USA - Major League Soccer
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Major League Soccer Predictions
Charlotte FC and New York City are set for the third of their best-of-three fixtures in the MLS Cup playoffs. A place in the second round is at stake here, with the tie currently balanced at 1-1. Below we have a prediction for this match, hosted by Charlotte.
A 7-6 win on penalties in the second match guaranteed Charlotte a fighting chance after the two played to a 0-0 draw. With fresh memories from last season’s failure at this same stage against Orlando City, Charlotte will be hoping to do better.
There’s one area that has worked superbly for Dean Smith’s men – the defence. The Crown have only conceded once in the last four matches and kept six clean sheets in the last 10.
New York looked to wrap up this series in Game Two, but their strong finish couldn’t guarantee that. Missed chances are to blame, but here they have another opportunity, albeit away from home.
They passed the test at this same stage last season, with a win against Cincinnati. New York do have a good record in this round, though, advancing in each of the last three playoff appearances.
Coming here with two wins in their last three meetings against Charlotte will give Pascal Jansen’s men the belief. That will, however, be hindered by a run of four defeats in the last six matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Charlotte FC v New York City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.4 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.7 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Charlotte FC and New York City?
Our prediction for the Charlotte FC vs New York City match is: Charlotte FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/11/2025 between Charlotte FC and New York City in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.71% for a win of Charlotte FC against New York City with odds of 2.7 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Charlotte FC vs New York City is 10.95% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.33% chance ⭐ for a win of New York City vs Charlotte FC with odds of 2.7 at Betway.
Charlotte FC - New York City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Charlotte FC New York City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC wins | 44.71% | 2.7 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 59.94% | 1.87 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.58% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Charlotte FC/Charlotte FC | 18.5% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Charlotte FC vs New York City Form
Charlotte FC and New York City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
16 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
30 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
10 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 Aug 2025 - Leagues Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Major League Soccer
18 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
30 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
4 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
23 Aug 2025 - Major League Soccer
5 Aug 2025 - Leagues Cup
Charlotte FC vs New York City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Sept 2025 - Major League Soccer
12 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
27 Apr 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Feb 2024 - Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC against New York City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
P. Biel
K. Parks
ForwardM. Jones
Most goals and assists
Charlotte FC
New York City
I. Gorno
(12 Goals)
A. Martinez
(19 Goals)
P. Biel
(10 Assists)
M. Moralez
(6 Assists)
Charlotte FC - New York City Key Points
- Charlotte won four of their last five home matches against New York.
- Charlotte have seven wins in their last 10 home MLS matches.
- New York City are winless in four of their last 10 away MLS outings.
- New York City have suffered four defeats in their last six matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Charlotte FC vs New York City Prediction
Charlotte lost at home the last time they hosted this match. The likelihood of losing again here is low, going by recent form, as they haven't lost consecutive home matches in 12 outings. In those 12 games, they only fell twice, and they have a strong home record in this fixture.
In their five home games against New York, Charlotte posted four wins. New York will not only try to break Charlotte here, but they are also facing a defence that has conceded just once in four games. With four losses in six matches, New York have the underdogs’ feel here. Our prediction for Charlotte FC v New York City is that Charlotte FC wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Charlotte FC New York City
| Charlotte FC vs New York City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC wins | 2.5 | 2.65 | +6.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| New York City wins | 2.55 | 2.57 | +0.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Charlotte FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 37.7% (-2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Charlotte FC vs. New York City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Charlotte FC and New York City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Major League Soccer! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
