Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions
For a chance to go joint second in the Primeira Liga, Benfica will travel to Casa Pia on Monday. The two sides are battling on the extreme ends of the league standings: Benfica third and Casa Pia third-last. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Hosts Casa Pia went into the international break winless in four matches (2D, 2L). In their most recent, they lost to another struggling side, Estrela.
The 4-0 away loss marked the third of four games in which they failed to score. All season they’ve managed just five league wins, two coming at home. Os Gansos are just a point adrift of safety.
Benfica remain the only unbeaten side in the league this season, but they trail the leaders Porto by eight points. Jose Mourinho’s side will be looking to take advantage of Porto’s matchday 28 draw to further close the gap.
With 19 wins from their 27 league matches, As Aguias will be confident of extending the same here. In their latest match, they beat Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0 at home, for their fourth unbeaten outing in all competitions (3W and 1D).
While Benfica seem to have all the tools to dominate this fixture, they are winless in the last two meetings. The reverse fixture ended 2-2, and Casa Pia won the earlier one.
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Casa Pia Lisbon v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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13 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
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13.5 | 6.95 | 1.2 |
|
|
13.5 | 6.95 | 1.2 |
|
|
13 | 6.5 | 1.17 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.21 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2026 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.25% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 13.5 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon is 30.27% with odds of 7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.23 at LSbet.
Casa Pia Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Casa Pia Lisbon Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 46.49% | 1.23 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.24% | |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 17.3% | 1.65 at LSbet |
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
16
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
4 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
I. Mandic
DefenderK. Rocha
A. Conte
A. Dafe
ForwardC. Mendes
K. Nsona
K. Prieto
J. Marques
K. Osundina
S. Soares
DefenderS. Lopes Cabral
G. Oliveira
D. Banjaqui
MidfielderF. Ivanovic
G. Sudakov
M. Silva
ForwardG. Prestianni
A. Cabral
Missing players
R. Batista
DefenderD. Gabriel Bandeira
MidfielderS. Perez
A. Dedic
MidfielderJ. Veloso
Most goals and assists
Casa Pia Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Cassiano
(6 Goals)
, 
G. Larrazabal
(6 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
J. Livolant
(7 Assists)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
Casa Pia Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of Benfica’s last five matches.
- In eight of Casa Pia’s last 10 home matches, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in three of five meetings between these sides.
- Benfica failed to score once in five away games but only kept one clean sheet.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
This is a derby, and such matches come packed with surprises. That is why Benfica, with all their quality, are winless in the last two meetings with Casa Pia. The reverse match, and two others before it across the last five matches, ended with both teams scoring.
That suggests that we can expect a competitive match regardless of the two teams’ league placings in the standings. While Benfica have scored in all their last five matches, they only kept one clean sheet. Our prediction for Casa Pia v Benfica is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Casa Pia Lisbon Benfica Lisbon
| Casa Pia Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 12 | 13.5 | +12.5% |
| Draw | 6.75 | 7 | +3.7% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.22 | 1.23 | +0.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 81.3% (-0.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
