Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Matchday 15 in the A-League will conclude with Central Coast Mariners playing host to Melbourne Victory on Sunday. The Mariners are bottom of the table, while the Big V are in seventh place after 14 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Despite a spirited effort to hold league leaders Auckland to a 2-2 draw last weekend, Central Coast Mariners still dropped two points below second-bottom Western Sydney Wanderers in the standings.
The Mariners are now winless in three games and have only won one of their last 10 (D3 L6). They have also conceded two or more goals in seven matches during this period.
The hosts have taken just six points from seven home games this season - the fewest in the division. The last four games between these sides at this venue have ended in draws.
Meanwhile, after back-to-back defeats to the Wanderers and Adelaide United, Melbourne Victory bounced back to winning ways with an impressive 4-0 triumph against Sydney FC last week.
Despite having already lost six of their 14 games this season, the Big V are only one point behind the top six, and a win here could take them as high as third by the end of the weekend.
However, the visitors' away record this season is the second-worst in the league (W2 D1 L4), and they have also scored the second-fewest goals on the road this term (6).
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Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.6 | 4.1 | 1.63 |
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4.54 | 4.36 | 1.66 |
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4.54 | 4.36 | 1.66 |
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4.75 | 4.33 | 1.61 |
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4.7 | 4.2 | 1.59 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC?
Our prediction for the Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.37% for a win of Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC is 28.57% with odds of 4.36 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners with odds of 1.66 at Melbet.
Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory FC wins | 45.06% | 1.66 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.09% | 2.45 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory FC | 26.47% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Form
Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
9
|
32 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -7 |
Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory FC Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
12 Dec 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2024 - A-League
25 May 2024 - A-League
25 Feb 2024 - A-League
19 Mar 2023 - A-League
Central Coast Mariners against Melbourne Victory FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Peraic-Cullen
MidfielderJ. Nasso
B. Tapp
H. Eames
ForwardN. Blair
K. Taniguchi
C. Theoharous
J. Duncan
DefenderR. Miranda
MidfielderK. Jelacic
J. Valadon
C. Nduka
N. Velupillay
J. Reec
Most goals and assists
Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory FC Key Points
- Seven of the Mariners’ last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- The Mariners have conceded two or more goals in five of their last seven games.
- Four of Melbourne Victory’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Three of the last four games between these sides at this venue ended in score draws.
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Our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction
While Central Coast Mariners are big underdogs in this match, they did show tremendous resilience in their last two games, earning a point apiece against league leaders Auckland and third-placed Macarthur.
Melbourne Victory, on the other hand, picked up a much-needed win over Sydney FC last week, but they have been exceptionally poor on the road this term and have not won a league game at this venue since 2019. Therefore, our Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory FC
| Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners wins | 3.7 | 5.25 | +41.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.36 | +16.3% |
| Melbourne Victory FC wins | 1.95 | 1.66 | -14.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 60.2% (9.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.