Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
01/02/2026 01:00
Melbourne Victory FC

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Matchday 15 in the A-League will conclude with Central Coast Mariners playing host to Melbourne Victory on Sunday. The Mariners are bottom of the table, while the Big V are in seventh place after 14 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Despite a spirited effort to hold league leaders Auckland to a 2-2 draw last weekend, Central Coast Mariners still dropped two points below second-bottom Western Sydney Wanderers in the standings.

The Mariners are now winless in three games and have only won one of their last 10 (D3 L6). They have also conceded two or more goals in seven matches during this period. 

The hosts have taken just six points from seven home games this season - the fewest in the division. The last four games between these sides at this venue have ended in draws. 

Meanwhile, after back-to-back defeats to the Wanderers and Adelaide United, Melbourne Victory bounced back to winning ways with an impressive 4-0 triumph against Sydney FC last week. 

Despite having already lost six of their 14 games this season, the Big V are only one point behind the top six, and a win here could take them as high as third by the end of the weekend. 

However, the visitors' away record this season is the second-worst in the league (W2 D1 L4), and they have also scored the second-fewest goals on the road this term (6). 

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Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.6 4.1 1.63
Melbet
4.54 4.36 1.66
Betwinner
4.54 4.36 1.66
Bet365
4.75 4.33 1.61
Roobet
4.7 4.2 1.59
Check all Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC?

Our prediction for the Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.37% for a win of Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC is 28.57% with odds of 4.36 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners with odds of 1.66 at Melbet.

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory FC Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne Victory FC wins 45.06% 1.66 at Melbet
Under 2.5 50.09% 2.45 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 55.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory FC 26.47% 4.75 at Bet365

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Form

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Melbourne Victory FC
40 26 11 7 8 +11
9 Central Coast Mariners
32 26 8 8 10 -7

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC Last Matches

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners Last matches
L L W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Perth Glory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

4 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
0 :  4
Central Coast Mariners

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  1
Central Coast Mariners
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

31 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Brisbane Roar

12 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Auckland FC

6 Dec 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  2
Sydney

29 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne City

2 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix
W L L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Jan 2026 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Perth Glory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

4 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
0 :  4
Central Coast Mariners

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
3 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

7 Nov 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  0
Sydney

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

2 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
3 :  2
Perth Glory

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

2 Jan 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
3 :  2
Perth Glory

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

13 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
2 :  1
Adelaide United

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  2
Melbourne City
W L L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

28 Nov 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

22 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

31 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Central Coast Mariners

40 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne Victory FC

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
0.8
Goals scored
1.2
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

18 Oct 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

25 May 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

25 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

19 Mar 2023 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
2 :  0
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory FC Lineups: Starting 11

Central Coast Mariners

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

30
A. Redmayne
15
S. Roux
2
J. Donachie
3
N. Paull
5
L. Mauragis
11
J. Sabit
8
A. Mccalmont
48
C. Donnell
72
A. Auglah
23
L. Oli
10
M. Di Pizio
9
N. Vergos
11
C. Santos Rodrigues
64
J. Mata
14
M. Grimaldi
10
D. Genreau
27
L. D'Arrigo
2
J. Davidson
4
L. Jackson
15
S. Esposito
22
J. Rawlins
40
J. Warshawsky

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Melbourne Victory FC

Substitutes

Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
Goalkeeper

D. Peraic-Cullen

Midfielder

J. Nasso

A. Auglah 72'

B. Tapp

J. Sabit 57'

H. Eames

Forward

N. Blair

L. Oli 72'

K. Taniguchi

C. Theoharous

M. Di Pizio 90'

Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

Defender

R. Miranda

Midfielder

K. Jelacic

M. Grimaldi 71'

J. Valadon

D. Genreau 46'

Forward

C. Nduka

N. Vergos 71'

N. Velupillay

C. Santos Rodrigues 46'

J. Reec

L. D'Arrigo 82'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Central Coast Mariners
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory FC
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Sabit (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Best assists
Australia M. Di Pizio (4 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Mata (12 Assists)

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory FC Key Points

  1. Seven of the Mariners’ last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. The Mariners have conceded two or more goals in five of their last seven games.
  3. Four of Melbourne Victory’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Three of the last four games between these sides at this venue ended in score draws.
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Our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

While Central Coast Mariners are big underdogs in this match, they did show tremendous resilience in their last two games, earning a point apiece against league leaders Auckland and third-placed Macarthur.

Melbourne Victory, on the other hand, picked up a much-needed win over Sydney FC last week, but they have been exceptionally poor on the road this term and have not won a league game at this venue since 2019. Therefore, our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory FC

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Central Coast Mariners wins 3.7 5.25 +41.9%
Draw 3.75 4.36 +16.3%
Melbourne Victory FC wins 1.95 1.66 -14.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne Victory FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 60.2% (9.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.