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Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
17/08/2025 09:00
Crystal Palace

Prediction :

 

Chelsea wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Chelsea have won two titles outside England since they last played a domestic game. Now they return to England on a quest for similar dominance at home. Their season starts off by hosting Crystal Palace. We have a prediction for this match below.

The Blues won the Conference League title in May and went on to claim the Club World Cup. It has been a busy summer for Enzo Maresca’s team, especially with the global showpiece in the USA and chances to rest have ben really scarce. Most of the teams they should be competing with were returning for preseason as Chelsea wrapped up in the USA.

Among them were Crystal Palace, their first opponents in the new season, who come here with their own confidence levels up. The Eagles head into this game as the FA Cup holders, having beaten Manchester City in the final. They also kicked off their campaign in style, defeating Liverpool in the Community Shield.

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Crystal Palace Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.57 4.5 5
Betfred
1.62 4.2 5.5
William Hill
1.62 4 5
Betway
1.62 4.2 5
Ladbrokes
1.6 4.2 5.25
Check all Chelsea vs Crystal Palace odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Crystal Palace?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Crystal Palace match is: Chelsea wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Chelsea and Crystal Palace in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.45% for a win of Chelsea against Crystal Palace with odds of 1.63 at Bwin.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Crystal Palace is 15.11% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Chelsea with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Form

Chelsea and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Chelsea
Chelsea
0 0 0 0 0 0

Chelsea and Crystal Palace Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

8 May 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace Last matches
W W L L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  3
Crystal Palace

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crawley Town
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Millwall
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Millwall

20 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  2
Wolves

17 May 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Manchester City

5 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Aston Villa
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  3
Crystal Palace

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Crawley Town
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Crystal Palace

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

67 %

Draw

33 %

Crystal Palace

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (home team)
0.83
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

1 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

12 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  3
Chelsea

27 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

15 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

1 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Chelsea
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Chelsea - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis

Chelsea went into last season as underdogs but made the most of it and they start this campaign with a completely different profile. The world champions will be looking to add to their cabinet the Premier League title, silverware they last won in 2016/17.

They have the personnel and quality to achieve that but there are fears fatigue may affect their early days. Chelsea have literally played through the summer and such a schedule could mean a slow start to the season in England.

Chelsea wrapped up their league campaign with just two losses in 12 matches and will hope to start in such form.

Crystal Palace last beat Chelsea eight years ago, completing back-to-back wins.

Crystal Palace haven't managed a win against Chelsea across the last 16 meetings between them. They got close to ending this winless run last season, but both home and away matches ended in 1-1 draws.

That was the first time they stopped Chelsea from posting consecutive wins in this fixture in eight years. The Eagles will have reason to feel they can go a notch higher.

Their belief emanates from the developments in the team in recent months. Palace triumphed over Manchester City in the FA Cup in May, winning their first major title. They then stood up to the Premier League champions, Liverpool, beating them to the Community Shield.

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Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

B. Badiashile

L. Colwill

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

M. Mudryk

N. Jackson

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Defender

C. Riad

C. Kporha

Midfielder

C. Doucoure

M. Franca

Forward

E. Nketiah

Chelsea & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis

Chelsea have had a busy transfer window, bringing in at least 11 new players to bolster the team. Among the new names listed for the season, one sure starter is Joao Pedro.

The Brazilian has had a big impact since joining from Brighton. With Nicholas Jackson suspended for this game, Pedro will be an easy pick for Maresca. \

This forward line will also definitely have Cole Palmer, who scored 15 times in the league last season and was key in both the Conference League and Club World Cup. Defensively though, Levi Colwill, Wesley Fofana and Benoit Badiashile are all ruled out.

Chelsea’s 18-year-old Jesse Derry, signed from Palace is unlikely to face his former employers.

Crystal Palace haven't been as busy as their London rivals on the transfer market. They have just two confirmed incoming players – Walter Benitez, a free signing, and Borna Sosa from Ajax.

The Eagles have managed to keep a core of the team used last season. However, there has been reported interest from Arsenal and Tottenham for Eberechi Eze while Liverpool are said to be digging in for skipper Mark Guehi.

Unless there is a new development, the two are expected to play in this match.

Chelsea - Crystal Palace Key Points

  1. Crystal Palace won just 25 of their 132 London derbies in history.
  2. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 16 meetings with Crystal Palace.
  3. Crystal Palace won just seven of their 19 away matches last season.
  4. Chelsea won 12 of their 19 home matches in the league last season.
  5. Chelsea won their last four season-opening matches against London teams.
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Our Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Two clubs that won three trophies last season come face-to-face in a season opening London derby. While Crystal Palace come into this match as underdogs, triumphs in the FA Cup final and Community Shield mean Chelsea will be mistaken to underrate them.

This, however, isn’t a fixture Crystal Palace have really prevailed in and will need to be at their best to beat the current Chelsea side. With 14 wins in the last 16 meetings, Chelsea are outright favorites here. Our prediction for Chelsea v Crystal Palace is that Chelsea wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Chelsea wins the match

 
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Chelsea vs Crystal Palace - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 1.7

Our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score. While Palace come here as the underdogs, they have shown they can shock the best. With Jean-Philippe Mateta and Eberechi Eze in, you can never rule out a goal from these two forwards.

Chelsea are also fielding top players, who are enjoying a good run, which supports our bet that both teams will hit the back of the net.

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Chelsea vs Crystal Palace match : Frequently asked questions

The Chelsea v Crystal Palace match will be played on Sunday 17th August.

The Chelsea v Crystal Palace match will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Prediction
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