Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
ATP - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Match cancelled
Sebastian Baez begins his bid to win a third successive RIo Open. He's seeded fourth for this outdoor clay court tournament and faces unseeded Carlos Taberner in round one. Will the champion be dethroned? Time for our match prediction.
Up next for the winner will be unseeded opposition, either Damir Dzumhur or Pedro Martinez.
Baez is the only player to have won this title on two occasions. He's already having a good year with some surprisingly good results on hard courts. That included winning four matches in the United Cup.
His clay season began in Buenos Aires and Baez made it to the last four, losing to Luciano Darderi. His last two defeats have been at the hands of the Italian and the pair could meet in this tournament.
While Sebastian Baez has gone ten matches unbeaten in this tournament, Carlos Taberner is yet to win one at all in Rio. Three previous visits in 2018, 2020 and 2022 have all ended in defeat with only one set being won.
It's not gone well for him this year either. He lost both of the hard court matches played in January. Taberner won 45 matches on this surface last year, mainly on the Challenger Tour. We tip Baez to win this in straight sets.
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Carlos Taberner v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.08 | 1.24 |
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4.08 | 1.24 |
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5 | 1.17 |
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4.7 | 1.16 |
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4.7 | 1.16 |
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Who will win the Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez match is: Sebastian Baez wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez game on 17/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Carlos Taberner has a 27.36% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 5.25.
- Sebastian Baez has a 72.64% probability of winning facing Carlos Taberner ⭐ with odds of 1.24 at Melbet.
Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Carlos Taberner has a 27.36 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Carlos Taberner | 27.36 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 72.64 % |
Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez Form
Carlos Taberner and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
19 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
Carlos Taberner - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Baez has won this tournament for the past two years.
- Baez has reached one clay court semi-final this year.
- Baez is 32nd in the live rankings, 68 places ahead of his opponent.
- Taberner has lost all three of his previous matches in the Rio Open.
- Taberner is yet to win a match this year.
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Our Carlos Taberner vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Sebastian Baez has won ten of his 12 matches this year with only Luciano Darderi beating him. He is chasing a record extending three-peat in Rio and has already reached one clay court semi-final in 2026.
Carlos Taberner has lost all three of his previous matches in the Rio Open. Nor has he won a match this year. He is capable on clay but only made it past round two of an ATP Tour event in 2025. Our Carlos Taberner v Sebastian Baez prediction is Sebastian Baez wins in straight sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
