Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
02/11/2025 01:00
Wellington Phoenix

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Matchday 3 in the A-League will draw to a close with Central Coast Mariners playing host to Wellington Phoenix on Sunday. The Mariners are in ninth place in the league standings, while the Nix are second after two games. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Central Coast Mariners will be hoping for a better season this year after finishing in a disapointing 10th place in their unsuccessful title defence last term. 

The Mariners kicked the season off by beating the Newcastle Jets 3-2 with Nicholas Duarte scoring the winner deep in stoppage time. However, they were unable to follow up on that result, losing 2-0 to Sydney FC last weekend. 

The hosts won their only home game this season, but that was only the second time they’ve tasted victory on their home patch in the league since early December (W2 D3 L5). 

Meanwhile, after ending last season third from bottom, Wellington Phoenix have started this campaign positively, currently one of only three teams unbeaten after the first two games. 

The Nix were held to a 2-2 draw in their season opener before overturning a 1-0 deficit to beat Brisbane Roar 2-1 last week, with Carlo Armiento netting the winner in the 96th minute. 

The visitors have only won two of their last 12 away league games (W2 D2 L8), but they did beat this opponent 2-0 at this venue last season. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Central Coast Mariners v Wellington Phoenix Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.4 3.4 2.82
Betfred
2.25 3.2 2.88
William Hill
2.25 3.25 3
Unibet
2.33 3.45 2.8
Betway
2.38 3.4 2.8
Check all Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix?

Our prediction for the Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.68% for a win of Central Coast Mariners against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.45 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix is 26.44% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners with odds of 3.05 at BC Game.

Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:

Central Coast Mariners Wellington Phoenix Prediction Probability Odds
Wellington Phoenix wins 38.87% 3.05 at BC Game
Over 2.5 goals 61.95% 2 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wellington Phoenix 16.61% 7.5 at Betfair

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Form

Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
11 9 3 2 4 -2
12
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
8 9 2 2 5 -5

Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners Last matches
L L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Sydney
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

19 Oct 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

2 May 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

20 Apr 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  2
Macarthur FC

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
6 :  0
Central Coast Mariners
L W D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

2 May 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

20 Apr 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  2
Macarthur FC

30 Mar 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  1
Perth Glory

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  3
Western United
D L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Sydney
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
6 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

18 Feb 2025 - AFC Champions League

Kawasaki Frontale
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix Last matches
W W D W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Brisbane Roar

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

19 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Heidelberg United FC
4 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

10 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Nunawading City
0 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Perth Glory
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Wrexham
L D L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Brisbane Roar

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Wrexham

14 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

4 May 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  2
Perth Glory

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  2
Western Sydney Wanderers
L L D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

19 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Heidelberg United FC
4 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

10 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup

Nunawading City
0 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Perth Glory
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

26 Apr 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

18 Apr 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
3 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Central Coast Mariners

17 %

Draw

50 %

Wellington Phoenix

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
1.17
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

10 Nov 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  3
Wellington Phoenix

6 Apr 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

5 Feb 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

24 Feb 2023 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

31 Jan 2021 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

Players list

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
Goalkeeper

A. Redmayne

Defender

S. Roux

N. Paull

L. Mauragis

Midfielder

B. Tapp

A. McCalmont

H. Steele

C. Theoharous

A. De Lima

Forward

B. Brandtman

R. Edmondson

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
Goalkeeper

J. Oluwayemi

Defender

T. Loke

M. Sheridan

I. Hughes

L. Kelly-Heald

Midfielder

A. Rufer

A. Cassidy

K. Nagasawa

L. Brooke-Smith

Forward

C. Armiento

E. Ifeanyi

Substitutes

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
Goalkeeper

D. Peraic-Cullen

Midfielder

S. Mutokoyi

A. Houridis

Forward

B. Brandtman

N. Duarte

A. Faisal

C. Theoharous

J. Sabit

A. De Lima

M. Di Pizio

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
D. Edwards Goalkeeper

E. McCarron

Defender

C. Piper

J. Smith

Midfielder

A. Cassidy

H. Ishige

L. Brooke-Smith

F. Conchie

Forward

G. Sloane-Rodrigues

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Central Coast Mariners
CD Huachipato Wellington Phoenix
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Sabit (2 Goals)
Northern Ireland A. McCalmont (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria E. Ifeanyi (4 Goals)
Best assists
Australia C. Theoharous (1 Assists)
Australia B. Brandtman (1 Assists)
Australia N. Duarte (1 Assists)
Australia H. Steele (1 Assists)
Best assists
New Zeland C. Piper (3 Assists)
Japan K. Nagasawa (3 Assists)

Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix Key Points

  1. Eight of Central Coast Mariners’ last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Central Coast Mariners conceded two or more goals in seven of their last eight home league games.
  3. Seven of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Wellington Phoenix conceded two or more goals in five of their last seven away league games.
  5. Three or more goals were scored in each of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

One of Central Coast Mariners’ biggest downfalls last season was leaky defending as they conceded 51 goals. While they have won a game this term, they have already conceded four times, which is a concern. 

Wellington Phoenix have taken four points from their two games, but both matches were against last season's bottom two teams, and they made hard work of getting results in them. Given how these sides have started, we’re expecting goals in this one. Our Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is more than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Central Coast Mariners Wellington Phoenix

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Central Coast Mariners wins 2.82 2.4 -14.9%
Draw 3.25 3.4 +4.6%
Wellington Phoenix wins 2.35 2.82 +20.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Wellington Phoenix is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 20.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 35.5% (-7.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction