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Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Clubs Friendlies

Friendlies - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
10/08/2025 08:00
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi in Football Predictions

Chelsea and AC Milan will wrap up their preparations for the upcoming 2025-26 season with a friendly on Sunday. This match at Stamford Bridge comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

This will be the last friendly for Chelsea before beginning their 2025-26 Premier League campaign on 17th August with a match against Crystal Palace. Milan will come here after a friendly against Leeds on Saturday at the Aviva Stadium. This game against Chelsea will be their last friendly before turning their sights to their Coppa Italia game against Bari on 17th August.

The Blues defeated Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 on Friday with goals from their two new arrivals, Estevao and Joao Pedro, in either half. The result follows their impressive unbeaten run in the Club World Cup that saw them lift the title with six wins and a defeat.

Having kept three consecutive clean sheets, including against PSG in the final of the Club World Cup, Chelsea will be eager to dish out another defensive masterclass.

This will be Milan’s third friendly against an English club in the off-season. They lost 1-0 to Arsenal before defeating Liverpool 4-2. The Saturday friendly against Leeds will continue their search for consistency, as they thrashed Perth Glory 9-0 before playing Leeds.

Milan lost their four recent matches against Chelsea, although they were played between 2013 and 2022.

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.5 4.33 4.75
Betfred
1.5 4.2 5
William Hill
1.67 3.8 4.2
Betway
1.53 4.2 4.75
Unibet
1.55 4.2 5.3
Check all Chelsea vs AC Milan odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs AC Milan match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/08/2025 between Chelsea and AC Milan in Clubs Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.77% for a win of Chelsea against AC Milan with odds of 1.74 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs AC Milan is 9.64% with odds of 4.5 at Betobet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.59% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Chelsea with odds of 5.5 at Betobet.

Chelsea - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Chelsea AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
Chelsea wins 70.77% 1.74 at Stake
Under 2.5 53.62% 2.7 at Bwin
Both Team To Score 29.17% 1.57 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea 33.09% 2.63 at Betfair

Chelsea vs AC Milan Form

Chelsea and AC Milan Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

8 May 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

8 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
AC Milan
W D D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza

9 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

15 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
AC Milan

14 May 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  0
AC Milan

Chelsea vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

100 %

Draw

0 %

AC Milan

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (home team)
0
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

11 Oct 2022 - Champions League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Chelsea

5 Oct 2022 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

R. Sanchez

Defender

R. James

T. Adarabioyo

M. Cucurella

T. Chalobah

Midfielder

M. Caicedo

E. Fernandez

C. Palmer

Forward

Joao Pedro

J. Gittens

P. Neto

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

Defender

D. Bartesaghi

F. Tomori

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

S. Ricci

A. Saelemaekers

Y. Musah

Y. Fofana

F. Terracciano

Forward

R. Leao

Substitutes

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

G. Slonina

F. Jorgensen

Defender

G. Antwi

J. Acheampong

M. Gusto

J. Hato

Midfielder

D. Essugo

T. George

S. Rak-Sakyi

R. Walsh

A. Anselmino

A. Santos

Forward

Estevao

L. Delap

AC Milan
AC Milan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (3 Goals)
Brazil Joao Pedro (3 Goals)
Portugal P. Neto (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (2 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (3 Assists)
Best assists

Chelsea - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Eight of Chelsea’s last 13 matches produced under 2.5 goals during regular time.
  2. In four of Chelsea’s last five home matches including their latest friendly, there have been fewer than three goals scored.
  3. Chelsea kept a clean sheet in four of their last five matches played at this venue.
  4. Milan lost 1-0 to Arsenal in July in their first friendly of this season.
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Our Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction

The turnaround time for both teams is very minimal, as Chelsea played on Friday and Milan play Leeds on Saturday. With a squad as big as Chelsea’s, that would be the last of their problems. The Blues are still well-placed to keep things tight, which is what they have been doing in recent games at Stamford Bridge. Milan are unlikely to push their regulars harder ahead of their first competitive match next week.

This match could be a closer one, and our Chelsea vs AC Milan prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea AC Milan

Chelsea vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Chelsea wins 1.7 1.5 -11.8%
Draw 4 4.33 +8.3%
AC Milan wins 3.8 4.75 +25.0%
Latest odds movements:

A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Chelsea is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 66.7% (7.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction
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