Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

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Australia - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
01/02/2026 01:00
Melbourne Victory

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Matchday 15 in the A-League will conclude with Central Coast Mariners playing host to Melbourne Victory on Sunday. The Mariners are bottom of the table, while the Big V are in seventh place after 14 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Despite a spirited effort to hold league leaders Auckland to a 2-2 draw last weekend, Central Coast Mariners still dropped two points below second-bottom Western Sydney Wanderers in the standings.

The Mariners are now winless in three games and have only won one of their last 10 (D3 L6). They have also conceded two or more goals in seven matches during this period. 

The hosts have taken just six points from seven home games this season - the fewest in the division. The last four games between these sides at this venue have ended in draws. 

Meanwhile, after back-to-back defeats to the Wanderers and Adelaide United, Melbourne Victory bounced back to winning ways with an impressive 4-0 triumph against Sydney FC last week. 

Despite having already lost six of their 14 games this season, the Big V are only one point behind the top six, and a win here could take them as high as third by the end of the weekend. 

However, the visitors' away record this season is the second-worst in the league (W2 D1 L4), and they have also scored the second-fewest goals on the road this term (6). 

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Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.6 4.1 1.63
Melbet
4.54 4.36 1.66
Betwinner
4.54 4.36 1.66
Bet365
4.75 4.33 1.61
Roobet
4.7 4.2 1.59
Check all Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory?

Our prediction for the Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.37% for a win of Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory is 28.57% with odds of 4.36 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners with odds of 1.66 at Melbet.

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:

Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne Victory wins 45.06% 1.66 at Melbet
Under 2.5 50.09% 2.45 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 55.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory 26.47% 4.75 at Bet365

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Form

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Melbourne Victory
40 26 11 7 8 +11
9 Central Coast Mariners
32 26 8 8 10 -7

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory Last Matches

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners Last matches
L L W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Perth Glory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

4 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
0 :  4
Central Coast Mariners

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  1
Central Coast Mariners
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC

6 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Sydney

29 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne City

2 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
W L L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Perth Glory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

4 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
0 :  4
Central Coast Mariners

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
3 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

7 Nov 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
4 :  0
Sydney

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

2 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  2
Perth Glory

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
4 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

2 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  2
Perth Glory

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

13 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Adelaide United

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Melbourne City
W L L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

28 Nov 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Central Coast Mariners

40 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne Victory

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
0.8
Goals scored
1.2
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

18 Oct 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

25 May 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  1
Melbourne Victory

25 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

19 Mar 2023 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11

Central Coast Mariners

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

30
A. Redmayne
15
S. Roux
2
J. Donachie
3
N. Paull
5
L. Mauragis
11
J. Sabit
8
A. McCalmont
48
C. Donnell
72
A. Auglah
23
O. Lavale
10
M. Di Pizio
9
N. Vergos
11
C. Santos Rodrigus
64
J. Mata
14
M. Grimaldi
10
D. Genreau
27
L. D'Arrigo
2
J. Davidson
4
L. Jackson
15
S. Esposito
22
J. Rawlins
40
J. Warshawsky

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Melbourne Victory

Substitutes

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
Goalkeeper

D. Peraic-Cullen

Midfielder

J. Nasso

A. Auglah 72'

B. Tapp

J. Sabit 57'

H. Eames

Forward

N. Blair

O. Lavale 72'

K. Taniguchi

C. Theoharous

M. Di Pizio 90'

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

Defender

R. Miranda

Midfielder

K. Jelacic

M. Grimaldi 71'

J. Valadon

D. Genreau 46'

Forward

C. Nduka

N. Vergos 71'

N. Velupillay

C. Santos Rodrigus 46'

J. Reec

L. D'Arrigo 82'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Central Coast Mariners
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Sabit (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Best assists
Australia M. Di Pizio (4 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Mata (12 Assists)

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Key Points

  1. Seven of the Mariners’ last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. The Mariners have conceded two or more goals in five of their last seven games.
  3. Four of Melbourne Victory’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Three of the last four games between these sides at this venue ended in score draws.
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Our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

While Central Coast Mariners are big underdogs in this match, they did show tremendous resilience in their last two games, earning a point apiece against league leaders Auckland and third-placed Macarthur.

Melbourne Victory, on the other hand, picked up a much-needed win over Sydney FC last week, but they have been exceptionally poor on the road this term and have not won a league game at this venue since 2019. Therefore, our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Central Coast Mariners wins 3.7 5.25 +41.9%
Draw 3.75 4.36 +16.3%
Melbourne Victory wins 1.95 1.66 -14.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 60.2% (9.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction