Celta Vigo vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
League Phase winners Olympique Lyon travel to Spain this week, where they will battle against Celta Vigo in the first leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie. This game will mark the first-ever meeting between these two sides, and below we have a prediction for the match.
While Lyon advanced to the knockout rounds by finishing with the best record at the league stage, Celta Vigo qualified for the round via the playoffs. The Spanish side is enjoying a good run of results, and the bookies have them as the favorites to win this match.
They also have a share of the spoils as the second most likely result. Lyon are targeting back-to-back quarter-final appearances in this competition, but their hosts have been on a good run lately. The French side is looking to snap a four-game winless run here and will be aware that Celta have already beaten two French sides this season.
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Celta Vigo v Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.4 | 4.44 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.48 | 4.04 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.45 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Celta Vigo vs Lyon match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2026 between Celta Vigo and Lyon in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.59% for a win of Celta Vigo against Lyon with odds of 2.1 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celta Vigo vs Lyon is 11.71% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Celta Vigo with odds of 4.44 at Melbet.
Celta Vigo - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celta Vigo Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 47.59% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.56% | 2.14 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | |
| Half-time: Lyon / Full-time: Celta Vigo | 19.88% | 27 at LSbet |
Celta Vigo vs Lyon Form
Celta Vigo and Lyon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
Celta Vigo - Lyon: Form Analysis
Celta are through to the knockout rounds of a European tournament for the first time in nine years. The last time the La Liga side made it to the second round was in the 2016/17 season, as they reached the UEL semi-finals. That feat remains their best-ever run at a UEFA club competition, and they will be looking to go much further this season.
Os Celestes had a shaky league stage campaign, winning four and losing three of eight games to finish 16th. In the playoffs, Claudio Giraldez’s men beat PAOK 3-1 on aggregate with back-to-back wins. Those two victories were part of a four-match winning streak that was cut short in a 2-1 loss at home to Real Madrid in La Liga.
Celta have beaten two French sides, while Lyon have lost to a Spanish team.
Olympique Lyon were in top form during the league phase and will hope to keep this momentum. Les Gones won seven of their eight first-round matches and finished ahead of Aston Villa, who also managed seven wins, by goal difference.
Lyon’s only loss, however, came in a battle against a Spanish opponent. Playing away to Betis on matchday four, the French heavyweights went down 2-0, which is the only time they failed to score. Lyon have made it to the quarter-finals of the UEL in each of the last two seasons they appeared in the tournament.
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Celta Vigo against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderS. Carreira
C. Dominguez
A. Nunez
M. Ristic
J. Aidoo
MidfielderH. Alvarez
J. El-Abdellaoui
H. Sotelo
F. Jutgla
P. Duran
F. Lopez
Y. Konan
R. Descamps
MidfielderA. Karabec
T. Tessmann
T. Goncalves
K. Merah
M. De Carvalho
O. Mangala
A. Hamdani
R. Himbert
Missing players
M. Roman Gonzalez
H. Hateboer
R. Kluivert
MidfielderA. Maitland-Niles
ForwardP. Sulc
A. Moreira
E. Nuamah
M. Fofana
Celta Vigo & Lyon Squad Analysis
Celta are almost at full strength, with Pablo Duran the only player set to miss this game. The forward has missed the last two weeks with a knee injury. Borja Iglesias is Celta's leading scorer with 15 goals. He has netted twice in the EL and was on target last weekend.
Veteran forward Iago Aspas is also another weapon Celta have. The Spanish forward has netted three of his seven goals in Europe and has also provided three assists in the competition.
Celta’s Borja Iglesias hasn’t been on the winning side in his last four scoring outings.
Lyon are going through an injury crisis and have five players ruled out for this match. Among the five are Pavel Sulc and Afonso Moreira. The two are Lyon’s top attacking options. Sulc leads all other scorers at the club with 13 goals, while Moreira has netted six goals and has been involved in four in the EL.
Others who are set to miss this game for the visitors are Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Ruben Kluivert, and Malick Fofana. Corentin Tolisso is Lyon's second leading scorer and has netted four of his 11 goals in Europe.
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
Lyon
W. Swedberg
(5 Goals)
C. Tolisso
(4 Goals)
I. Aspas
(3 Assists)
A. Karabec
(4 Assists)
Celta Vigo - Lyon Key Points
- Celta have scored 18 goals in the Europa League this season.
- So far this season in the EL, Lyon have found the net 18 times.
- Both teams scored in eight of Celta’s 10 UEL fixtures.
- Lyon haven’t kept a clean sheet in four consecutive games.
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Our Celta Vigo vs Lyon Prediction
Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Olympique Lyon is BTTS. Celta and Lyon are two super-attacking sides that have flexed this side of their game in Europe this season. Combined, the two sides have scored 36 goals in the EL and are among the top scorers.
With Lyon waning defensively in recent outings and Celta not a dominant defensive side, chances of seeing both defences breached are high. Things are made more interesting with this being the first leg of a knockout round tie.
Celta Vigo vs Lyon Alternative Predictions
Celta Vigo wins
In our second prediction, we are settling for Celta Vigo to win. Though they are coming off a loss, the hosts have been much better recently than their visitors. They are also much healthier, with Lyon expected to miss some key players in attack.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celta Vigo Lyon
| Celta Vigo vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 2.15 | 2.1 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Lyon wins | 3.4 | 4.44 | +30.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Celta Vigo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 47.6% (1.1%)
Celta Vigo vs Lyon - FAQs
This match will be played on Thursday, 12 March.
This match will be played at Celta’s Balaidos Stadium in Vigo, Spain.
Telefonica will have a live telecast of this match for audiences in Spain, while those in France will be able to catch it on Canal+. Fans can also find minute-by-minute updates of this match and the other Europa League fixtures this week on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
