Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters
ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions
After the exit of Alexander Zverev in round two, second seed Carlos Alcaraz is the highest remaining seed in the Paris Masters. Round three of this indoor hard court tournament will see the Spaniard face unseeded Matteo Berrettini. Alcaraz has won his last six matches, but four had at least 21 games. Our prediction is Alcaraz wins and more than 20.5 games.
In the quarter-finals, the winner's opponent will be either sixth seed Arthur Fils or 11th-seeded Taylor Fritz.
Last week saw Alcaraz win the indoor hard court Erste Bank Open. He received a bye into round two of this tournament and then beat Alex Michelsen in straight sets, but 22 games were played. That included a tie-break and he's played one in six of his last seven matches.
Alcaraz leads Berrettini 3-1 in previous meetings. In best-of-three-sets matches, both had more than 20.5 games.
Matteo Berrettini beat the 14th seed Brandon Nakashima in round one. It took him three sets and 32 games to get the win. The Italian followed that with a straight sets win over Ugo Humbert. with 25 games played. He's been involved in two tie-breaks so far this week.
Berrettini has played more than 20.5 games in six of his last nine completed matches.
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Matteo Berrettini v Carlos Alcaraz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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5.80 | 1.14 |
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5.33 | 1.17 |
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5.25 | 1.16 |
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5.25 | 1.16 |
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5.25 | 1.16 |
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This match is our lead expert's Pick of the Day.
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Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
4 Nov 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
3 Nov 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
8 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
4 Nov 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
1 Nov 2026 - ATP Vienna
31 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
30 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
29 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
27 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
10 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
19 Feb 2022 - ATP Rio Open
20 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open
29 Oct 2021 - ATP Vienna
Matteo Berrettini - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz has won his last 11 indoor hard court matches.
- Of those 11 wins, more than 20.5 games were played in seven matches.
- Both of the previous three-set matches played between these two players saw more than 20.5 games played.
- Alcaraz leads Berrettini 3-1 in previous matches.
- More than 20.5 games were played in six of Berrettini's last nine completed matches.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz has won his last two indoor hard court tournaments. He's won 11 matches in a row on this surface, but regularly has to go to a tie-break to win sets. That was the case in his first match this week as he beat Alex Michelsen in straight sets.
Matteo Berrettini remains a difficult opponent to beat. The former top-ten ranked player has had two good wins so far in Paris this week. This is tougher and our Carlos Alcaraz v Matteo Berrettini prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
