Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
12/09/2026 12:00
Porto

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Casa Pia secured its first draw of the Liga Portugal season in its recent outing against Vitória. Now, they will host league leaders Porto, who have secured five wins in five games and scored 11 goals. Ahead of their match-up at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto match prediction is over 2.5 goals.

Porto continued its dominant run in Liga Portugal with a recent 2-1 victory over Moreirense. Before the game, Porto picked up four straight league wins and four consecutive clean sheets. Its goalscoring has also been very impressive, netting at least two goals in each game this season. Against this Casa Pia side, Dragões should net another two or three. 

That confidence will be bolstered by Casa Pia’s poor form, which has seen them score zero league goals in five games. Although their recent 0-0 stalemate with Vitoria stopped their four-game losing run, they go up against The Dragons who top the table.

And with five of their past eight H2H meetings ending with at least three goals, we are confident of a high-scoring matchup when both teams meet on Saturday.

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Casa Pia Lisbon v Porto Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
11 5.6 1.24
1xbet
13.8 6.21 1.25
Melbet
13.5 6.05 1.23
Betwinner
13.5 6.05 1.23
22bet
13.5 6.05 1.23
Check all Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto?

Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto match is: Over 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.1% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Porto with odds of 13.8 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto is 9.86% with odds of 6.21 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 65.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.28 at Shangrila.

Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Form

Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Porto
15 5 5 0 0 +10
18 Casa Pia Lisbon
1 5 0 1 4 -11

Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto Last Matches

Casa Pia Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon Last matches
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Moreirense

24 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
1 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leixoes
6 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon
L L D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Moreirense

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon

28 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
2 :  0
SCU Torreense

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave

3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Tondela

23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
SC Braga
W D L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

24 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
1 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leixoes
6 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

20 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

SCU Torreense
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon
Porto
Porto Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Porto
0 :  2
Manchester City

4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Moreirense

29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Academico De Viseu FC
0 :  3
Porto

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Arouca

15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  2
Porto

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
FC Alverca SAD
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Porto
0 :  2
Manchester City

4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Moreirense

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Arouca

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

1 Aug 2026 - Portugal Super Cup

Porto
1 :  0
SCU Torreense

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
2 :  1
Aston Villa
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Academico De Viseu FC
0 :  3
Porto

15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  2
Porto

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Porto

10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
3 :  1
Porto

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Porto

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Casa Pia Lisbon

17 %

Draw

0 %

Porto

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
2 :  1
Porto

24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
4 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Porto

2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction

Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto last Lineups

Casa Pia Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
A. Gomes
18
A. Geraldes
3
D. Gabriel Bandeira
43
D. Sousa
75
Rosas
16
S. Clua
80
L. Ofori
19
K. Prieto
70
J. Rego
77
B. Pauwels
20
A. Jatta
11
Pepe
19
A. Silva
7
W. Gomes
10
G. Veiga
22
A. Varela
13
P. Rosario
52
M. Fernandes
4
J. Kiwior
18
N. Perez
20
A. Costa
99
D. Costa

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Porto

Substitutes

Casa Pia Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon
Goalkeeper

I. Mandic

Defender

J. Goulart

Midfielder

JP

A. Dafe

M. Ferreira Pereira

S. Perez

Forward

E. Maurin

A. Zouin

M. Salah El Boukammiri

Cassiano

Rochinha

H. Araujo

Porto
Porto
Goalkeeper

C. Ramos

J. Costa

Defender

F. Moura

L. Gomes

Souza

Midfielder

H. In-beom

D. Cunha

J. Teixeira

T. Silva

S. Fofana

Forward

B. Sainz

S. Gimenez

Missing players

Casa Pia Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon
Goalkeeper

A. Gomes

Porto
Porto
Defender

J. Bednarek

Z. Sanusi

Midfielder

V. Sousa

V. Froholdt

O. Pietuszewski

Forward

S. Aghehowa

Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto Stats in Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon
Porto
Porto
0%
Wins
100%
80%
Losses
0%
20%
Draws
0%
2.2
Average goals per match
2.4
0
Goals scored per match
2.2
2.2
Goals conceded per match
0.2
80%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
20%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
20%
No goals conceded
80%
0%
BTTS
20%

Casa Pia Lisbon - Porto Key Points

  1. Os Gansos sat in last place today.
  2. Porto are currently league leaders, and they have the third-highest goal tally (11).
  3. Casa Pia picked up four consecutive losses before its recent 0-0 draw with Casa Pia Lisbon.
  4. Dragões have won all five league games.
  5. Five of the past eight meetings between both sides ended with at least three goals.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction

Os Gansos will be super lucky to escape with a draw when they welcome Porto at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Dragões, scoring at 2.2 goals per game, will present a massive test for Casa Pia's backline, which has managed only one clean sheet in five games. 

Already, five of the past eight games between the two teams ended with three goals or more. All factors point to a repeat of history, especially given Porto’s goal-scoring form. Hence, our Casa Pia vs Porto match prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.