Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
PAOK are set for a tough outing away in Spain to face Celta Vigo in their Europa League knockout playoff return leg. Celta Vigo leads 2-1 from the first leg and will be gunning for a third straight win against a side winless in three. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
Celta Vigo are coming off their second straight win after that slim victory at PAOK. They beat Mallorca 2-0 for what was their fifth win in 10 games. At home, they’ve also posted five wins in the last six matches.
Os Celestes are meeting PAOK for the third time this season and looking to extend a good record against Greek sides. They have five straight wins against sides from Greece.
While the Spaniards are enjoying a good ride against Greek sides, PAOK have a really poor run away in Spain. They’ve made eight visits here in European competitions but remain winless.
PAOK lost six of those, among them a 3-1 defeat in the league stage, back in October. It hasn’t been great for them either in recent outings, as they carry a three-game winless run into this match.
As they aspire to return to winning ways, their form on the road will be an impediment. Dikefalos tou Vorra have only managed three wins in nine away matches.
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Celta Vigo v PAOK Thessaloniki Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.63 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.59 | 4 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.95 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: Celta Vigo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2026 between Celta Vigo and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.77% for a win of Celta Vigo against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 1.65 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 19.99% with odds of 4.15 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.24% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Celta Vigo with odds of 5.94 at 888Starz.
Celta Vigo - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celta Vigo PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 54.77% | 1.65 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.97% | 2.12 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Celta Vigo | 23.65% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Celta Vigo and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Superleague
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
11 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Superleague
4 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
11 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Superleague
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Superleague
8 Feb 2026 - Superleague
4 Feb 2026 - Greece Cup
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Superleague
Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
Celta Vigo against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderC. Dominguez
O. Mingueza
J. Aidoo
A. Nunez
M. Fernandez
M. Ristic
MidfielderM. Roman Gonzalez
J. El-Abdellaoui
H. Alvarez
ForwardF. Jutgla
F. Lopez
V. Nikolakoulis
D. Monastirlis
DefenderG. Taylor
A. Vogliacco
MidfielderM. Camara
K. Thymianis
B. Dunga
ForwardA. Jeremejeff
D. Berdos
Missing players
H. Sotelo
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
PAOK Thessaloniki
W. Swedberg
(5 Goals)
G. Giakoumakis
(4 Goals)
I. Aspas
(3 Assists)
A. Zivkovic
(4 Assists)
Celta Vigo - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- Celta Vigo have two straight wins ahead of this game.
- At home, Celta Vigo have won five of their last six games.
- PAOK are winless in their last three matches, losing once.
- PAOK have met Celta Vigo twice and lost both times.
- PAOK are winless away in Spain in eight games, losing six.
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Our Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
PAOK have all to play for here. They will be trying to not just win a European match in Spain for the first time but also to overturn their loss at home to Celta. This season alone, they’ve faced Celta Vigo twice and lost on both occasions.
They meet a Celta side that has posted five straight wins against Greek sides, while scoring at least twice in each of those meetings. This game needs a big effort from PAOK, as Celta have done well at home too. Our prediction for Celta Vigo v PAOK is that Celta Vigo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celta Vigo PAOK Thessaloniki
| Celta Vigo vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 1.8 | 1.65 | -8.3% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.15 | +12.2% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 4.2 | 5.94 | +41.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Celta Vigo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 60.6% (5.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Celta Vigo vs. PAOK Thessaloniki game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
