England - Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
The first of four guards of honor in respect to Liverpool’s new status as Premier League champions will be put up this weekend. The 2024/25 league champions will be facing Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Sunday, 4th May. Entering the 34th round of matches, we have a preview and the prediction for this match below.
Chelsea are coming here, placed fifth, and will be thankful for Nottingham Forest’s recent slump. Were it not so, the Blues would at the moment be outside the top five. Liverpool have had a great season, losing just two of their 34 league matches so far.
They will be fired up for this one too, as they are determined to finish the season on a high. Though more of their recent cup and league games against Chelsea have ended in draws, Liverpool are unbeaten in 10 matches against the Blues. Can Chelsea end that winless run? Read on for our preview.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.7 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.75 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.81 | 3.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Liverpool match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Chelsea and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.69% for a win of Chelsea against Liverpool with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Liverpool is 24.25% with odds of 3.9 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Chelsea with odds of 3.38 at 1xbet.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Form
Chelsea and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 48 |
|
5
|
60 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 19 |
Chelsea and Liverpool Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2025 - Conference League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2025 - Conference League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
25 Feb 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
13 Aug 2023 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
21 Jan 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Liverpool: Form Analysis
For the first time as this season’s Premier League champions, Liverpool will be stepping out at Stamford Bridge. Here they will be up against a side they’ve dominated in recent meetings. The final four matches of the league season mean more to Chelsea than Liverpool.
The Blues are well in the fight for a top five finish and, in a tight race, will want to claim three points here. Enzo Maresca’s men are juggling all this with the Europa Conference League on the side, where they are on their way to the final.
Ahead of this game, Chelsea beat Djurgarden 4-1 in the Conference League semis first leg.
Liverpool are unbeaten in 10 against Chelsea.
The last time Liverpool lost to Chelsea was in 2021. The Reds will be looking to extend this run, having beaten Chelsea 2-1 in the reverse match. That was their third straight win in this fixture.
With the league title in the bag, Liverpool will be under no pressure at all for this game. Manager Arne Slot has already hinted at the possibility of rotating. Looking at the quality of the Liverpool squad, even with rotation, they will be strong.
In the league this season, Liverpool lost just twice, six less than Chelsea.
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Chelsea vs Liverpool last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
O. Kellyman
M. Mudryk
M. Guiu
J. Gomez
Chelsea & Liverpool Squad Analysis
The Blues have started posting comfortable numbers in attack, coinciding with the return of Nicolas Jackson. The Senegalese forward scored in the reverse match against Liverpool and has now scored three goals in the last two matches since returning from injury.
If he can strike a working partnership with the off-form Cole Palmer, then Chelsea will be back to their lethal ways. Palmer hasn’t scored a league goal since mid-January.
After 33 matches last season, Palmer had 22 goals; this time he has 14.
Chasing records, Mohamed Salah is a sure starter in this match. He was lethal when Liverpool were on the chase for the title, and he will be even more so in a relaxed Liverpool side.
The Egyptian has scored 28 league goals and 18 assists in 34 matches. His xG rating of 24.04 makes him a favorite to score again here. The Reds will, however, be without Joe Gomez, who is nursing a hamstring injury.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Liverpool
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
M. Salah
(33 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(12 Assists)
M. Salah
(23 Assists)
Chelsea and Liverpool Stats in Premier League
Chelsea - Liverpool Key Points
- Liverpool’s last five matches produced an average of 3.2 goals.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in four of Chelsea’s last five matches.
- In Liverpool’s last five matches, three produced over 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Chelsea’s last 10 league matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 3.3 goals were scored on average in the last three league matches pitting these two sides.
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Our Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction
The title is in the bag for Liverpool, but as much as the foot will come off the pedal, we don’t expect a freefall. The Reds, with Mo Salah upfront, will still have a goal threat coming into this match, and we expect a high-scoring one.
Chelsea have done well in attack at home and will also see this as an opportunity to further their top-five agenda. As both sides are coming from matches with high scores, we will back the same here. Our prediction for Chelsea v Liverpool is for over 2.5.
Chelsea vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Mo Salah to score
Mohamed Salah has five goals against his former team Chelsea. The Egyptian has been a thorn to Chelsea and even scored against them this season. Here he comes on a very good season, and he will lead the attack again. Our second prediction for this match is for Mo Salah to score.
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Chelsea vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Chelsea v Liverpool match will be played on Sunday, 4th May.
The Chelsea v Liverpool match will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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