Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Casa Pia secured its first draw of the Liga Portugal season in its recent outing against Vitória. Now, they will host league leaders Porto, who have secured five wins in five games and scored 11 goals. Ahead of their match-up at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto match prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Porto continued its dominant run in Liga Portugal with a recent 2-1 victory over Moreirense. Before the game, Porto picked up four straight league wins and four consecutive clean sheets. Its goalscoring has also been very impressive, netting at least two goals in each game this season. Against this Casa Pia side, Dragões should net another two or three.
That confidence will be bolstered by Casa Pia’s poor form, which has seen them score zero league goals in five games. Although their recent 0-0 stalemate with Vitoria stopped their four-game losing run, they go up against The Dragons who top the table.
And with five of their past eight H2H meetings ending with at least three goals, we are confident of a high-scoring matchup when both teams meet on Saturday.
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Casa Pia Lisbon v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13.00 | 6.80 | 1.19 |
|
|
13.70 | 7.38 | 1.20 |
|
|
16.00 | 7.80 | 1.16 |
|
|
16.00 | 8.00 | 1.15 |
|
|
13.50 | 7.30 | 1.19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.81% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Porto with odds of 16 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto is 9.14% with odds of 8 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.21 at 888Starz.
Casa Pia Lisbon - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Casa Pia Lisbon Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 66.06% | 1.21 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 60.66% | 2.38 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 74.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Porto/Porto | 31.52% | 1.68 at Betsson |
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +17 |
|
16
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
P. Sequeira
DefenderJ. Goulart
MidfielderA. Dafe
M. Ferreira Pereira
JP
S. Perez
ForwardA. Jatta
K. Prieto
E. Maurin
A. Zouin
Cassiano
Rochinha
J. Afonso
C. Ramos
DefenderM. Fernandes
D. Prpic
Souza
N. Perez
MidfielderA. Varela
G. Mec
T. Silva
S. Fofana
B. Sainz
S. Gimenez
Missing players
A. Gomes
V. Sousa
Most goals and assists
Casa Pia Lisbon
Porto
H. Araujo
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Clua
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Pauwels
(1 Goals)
, 
L. Ofori
(1 Goals)
,
J. Rego
(1 Goals)
G. Veiga
(4 Goals)
,
B. Sainz
(4 Goals)
S. Perez
(1 Assists)
,
L. Ofori
(1 Assists)
,
M. Salah El Boukammiri
(1 Assists)
Pepe
(4 Assists)
Casa Pia Lisbon - Porto Key Points
- Os Gansos sat in last place today.
- Porto are currently league leaders, and they have the third-highest goal tally (11).
- Casa Pia picked up four consecutive losses before its recent 0-0 draw with Casa Pia Lisbon.
- Dragões have won all five league games.
- Five of the past eight meetings between both sides ended with at least three goals.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction
Os Gansos will be super lucky to escape with a draw when they welcome Porto at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Dragões, scoring at 2.2 goals per game, will present a massive test for Casa Pia's backline, which has managed only one clean sheet in five games.
Already, five of the past eight games between the two teams ended with three goals or more. All factors point to a repeat of history, especially given Porto’s goal-scoring form. Hence, our Casa Pia vs Porto match prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Casa Pia Lisbon Porto
| Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 10.50 | 16.00 | +52.4% |
| Draw | 5.20 | 8.00 | +53.8% |
| Porto wins | 1.30 | 1.21 | -6.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 82.6% (5.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Casa Pia Lisbon vs. Porto game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
