Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
Celta Vigo will have to conjure up one of the biggest comebacks in the UEFA Europa League if they are to stay in the continental competition at all. The Spaniards are set to host German side Freiburg in the return leg of their quarterfinal, looking to overturn a 3-0 defeat. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Celta Vigo have been conceding a lot of goals and will be hoping for an improvement here. They’ve averaged three goals conceded in their last four matches and let in a total of 16 in the Europa League. Freiburg, on the other hand, have only let in six goals in this competition.
A piece of history Celta will want to invoke is their run of winning the last 11 European return legs played at home. However, they’ve never faced a situation where they have a three-goal, second-leg deficit. Freiburg will feel worried about Celta’s home record, especially as the Germans have won just once in eight away matches in Europe.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Celta Vigo v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.66 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.65 | 4.1 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Celta Vigo vs Freiburg match is: Celta Vigo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2026 between Celta Vigo and Freiburg in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40% for a win of Celta Vigo against Freiburg with odds of 1.95 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celta Vigo vs Freiburg is 15.27% with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Celta Vigo with odds of 4.26 at 888Starz.
Celta Vigo - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celta Vigo Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 44.72% | 4.26 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.58% | 1.87 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 20.85% | 8.5 at Bet365 |
Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Form
Celta Vigo and Freiburg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
Celta Vigo - Freiburg: Form Analysis
Celta Vigo have 90 minutes to save their season in Europe after the heavy defeat away to Freiburg. Os Celestes fell 3-0 in another low to their already shaky campaign. Things went even worse for the Spanish side as they lost their latest league outing right after the loss in Europe.
Celta are coming off a 3-0 defeat at home against the weakest team in La Liga, Real Oviedo. That was not just their third defeat in four matches, but the third time in four games that they conceded three goals. At this rate, defence will be a key concern even as they look to score at least three times.
Celta Vigo have won each of their last 11 return leg games at home in Europe.
Freiburg did well to register a huge lead in the first leg in light of their struggles on the road in Europe. While Breisgau-Brasilianer have won their last 10 home games in Europe, they managed just one in eight away in continental action. Ahead of this game, they are winless in the last three such games (2L, 1D).
In knockout games in Europe, Freiburg scored just once in eight games. Such history doesn’t favor Freiburg at all, especially with German sides having lost 10 of 11 away games against Spanish sides. They are coming off a 1-0 win against Mainz and will be confident having won four of their last five games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Celta Vigo against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderJ. Aidoo
M. Fernandez
S. Carreira
A. Nunez
M. Ristic
MidfielderH. Sotelo
W. Swedberg
H. Alvarez Antunez
J. El-Abdellaoui
P. Duran
I. Aspas
F. Muller
J. Huth
DefenderB. Ogbus
K. Steinmann
L. Kubler
A. Jung
C. Gunter
MidfielderN. Hofler
C. Irie
D. Scherhant
M. Philipp
L. Holer
Missing players
M. Roman Gonzalez
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
P. Osterhage
Celta Vigo & Freiburg Squad Analysis
Iago Aspas, at 38, remains a key player for Celta Vigo, and especially right now when the team needs to overturn a heavy defeat. As he runs down his contract at the club, no player has had more goal contributions in Europe than the veteran.
He has scored three and assisted as many in the Europa League, and there’s a charm to his presence on the field. Celta Vigo lost only once in the nine matches he started, winning six and drawing twice. As Aspas isn’t a regular starter, the goal-getting burden will be Williot Swedberg’s. The Swede has four goals and two assists in Europe.
Celta will miss Starfelt, Ristic, Miguel Roman, and Hugo Alvarez due to injury.
None of the teams remaining in the Europa League have conceded fewer goals than Freiburg. The Germans have only let in six goals all season. The defenders will be needed to put in another shift. Freiburg will, however, be without a key man in their backline—Mathias Ginter, who was withdrawn in the weekend match.
The defender isn’t just crucial at the back but also in attack. He has four goal contributions in Europe (2G, 2A), also netting in the first-leg meeting with Celta. Goalkeeper Noah Atubolu will also have a say in this. The German has started 11 matches in Europe and kept five clean sheets.
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
Freiburg
W. Swedberg
(5 Goals)
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
I. Aspas
(3 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
Celta Vigo - Freiburg Key Points
- Celta Vigo have posted six wins in their last 11 matches at home.
- Celta Vigo have won four of their last six home games in Europe.
- Freiburg lost their last two away matches in the Europa League.
- Six of Freiburg’s last 10 away matches ended in defeat.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Prediction
Freiburg have a healthy lead ahead of the return leg here, and that can only invite Celta Vigo to attack as they try to stay in Europe. Given their home form, Celta will hope for some reprieve in this tie. The hosts may not be at their absolute best but have won four times in their last six home games in Europe.
Freiburg’s worst days in Europe came on the road, and here they are headed to a hostile reception. We still feel, on aggregate, the Germans will proceed, given their huge lead. Our prediction for Celta Vigo v Freiburg is that Celta Vigo wins.
Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo’s recent matches have been high-scoring, realizing at least three goals in each of the last four. Their last five games have produced an average of four goals. Meanwhile, Freiburg’s last five matches have averaged 3.8 goals. With this in mind, our second prediction for the match is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celta Vigo Freiburg
| Celta Vigo vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 1.9 | 1.95 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.8 | -2.6% |
| Freiburg wins | 3.7 | 4.26 | +15.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 23.5% (-3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Celta Vigo vs. Freiburg game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Celta Vigo and Freiburg? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Europa League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Celta Vigo vs Freiburg - FAQs
The Celta Vigo v Freiburg game will be hosted at Estadio de Balaidos, in Vigo.
The Celta Vigo v Freiburg game will be played on Thursday, 16th April.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
