Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
A searing and potentially season-shaping showdown awaits Stamford Bridge this Saturday, when Chelsea square off against Manchester United on Matchday 33 in the Premier League. The Blues are sixth in the league standings, while the Red Devils are in third place. Check out our match prediction below!
While the EPL title is likely to come down to a two-horse race, Champions League qualification is still wide open, but Chelsea are at risk of getting cut adrift. Liam Rosenior’s side are four points behind Liverpool in fifth and could end the weekend as low as ninth if results elsewhere go against them.
Man United are in an excellent position to record their highest league finish in three years, but dropped points in the last four gameweeks have seen their advantage over fourth-placed Villa wiped out. Michael Carrick’s team won the reverse fixture 2-1 in September - can they complete the double over the West Londoners? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Chelsea v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.12 | 3.75 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.62 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.64 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Manchester United match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Chelsea and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.6% for a win of Chelsea against Manchester United with odds of 2.16 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Manchester United is 32.66% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Chelsea with odds of 3.49 at 888Starz.
Chelsea - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 41.74% | 3.49 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.29% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United | 20.47% | 8.25 at LSbet |
Chelsea vs Manchester United Form
Chelsea and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
Chelsea and Manchester United Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 May 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Chelsea enter this weekend’s matchup off the back of a disappointing 3-0 loss to Manchester City at home, marking the third consecutive league fixture in which they failed to find the back of the net.
The Blues have lost four of their last five EPL matches and have won just three of their last 10 games across all competitions. Only one of those wins came in the top flight (4-1 against Aston Villa).
The hosts have won just one of their last six home games, a 7-0 victory over lower-division Port Vale in the FA Cup quarter-final. They have also failed to score in three of their last four at Stamford Bridge.
However, Chelsea are unbeaten in their last five home games against Man United!
Meanwhile, Manchester United were beaten 2-1 by Leeds after being reduced to 10 men last weekend. That result marked the first home loss for the team under the guidance of Michael Carrick.
After going seven games unbeaten between mid-January and the start of March (W6 D1), the Red Devils have now won just one of their last four top-flight matches. They conceded two or more goals in three games during this stretch.
The visitors have also won only one of their last four away league games (D2 L1) and have earned 22 points in 16 EPL matches on the road - the seventh-best record in the division this term.
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Chelsea against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderJ. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
T. Chalobah
A. Santos
R. Lavia
D. Essugo
ForwardM. Guiu
A. Garnacho
A. Bayindir
DefenderT. Malacia
MidfielderJ. Thwaites
S. Lacey
A. Diallo
M. Ugarte
T. Fletcher
M. Mount
J. Zirkzee
Missing players
L. Colwill
ForwardM. Mudryk
Joao Pedro
J. Gittens
M. De Ligt
L. Yoro
P. Dorgu
Chelsea & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Chelsea’s lack of attacking output coincided with the club ban imposed on Enzo Fernandez, but the Argentine international has been cleared to return this week and could bring some much-needed creativity back to their attack.
Should Fernandez feature from the off, Cole Palmer will likely be moved back out wide, while Pedro Neto, Estevao and Alejandro Garnacho will be competing to complete the attacking trio alongside Joao Pedro.
The hosts still have a fairly lengthy list of absentees, with Levi Colwill, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Trevoh Chalobah and Filip Jorgensen sidelined. Reece James and Benoit Badashile are listed as major doubts.
Bruno Fernandes has recorded at least one goal contribution in each of his last five EPL games!
Man United’s skipper has been absolutely incredible since returning from injury in January. He is now up to 26 goal contributions in 31 matches across all competitions this season, including 17 assists in the Prem.
The major talking point in the last week was the extension of Harry Maguire’s suspension after his FA misconduct charge was upheld. With Lisandro Martinez also suspended and Mathijs De Ligt injured, Carrick has a major headache in defence.
Ayden Heaven is the most likely to partner Leny Yoro this week, meaning the visitors will have two youngsters lining up in central defence. Kobbie Mainoo and Patrick Dorgu are the other injury absentees for United this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Manchester United
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Chelsea - Manchester United Key Points
- Chelsea have the highest xG per 90 in the EPL this season (1.89).
- Chelsea have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five league games.
- Each of Man United’s last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Man United have only failed to score in one away league match this season.
- Both teams scored in eight of the last nine league matches between these sides.
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Our Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction
While Chelsea have failed to score in their last three league games, they still have the highest xG in the top flight, and the likes of Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer will be licking their lips at the opportunity to go up against a depleted United back line this weekend.
Man United have started to cool off in recent weeks, but they still carry serious attacking threat with Bruno Fernandes pulling the strings in the middle of the park. Given how these sides enter this contest, we are expecting goals at both ends in this match. Our Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction is BTTS.
Chelsea vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Eight of Chelsea’s last 10 matches in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals, while seven of Man United’s last 10 games have seen three or more strike the back of the net.
Draw
Four of Man United’s last seven away games have ended in a draw, and five of the last 10 league encounters between these sides have ended level at the final whistle.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Manchester United
| Chelsea vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 2.38 | 2.16 | -9.2% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.8 | +4.1% |
| Manchester United wins | 2.65 | 3.49 | +31.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 31.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 28.7% (-9.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Chelsea vs. Manchester United game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Chelsea and Manchester United when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Premier League!
Chelsea vs Manchester United - FAQs
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester United will take place on April 18 at 20:00 (UK time).
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester United will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester United will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
