Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Chivas, ranked second at the start of the Liga MX Clausura quarter-finals, will host seventh-ranked Tigres in their return leg. In the first leg match, Tigres claimed a 3-1 win and will be looking to finish the job. As they are unbeaten in nine meetings with Chivas, our prediction will back a Tigres win.
Chivas haven’t been in action since the first leg of this tie and will hope to benefit from the rest. They come into this game with work to do having failed to win any of their last three matches.
In that run they scored just one goal, and it makes things harder for them, having not beaten Tigres in nine meetings. At home against Tigres, they avoided defeat in three of four meetings, but all those ended in draws.
Tigres will have less time to recover after their trip to North America for a CONCACAF Champions Cup match against Nashville. They posted a 1-0 win and look to carry the momentum back home.
While their hosts are struggling in attack, Tigres have, notably, conceded just twice in their last five matches. Their win against Nashville was the fourth straight, and they are unbeaten in six.
The visitors’ form on the road isn’t great, but they come here undefeated in the last three, having drawn twice.
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Chivas v Tigres UANL Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.28 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.28 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chivas and Tigres UANL?
Our prediction for the Chivas vs Tigres UANL match is: Tigres wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Chivas and Tigres UANL in Liga MX :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.82% for a win of Chivas against Tigres UANL with odds of 2.25 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chivas vs Tigres UANL is 33.18% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23% chance ⭐ for a win of Tigres UANL vs Chivas with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
Chivas - Tigres UANL Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chivas Tigres UANL Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chivas wins | 43.82% | 2.25 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.57% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chivas | 18.9% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Chivas vs Tigres UANL Form
Chivas and Tigres UANL Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Liga MX
25 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
22 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
18 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
11 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
5 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
18 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
5 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
18 Mar 2026 - Liga MX
14 Mar 2026 - Liga MX
14 Feb 2026 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Liga MX
22 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
11 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
29 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - Liga MX
7 Mar 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Concachampions
2 May 2026 - Liga MX
28 Apr 2026 - Concachampions
25 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
22 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
18 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Concachampions
2 May 2026 - Liga MX
25 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
11 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
8 Apr 2026 - Concachampions
19 Mar 2026 - Concachampions
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2026 - Concachampions
22 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
18 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
15 Apr 2026 - Concachampions
3 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
22 Mar 2026 - Liga MX
Chivas vs Tigres UANL Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 May 2026 - Liga MX
11 Apr 2026 - Liga MX
17 Sept 2025 - Liga MX
25 Jan 2025 - Liga MX
24 Aug 2024 - Liga MX
21 Jan 2024 - Liga MX
Chivas against Tigres UANL Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Liceaga
DefenderG. Sepulveda
M. Gomez
M. Tapias
Y. Padilla
S. Inda
H. Camberos
ForwardJ. Perez
D. Latorre
S. Aguayo
F. Rodriguez
DefenderJ. Purata
V. Lorona
R. Guerrero
M. Farfan
MidfielderM. Flores
I. Galvan
ForwardA. Gignac
I. Lopez
D. Lainez
Missing players
R. Rangel
DefenderLeonardo Sepúlveda
MidfielderL. Romo
B. Gutierrez
ForwardR. Alvarado
A. Gonzalez
Most goals and assists
Chivas
Tigres UANL
A. Gonzalez
(12 Goals)
J. Brunetta
(8 Goals)
E. Alvarez
(4 Assists)
A. Correa
(8 Assists)
Chivas - Tigres UANL Key Points
- Tigres are coming off four straight wins.
- In their last six matches, Tigres are unbeaten.
- Chivas are winless in their last three matches, losing the latest.
- Tigres are unbeaten in nine against Chivas, winning four.
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Our Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction
Tigres have the first leg advantage and will want to add to it when they head to Guadalajara. While Chivas have had a good run at home in recent matches, Tigres take into this encounter a four-match unbeaten run away to Chivas.
Three of those ended in draws, and the last time Chivas won this fixture at home was in 2022. Tigres will also be confident heading into this game as they are coming off a win away to Nashville in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Our prediction for Chivas v Tigres is that Tigres wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chivas Tigres UANL
| Chivas vs Tigres UANL | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chivas wins | 2 | 2.25 | +12.5% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.6 | -4.0% |
| Tigres UANL wins | 3.25 | 3.3 | +1.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chivas is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 44.4% (-5.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
