Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions
The objectives are crystal clear for Estrela and Sporting Lisbon as the two face off in the Portuguese Primeira Liga this Saturday. Both had disappointing finishes at their own levels last season. This prediction has Sporting winning comfortably based on their head-to-head performances against Estrela.
Estrela have finished 15th in the league in the last two league campaigns. This season they will be targeting improvement after flirting with relegation yet again.
Wrapping up their preseason training with a 4-2 friendly win against Saudi champions will build their morale. That was their third win in the last four preseason games.
Sporting had an even stronger run in preseason, winning all their four matches. This run was a statement of their intent after a disappointing end to last season, in which they also failed to win a trophy.
Sporting were muscled out in their title defence but an even more curious one was their loss in the cup final. The Lions were beaten 2-1 in the Portuguese Cup final by third-tier side Torreense.
With all that, their only positive was securing a Champions League slot. Addressing all the shortcomings from last season makes the most of their to-do list and it all starts here.
Sporting have kept clean sheets in their last three meetings with Estrela and won each of their last 13 meetings.
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Estrela Amadora v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.2 | 5 | 1.33 |
|
|
9.68 | 5.11 | 1.37 |
|
|
9.4 | 5 | 1.34 |
|
|
9.2 | 5.6 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.4 | 5 | 1.34 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting Lisbon wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/08/2026 between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 11.44% for a win of Estrela Amadora against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 14 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon is 29.65% with odds of 6.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.37 at 1xbet.
Estrela Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estrela Amadora Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 58.92% | 1.37 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 27.94% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 |
|
8
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Taca de Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Taca de Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Pinto
D. Grilo
DefenderL. Mincarelli
A. Chernev
J. Encada
T. Moustier
R. Oliveira Botelho
B. Souza
E. Vanga
ForwardH. Poniewas
A. Souza
S. Van Hooijdonk
D. Callai
J. Virginia
DefenderO. Diomande
I. Fresneda
P. Barros
S. Andersen
L. Guilherme
E. Felicissimo
J. Derry
R. Nel
L. Suarez
Missing players
N. Santos
Most goals and assists
Estrela Amadora
Sporting Lisbon
L. Antonetti
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Marcus
(4 Goals)
, 
I. Stoica
(4 Goals)
L. Suarez
(6 Goals)
E. Doue
(3 Assists)
G. Catamo
(3 Assists)
Estrela Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Estrela managed just 18 points from 17 home league games last season.
- Sporting beat Estrela in each of their last 13 competitive meetings.
- In their last three meetings with Estrela, Sporting won to nil.
- Estrela only won once in their last 13 league matches.
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Our Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
The opening rounds of the season often come with surprises, but we don’t see that happening here. Estrela are clear underdogs in this fixture, and finding Sporting desperate to right last season’s wrongs, this doesn’t look likely to end well for the hosts.
In their last 20 meetings between the two sides, Estrela managed just one win, and neither are they on a prolific scoring run in this fixture. In respect to that, our prediction for Estrela v Sporting is that Sporting Lisbon wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estrela Amadora Sporting Lisbon
| Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora wins | 14 | 14 | 0% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.22 | 1.37 | +12.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 73.0% (-9.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
