Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The floodlights will be beaming down on Stamford Bridge on Tuesday night when Chelsea play host to Leeds United on Matchday 26 of the Premier League. The Blues are fifth in the league standings, while the Whites are in 16th place after 25 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After the disappointment of crashing out of the Carabao Cup at the semi-final stage last week, Chelsea bounced back with an impressive performance at Molineux over the weekend. With Aston Villa and Man City dropping points on MD25 and both only playing on Wednesday, the Blues can cut the gap to the top three to just one point overnight with a victory here.
Leeds United maintained their six-point buffer above the drop zone by picking up their seventh win of the season at the weekend. The Peacocks are massive underdogs in this clash but cannot be written off entirely, having stunned the West Londoners 3-1 in the reverse fixture back in December. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Chelsea v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 4.7 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.34 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.34 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.3 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Leeds match is: Chelsea wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/02/2026 between Chelsea and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.43% for a win of Chelsea against Leeds with odds of 1.56 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Leeds is 29.36% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Chelsea with odds of 6.35 at 888Starz.
Chelsea - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 43.43% | 1.56 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.28% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 67.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 15.88% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Leeds Form
Chelsea and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Chelsea and Leeds Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
21 Aug 2022 - Premier League
11 May 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Chelsea - Leeds: Form Analysis
Chelsea delivered a solid performance to defeat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 on the road at the weekend, which took them to 43 points, one point behind fourth-placed Manchester United.
The Blues have now won four in a row in the EPL and six of seven across all competitions, with the only exception being the loss to the Gunners in the EFL Cup. They also scored two or more goals in each of those league wins.
Notably, the hosts have not been great at home this season, earning 21 points from 12 games (W6 D3 L3), but they are unbeaten in their last seven league home matches against their upcoming opponent.
Chelsea have scored two or more goals in four of their last five Prem home matches!
Meanwhile, Leeds United produced a stunning performance to beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at home this past weekend to remain six points above the drop zone and just five below the mid-table.
With that result, the Whites have now only suffered two defeats in their last 12 top-flight games (W4 D6) since the start of December, with those two losses coming against Arsenal and Newcastle.
However, 22 of the visitors' 29 points this season have come at Elland Road. Away from home, they have earned a mere seven points from 12 games (W1 D4 L7) and are winless in their last nine.
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Chelsea against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderB. Badiashile
W. Fofana
J. Hato
M. Sarr
ForwardP. Neto
L. Delap
A. Garnacho
M. Guiu
L. Perri
DefenderS. Byram
MidfielderS. Longstaff
F. Buonanotte
A. Tanaka
ForwardN. Okafor
J. Piroe
G. Wilfried
D. James
Missing players
F. Jorgensen
DefenderT. Adarabioyo
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
J. Gittens
A. Stach
Chelsea & Leeds Squad Analysis
After starting the Carabao Cup defeat to Arsenal on the bench, Cole Palmer returned to the Blues’ starting lineup in style, scoring a first-half hat-trick against Wolves over the weekend.
Joao Pedro was unable to find the back of the net for a fourth match in succession at Molineux, but he was a constant menace to the opposing back line and won two penalties which Palmer converted.
Liam Rosenior confirmed that Reece James will be available for this match. However, Jamie Gittens, Dario Essugo, Tosin Adarabioyo, Romeo Lavia, and Levi Colwill are still sidelined.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is pushing for an England recall!
The 28-year-old forward took his goals tally in the league to double digits by scoring his team’s third over the weekend. He also netted in the 3-1 victory against Chelsea in the reverse fixture.
After featuring against the Gunners and Everton, January arrival Facundo Buonanotte was not part of the squad at the weekend, and he will have to sit this one out as well, as he is ineligible to face his parent club.
Leeds came away from the last match with no new injury concerns, meaning Anton Stach remains the only confirmed absentee for the visitors in this one.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Leeds
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Chelsea - Leeds Key Points
- Chelsea have won their last four league games.
- Chelsea have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home league matches.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last seven league home games against their upcoming opponent.
- Leeds United are winless in their last nine away league games.
- Leeds United have only kept one clean sheet in away matches this season.
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Our Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction
While Leeds United look increasingly likely to avoid the drop this season, much of that positivity has stemmed from their record at home, where they have earned 22 of their 29 league points this term.
On the road, though, the Whites have not won a match since September last year in any competition, and we feel they will struggle to change that here against a Chelsea team looking to maintain pressure on the top four. Our Chelsea vs Leeds prediction is Chelsea wins.
Chelsea vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Eight of Chelsea’s last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring, while seven of Leeds United’s last 10 EPL matches have seen both sides strike the back of the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Leeds
| Chelsea vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.68 | 1.56 | -7.1% |
| Draw | 4.27 | 4.8 | +12.4% |
| Leeds wins | 5.43 | 6.35 | +16.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 64.1% (4.6%)
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Chelsea vs Leeds - FAQs
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Leeds will take place on February 10 at 19:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Leeds will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Leeds will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
