Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Porto continues its Liga Portugal title march in Round 20, looking to extend its seven-point lead at the top. Dragões’ next challenge is an away game against Casa Pia, whose relegation zone status will make this a difficult game for the league leaders. Let's get into this match prediction!
For Porto, this season has been nothing short of spectacular. The 2022 champions have now won a whopping 18 of its 19 games this season, recording only one draw to none other than Mourinho’s Benfica. The Dragons are coming off another huge Europa League win over Rangers, which extends their winning run to 14 in the last 17 games.
While Porto chases the title, Casa Pia is fighting to still be a Liga Portugal team next season. Os Gansos (The Geese) now sit in 16th, the only relegation playoff spot. But if they fail to Porto and Tondela wins its Round 20 clash, Casa will be on the same points and just ten above AVS in last place.
The Geese know they're the undergos, but will be fighting like their lives depend on it, which is literally the case. Still, Porto will be confident after thrashing Casa 4-0 earlier this season. See key betting stats below.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Casa Pia Lisbon v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12 | 5.4 | 1.27 |
|
|
9 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
|
|
12.5 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
|
|
13 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 5 | 1.28 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto match is: Both Teams To Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/02/2026 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 3.08% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Porto with odds of 14 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto is 23.35% with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 73.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.3 at Melbet.
Casa Pia Lisbon - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Casa Pia Lisbon Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 73.58% | 1.3 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.99% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Porto/Porto | 35.91% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
16
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
14 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Mandic
DefenderA. Geraldes
MidfielderI. Mohamed
ForwardK. Prieto
K. Nsona
C. Mendes
D. Livramento
J. Marques
K. Osundina
Claudio Ramos
DefenderD. Prpic
A. Costa
J. Kiwior
MidfielderV. Froholdt
R. Mora
O. Pietuszewski
D. Gul
W. Gomes
Most goals and assists
Casa Pia Lisbon
Porto
Cassiano
(6 Goals)
, 
G. Larrazabal
(6 Goals)
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
J. Livolant
(7 Assists)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
Casa Pia Lisbon - Porto Key Points
- Porto has conceded just four goals this season (the fewest), allowing just 0.2 goals per game.
- Porto has kept the most clean sheets in the league (15).
- Casa Pia has created the fifth-fewest big chances this season (32).
- Casa Pia has also scored the third-fewest goals this season (38).
- Porto has kept a clean sheet in its last three meetings against Casa Pia.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto Prediction
The most likely outcome here is another clean sheet win for Porto, which makes for a great second bet. But we’re keeping it simple, backing this game to end with a clean sheet for at least one team.
Porto have already kept a staggering 15 clean sheets in 19 games. And they now face a Casa Pia side that has scored the third-fewest in the league. Hence, our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto prediction is Both Teams To Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Casa Pia Lisbon Porto
| Casa Pia Lisbon vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 11.5 | 14 | +21.7% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.8 | +16.0% |
| Porto wins | 1.32 | 1.3 | -1.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.8% and is now 76.9% (1.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs. Porto game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Porto? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
