Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
The relegation battle continues for Casa Pia Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD in Round 19 of the Liga Portugal. Os Gansos (The Geese) look for all three points that can push them out of the relegation playoff spot, while last-placed AVS must turn their season around before it's too late. Read our match prediction below.
The home side is fresh off a 3-0 defeat to Sporting Lisbon, extending what's been an abysmal run. Casa Pia are now winless in 12 of their last 13 games, with the only victory coming against fellow relegation battlers Arouca. Os Gansos sits squarely in 16th place, the only relegation playoff spot, after earning just 14 points from 18 games.
However, with only three points separating them and 13th-placed Nacional, Casa can still avoid relegation altogether. Thankfully, they meet AVS, one of the only three teams Casa has beaten this season. The away side is still hunting for its first victory of the season after losing 14 of 18 games and drawing four to win only four points.
AVS is now on a three-game goalless losing streak that was capped with a defeat to Arouca at their home. If things don't take a drastic turn in this other half of the season, AVS can kiss top-flight football in Portugal goodbye after only two seasons.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Casa Pia Lisbon v AVS Futebol SAD Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.09 | 3.15 | 3.8 |
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2.07 | 3.18 | 3.92 |
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|
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2.1 | 3.14 | 3.88 |
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2.05 | 3.1 | 3.8 |
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2.04 | 3.1 | 3.8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD match is: Casa Pia Lisbon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2026 between Casa Pia Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.74% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against AVS Futebol SAD with odds of 2.12 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD is 29.23% with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.04% chance ⭐ for a win of AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
Casa Pia Lisbon - AVS Futebol SAD Prediction and Best Odds:
| Casa Pia Lisbon AVS Futebol SAD Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 37.74% | 2.12 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: AVS Futebol SAD / Full-time: Casa Pia Lisbon | 13.49% | 29 at Bet365 |
Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -26 |
|
18
|
21 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon against AVS Futebol SAD Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Batista
DefenderA. Geraldes
MidfielderI. Mohamed
M. Sousa
L. Ofori
K. Nsona
D. Livramento
K. Osundina
K. Prieto
Simao
DefenderD. Rivas
P. Vitor
D. Spencer
A. Santos
MidfielderT. Galletto
ForwardD. Duarte
G. Neiva
Nene
Missing players
C. Mendes Vicente
C. Devenish
Most goals and assists
Casa Pia Lisbon - AVS Futebol SAD Key Points
- AVS has lost 14 of 18 games this season (the most).
- AVS has scored the fewest goals this season (11).
- AVS has conceded the most goals this season (44), averaging 2.4 per game.
- AVS has the worst away form this season, losing seven of eight games, scoring 4, conceding 25, and going goalless in five matches.
- Casa Pia already beat AVS 2-0 away from home this season.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction
Both teams have been bad all season, but the away side isn't even comparable. AVS has the worst scoring form, has conceded the most goals, and has lost three more games than the second-worst team.
And with three straight goalless defeats in the league and five goalless away losses in a row, AVS aren't showing any signs of improvement. And that's why we're banking on Casa Pia to do the double over AVS in front of their fans. Hence, our Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD prediction is that Casa Pia Lisbon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Casa Pia Lisbon AVS Futebol SAD
| Casa Pia Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 1.87 | 2.12 | +13.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.25 | -4.4% |
| AVS Futebol SAD wins | 4.5 | 4 | -11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Casa Pia Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.5% and is now 47.2% (-6.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.