with that trajectory.
Mali’s Aliou Dieng is suspended for the Comoros match.
Comoros haven't reported any injuries or potential absences, but after two grueling encounters, there could be a need to change things.
Rafiki Said has played as a lone striker in their opening two matches, and fatigue could be creeping in. It won’t be a surprise if Stefano Cusin rests him in this game.
The ever-present Youssouf M’Changama will then be needed to take up attacking duties. Myziane Maolida had a goal disallowed in the Zambia match and will be looking to prove his worth here.
Most goals and assists
Comoros
Mali
L. Sinayoko
(2 Goals)
Comoros - Mali Key Points
- Mali lost just one of their last seven AFCON matches.
- Mali have beaten Comoros in both their earlier meetings.
- Comoros have suffered four defeats in the last five matches.
- Comoros won just two of their last 10 matches and lost six.
- Mali are winless in only two of their last 10 games, winning four.
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Our Comoros vs Mali Prediction
Comoros are once again coming into this fixture as the underdogs. The last two times they faced Mali, things didn’t go too well. There is a chance this too might be a tough outing. While it presents Comoros the opportunity to avenge, any risks could take severe punishment.
Solid matches against Morocco and Zambia have also drained them, and we expect. A few starters to be rested. Mali should be able to deal with a jaded Comoros side, and they have better experience at this stage. Our prediction for Comoros v Mali is that Mali wins.
Comoros vs Mali - Other Interesting Predictions
Match to have a penalty
Zambia’s two matches have had three penalties awarded. Two of them were handed to Mali. In the two meetings between these nations also, two penalties were awarded to Mali and were scored.
As these teams have this last chance to battle for a knockout round, we expected a bruising battle. This could lead to errors, and there’s a likelihood for another penalty.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Comoros Mali
| Comoros vs Mali | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comoros wins | 10 | 7 | -30.0% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 3.6 | -24.2% |
| Mali wins | 1.33 | 1.55 | +16.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mali is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 64.5% (-10.7%)
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Comoros vs Mali - FAQs
The Comoros v Mali match will be played on Monday, 29th December.
The Comoros v Mali match will be played at the Mohamed V Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
