Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
14/03/2026 11:00
Motherwell

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

Celtic’s title defence could take another dramatic turn when they host Motherwell in Matchday 30 of the Scottish Premiership. The Bhoys are now five points off the top, but face The Well, who beat them 2-0 earlier this season. Who wins this game, and what's the best bet here? Find out in our match prediction.

The Bhoys are entering with just the right kind of momentum after beating rivals Rangers on penalties in the Scottish Cup quarterfinal. That win builds on their latest league victory over Aberdeen. With Celtic back to its winning way, it'd be looking to avoid another home defeat after losing its last two games on these grounds.

The problem is they welcome a dogged Motherwell side that is gunning for a Europa or Champions League finish. Motherwell lost to Dundee FC, which marks just their fourth defeat of the season in 29 games. Another of those defeats was their 3-2 loss to Celtic in this stadium earlier this season.

The Well is perfectly capable of containing any team on the road, including Celtic, who managed to win that 3-2 fixture thanks to a 90th-minute goal. However, their away form has been questionable as of late, with Motherwell only winning two of its last seven trips. See key betting stats below.

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Celtic v Motherwell Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.77 4 4.4
Melbet
1.75 3.85 4.27
Betwinner
1.75 3.88 4.22
Bet365
1.71 3.8 4.5
Roobet
1.63 3.95 4.8
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What is the prediction for the football match between Celtic and Motherwell?

Our prediction for the Celtic vs Motherwell match is: less than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Celtic and Motherwell in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.8% for a win of Celtic against Motherwell with odds of 1.8 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celtic vs Motherwell is 14.77% with odds of 4 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Celtic with odds of 4.8 at Roobet.

Celtic - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:

Celtic Motherwell Prediction Probability Odds
Celtic wins 55.8% 1.8 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 57.92% 1.65 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 55%
Half-time / Full-time : Celtic/Celtic 22.71% 2.63 at Bet365

Celtic vs Motherwell Form

Celtic and Motherwell's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Celtic
67 33 21 4 8 +24
4 Motherwell
54 33 14 12 7 +23

Celtic and Motherwell Last Matches

Celtic
Celtic Last matches
L L W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

Rangers
0 :  0
Celtic

4 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  2
Celtic

1 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  2
Celtic

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Celtic

22 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  2
Hibernian

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  4
Stuttgart
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  2
Hibernian

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  4
Stuttgart

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  1
Livingston

7 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Celtic
2 :  1
Dundee FC

1 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
2 :  0
Falkirk

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
4 :  2
Utrecht
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Scottish Cup

Rangers
0 :  0
Celtic

4 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  2
Celtic

1 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  2
Celtic

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Celtic

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  3
Celtic

25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  2
Celtic
Motherwell
Motherwell Last matches
D W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
2 :  1
Motherwell

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Dundee United

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  5
Motherwell

18 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
2 :  0
Motherwell

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Rangers
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Dundee United

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Rangers

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
4 :  0
Kilmarnock

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Motherwell
1 :  0
Ross County

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
St Mirren
L D W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
2 :  1
Motherwell

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  5
Motherwell

18 Feb 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
2 :  0
Motherwell

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
0 :  2
Motherwell

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Motherwell

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
1 :  0
Motherwell

Celtic vs Motherwell Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Celtic

83 %

Draw

0 %

Motherwell

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Celtic

5 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  2
Motherwell

2 Feb 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  3
Celtic

26 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
Motherwell

27 Oct 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
0 :  3
Celtic

25 Feb 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  3
Celtic
Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction

Players list

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

V. Sinisalo

Defender

C. Donovan

B. Arthur

K. Tierney

L. Scales

Midfielder

A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

S. Tounekti

B. Nygren

Y. Hyun-jun

R. Hatate

D. Maeda

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

C. Ward

Defender

E. Longelo

P. McGinn

S. O'Donnell

Midfielder

L. Fadinger

T. Sparrow

E. Just

C. Slattery

E. Watt

Forward

T. Maswanhise

I. Said

Substitutes

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

R. Doohan

Defender

D. Murray

A. Ralston

C. Donovan 78'

M. Saracchi

K. Tierney 78'

Midfielder

P. Bernardo

A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 78'

L. McCowan

B. Nygren 62'

J. Forrest

Forward

T. Cvancara

S. Tounekti 46'

K. Iheanacho

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

A. Oxborough

Defender

L. Gordon

J. McGhee

T. Sparrow 83'

Midfielder

O. Priestman

L. Fadinger 78'

A. Halliday

Z. McAllister

Forward

E. Bjorgolfsson

I. Said 78'

L. Ross

T. Maswanhise 90'

S. Nicholson

E. Just 83'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Celtic
CD Huachipato Motherwell
Top Goalscorer
Sweden B. Nygren (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Zimbabwe T. Maswanhise (17 Goals)

Celtic - Motherwell Key Points

  1. Motherwell has conceded just 20 goals this season (the lowest), allowing just 0.68 goals per game.
  2. Likewise, Celtic has conceded just 31 goals this season (the 4th-lowest), allowing just 1.06 goals per game.
  3. Motherwell has kept 16 clean sheets (the most), conceding in just 13 games this season.
  4. Celtic has also kept 12 clean sheets, the third-most in the league.
  5. Six of Motherwell’s last seven games and 17 of its last 19 games have finished with under 3.5 goals.
  6. Likewise, seven of Celtic’s last ten games in all competitions ended with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction

It's true that Celtic has scored the most goals this season and created the most big chances. It's also true that three of the last four meetings between these two ended with over 3.5 goals. However, the situation today is very different.

The Well has the best defence in the league this season, which kept The Bhoys goalless last time out for only the third time this season. There might be a few goals, just not up to four from our analysis. Hence, our Celtic vs Motherwell prediction is less than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celtic Motherwell

Celtic vs Motherwell Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Celtic wins 1.5 1.8 +20.0%
Draw 4 4 0%
Motherwell wins 5.75 4.8 -16.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Celtic is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 20.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 55.6% (-11.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.