Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Chelsea, under new boss Liam Rosenior, welcomes city rivals Brentford this weekend when they return to Premier League action. Just two points separate the two capital clubs in the table after 21 rounds of play. Brentford, who come into the weekend in fifth place, have the advantage over their hosts, who are in eighth spot. Read on for our match prediction.
This is the second league meeting between these two. They played a 2-2 draw in the reverse game, sharing the spoils for the third time in the last four meetings. Bookies see a draw as the second likeliest result here, as they fancy the Blues to come out on top.
The last time Chelsea was in action in the Premier League, Rosenior had not been appointed. After two cup games, he gets to handle his first Premier League game as manager. Brentford’s Keith Andrews, four years his senior, will be determined not to hand Rosenior his first haul of three points.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Brentford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.95 | 4 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.74 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.7 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.85 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Brentford match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Chelsea and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.36% for a win of Chelsea against Brentford with odds of 1.91 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Brentford is 24.55% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Chelsea with odds of 4.3 at Melbet.
Chelsea - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 39.36% | 1.91 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.25% | 1.62 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | 2.42 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 17.23% | 3 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Brentford Form
Chelsea and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
34 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +12 |
|
7
|
33 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +5 |
Chelsea and Brentford Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
28 Oct 2023 - Premier League
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Brentford: Form Analysis
The Blues lost away to Fulham to extend their winless run in the league to five games. Such a run forced the Chelsea management into a change. Liam Rosenior was shipped in from Strasbourg and had a winning start, hammering Charlton 5-1 to begin their FA Cup run.
Things weren’t as smooth, however, in their follow-up match. Hosting the first leg of their League Cup semi-final against Arsenal, a determined Chelsea side lost 3-2 at home in midweek. It was the team’s third loss in the last seven outings, suggesting that the new man in charge will need more time to get his ideas across.
Chelsea have managed just one win in their last seven matches.
While Chelsea have been rowing backwards, their weekend opponents have been one of the form teams in the land. Brentford have placed themselves in a strong position to challenge for Europe and are also alive in the FA Cup. Keith Andrews' men haven’t lost any of their last six matches and have won five times.
The Bees are coming off a 2-0 victory away to Sheffield Wednesday to qualify for the fourth round of the FA Cup. It was their third successive win and followed a 3-0 victory over Sunderland in their last outing in the league. Brentford, who’ve accumulated 33 points, have won 10 games, with only the top three teams winning more.
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Chelsea against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Jorgensen
DefenderJ. Hato
J. Acheampong
W. Fofana
B. Badiashile
MidfielderA. Santos
T. George
ForwardL. Delap
M. Guiu
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderS. Van den Berg
E. Pinnock
MidfielderR. Donovan
A. Hickey
K. Lewis-Potter
D. Ouattara
K. Furo
R. Nelson
Missing players
L. Colwill
M. Gusto
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
J. Gittens
J. Henderson
J. Dasilva
F. Onyeka
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
Chelsea & Brentford Squad Analysis
A bug is going around at Cobham, and it has sidelined some Chelsea players as well as staff members. Liam Delap and Jamie Gittens missed the Arsenal game in midweek as a result of this. The club is working around the clock to have them fully recovered.
Reece James and Cole Palmer have missed the last two games with injuries, but the duo may feature this weekend after training this week. Alejandro Garnacho scored twice midweek off the bench and might have done enough to warrant a start. Joao Pedro and Enzo Fernandez have each scored six goals in the league for Chelsea, while Pedro Neto has added five goals.
Brentford’s Igor Thiago is firmly in the golden boot race.
Brentford will still be without Fabio Carvalho, Antoni Milambo, Josh Dasilva, and Frank Onyeka. Onyeka is away at the AFCON while the other three are out injured. Dango Ouattara had missed the last couple of weeks as he was also away at the AFCON but has since returned and is available for selection.
Igor Thiago has been instrumental for the Bees and, with 16 strikes, has scored almost half of his team’s league goals. Kevin Schade has also made his presence felt and, with six goals, is another to look out for here.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Brentford
Joao Pedro
(7 Goals)
I. Thiago
(16 Goals)
R. James
(4 Assists)
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Chelsea - Brentford Key Points
- Four of Chelsea’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Brentford and Chelsea have scored a combined 69 league goals.
- Brentford have scored an average of 2.6 goals in the last five games.
- Three of the last four meetings between Brentford and Chelsea had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction
This is a London derby, and we expect a high-scoring showdown, as has been the case in recent duels between these two. Brentford come into this match in much stronger form than their hosts and have been boosted by their free-flowing attack.
The visitors, led by in-form forward Igor Thiago, have scored 13 goals in their last five fixtures. Though Chelsea have lacked form, they have not struggled with scoring, finding the back of the net in each of their last 10 fixtures. Our prediction for Chelsea v Brentford is for more than 2.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Brentford - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw
In our second prediction, we settle for a draw. Only four teams have played more draws in the league than Chelsea. Three of the last four meetings between Chelsea and Brentford have also seen the two share spoils.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Brentford
| Chelsea vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.67 | 1.91 | +14.4% |
| Draw | 4.21 | 4 | -5.0% |
| Brentford wins | 5.63 | 4.3 | -23.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 52.4% (-7.5%)
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Chelsea vs Brentford - FAQs
This match will be played on Saturday, 17 January.
This match will be played at Chelsea’s Stamford Bridge Stadium in London, England.
There is no live telecast for this match in the UK. Fans can, however, find minute-by-minute updates of the game as well as other Premier League fixtures this weekend on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
