Celtic vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
11/04/2026 10:00
St Mirren

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

The title race couldn’t be tighter with only three points separating the 3rd-placed Celtic from Hearts at the top in Matchday 33 of the Scottish Premiership. With only six games to go, The Bhoys cannot afford further slip-ups in their title defence battle. But the question remains: Can Celtic get their revenge on St Mirren? Find out in our match prediction.

Celtic is coming off two dramatic battles from the “Dundees”. They just narrowly beat a 10-man Dundee FC side (2-1) right after their defeat to Dundee United (2-0) in the prior game. They’ll be looking to make that their last defeat of the season, and even just another three-point drop here, plus their Hearts, would likely mean the end to their title defence.

However, even with two wins over them this season, St Mirren now presents a roadblock in Celtic’s title charge. If they can upset the reigning champions, this could be the second title The Bhoys miss out on this season, thanks to The Saints. 

The first was the Scottish League Cup, which St Mirren knocked Celtic out of in December, through a convincing 3-1 win. And after back-to-back league wins over Aberdeen (2-0) and Falkirk (2-1), The Saints might just be entering with enough momentum to decide the fate of the top 3 in Matchday 33.

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Celtic v St Mirren Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.31 6 8.8
Melbet
1.28 5.8 8.75
Betwinner
1.28 5.8 8.75
Bet365
1.25 5.25 8.5
Roobet
1.26 5.6 9.2
Check all Celtic vs St Mirren odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Celtic and St Mirren?

Our prediction for the Celtic vs St Mirren match is: less than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Celtic and St Mirren in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.03% for a win of Celtic against St Mirren with odds of 1.31 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celtic vs St Mirren is 11.98% with odds of 6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29% chance ⭐ for a win of St Mirren vs Celtic with odds of 9.75 at Shangrila.

Celtic - St Mirren Prediction and Best Odds:

Celtic St Mirren Prediction Probability Odds
Celtic wins 59.03% 1.31 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 65.29%
Both Team To Score 74.17%
Half-time / Full-time : Celtic/Celtic 24.35% 1.8 at Bet365

Celtic vs St Mirren Form

Celtic and St Mirren's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Celtic
67 33 21 4 8 +24
10 St Mirren
30 33 7 9 17 -21

Celtic and St Mirren Last Matches

Celtic
Celtic Last matches
D W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
1 :  2
Celtic

22 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  0
Celtic

14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Motherwell

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

Rangers
0 :  0
Celtic

4 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  2
Celtic

1 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  2
Celtic
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Motherwell

22 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  2
Hibernian

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  4
Stuttgart

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  1
Livingston

7 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Celtic
2 :  1
Dundee FC

1 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  0
Falkirk
W D W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
1 :  2
Celtic

22 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  0
Celtic

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

Rangers
0 :  0
Celtic

4 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  2
Celtic

1 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  2
Celtic

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Celtic
St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Aberdeen

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  2
St Mirren

15 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Rangers

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

St Mirren
2 :  1
Partick Thistle FC

3 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  1
St Mirren

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Aberdeen

15 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Rangers

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

St Mirren
2 :  1
Partick Thistle FC

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  5
Motherwell

3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  0
Dundee FC
W L L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  2
St Mirren

3 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
2 :  1
St Mirren

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren

14 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
2 :  0
St Mirren

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
4 :  3
St Mirren

6 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Airdrieonians FC
1 :  2
St Mirren

Celtic vs St Mirren Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Celtic

67 %

Draw

17 %

St Mirren

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
3 :  1
Celtic

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Celtic

3 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
St Mirren

17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  1
St Mirren

1 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  5
Celtic

5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  0
St Mirren

Players list

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

V. Sinisalo

Defender

L. Scales

T. Ralston

A. Trusty

K. Tierney

Midfielder

A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

B. Nygren

Y. Hyun-jun

C. McGregor

D. Maeda

Forward

T. Cvancara

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

S. George

Defender

M. Freckleton

D. John

Midfielder

J. Devaney

M. O'Hara

A. Gogic

L. Donnelly

A. Campbell

Forward

K. Phillips

M. Mandron

J. Ayunga

Substitutes

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

R. Doohan

Defender

B. Arthur

M. Saracchi

Midfielder

L. McCowan

A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 73'

R. Hatate

C. McGregor 73'

A. Engels

B. Nygren 63'

J. Forrest

Forward

S. Tounekti

K. Iheanacho

T. Cvancara 62'

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

R. Mullen

S. George 32'

Defender

J. Richardson

M. O'Hara 73'

R. King

S. Tanser

Midfielder

R. Idowu

D. John 81'

Forward

K. Etete

J. Young

J. Ayunga 73'

C. McMenamin

M. Mandron 80'

L. Douglas

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Celtic
CD Huachipato St Mirren
Top Goalscorer
Sweden B. Nygren (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland K. Phillips (5 Goals)

Celtic - St Mirren Key Points

  1. St Mirren has scored the fewest goals this season (27), netting just 0.84 goals per game.
  2. The two league meetings between Celtic and St Mirren this season ended with under 3.5 goals.
  3. Four of Celtic’s last five games ended with fewer than 3.5 goals by full time, and the same in four of their last six home games.
  4. St Mirren’s last six games finished with fewer than four goals.
  5. Celtic has conceded the 4th-fewest goals this season (35), while keeping the 3rd-most clean sheets (12).
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Our Celtic vs St Mirren Prediction

On the surface, betting on the over might seem intuitive considering their last clash (3-1) and what’s at stake here: title for Celtic, relegation escape for St Mirren. However, The Saints have just been too poor in front of goal to actually support that outcome.

They’ve scored the fewest goals all season, and present a special case with a defence that has conceded the 7th-fewest goals. Meanwhile, The Bhoys have one of the best defences so far, and kept St Mirren goalless in the two league meetings this season. Hence, our Celtic vs St Mirren prediction is less than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celtic St Mirren

Celtic vs St Mirren Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Celtic wins 1.22 1.31 +7.4%
Draw 6.8 6 -11.8%
St Mirren wins 14 9.75 -30.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Celtic is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 76.3% (-5.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Celtic vs St Mirren Prediction