Cardiff vs Lincoln City Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

England - League One

Cardiff
07/03/2026 07:30
Lincoln City

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Ian John | in League One Predictions

Arguably the biggest game of the League One season kicks off on Saturday lunchtime as the top two clash. Cardiff City face Lincoln City at the Cardiff City Stadium. With the Bluebirds and Imps well clear at the top of the table, both look set for promotion, but a win for either here could make a huge difference in their quest to finish top of the table. What is our prediction for the match?

The current League One table clearly shows how well both these teams are performing. Cardiff City are top of the table with 72 points from their 34 games played with a +32 goal difference. Lincoln City are second in the table, with 71 points from their 34 games, also with a +32 goal difference. Bolton lie a distant third in the table on 61 points from 35 games.

Cardiff's recent form had been excellent coming into this game. A 3-0 win at Rotherham was followed by 3-1 and 4-1 home wins over Luton and AFC Wimbledon. However, they then went down to a shocking 5-2 loss away to Plymouth, but last weekend bounced back with a 4-0 win at Doncaster Rovers.

Lincoln's recent form is even better. A 4-1 win away to Plymouth was followed by a 1-1 draw at home to Bolton and a 4-0 home win over Northampton. They then beat Mansfield 2-0 on the road and last weekend earned a 4-0 home win over Blackpool.

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Cardiff v Lincoln City Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.21 3.5 3.1
Melbet
2.26 3.32 3.09
Betwinner
2.18 3.38 3.21
Bet365
2.15 3.4 3
Roobet
2.14 3.25 3.15
Check all Cardiff vs Lincoln City odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Lincoln City?

Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Lincoln City match is: A Draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Cardiff and Lincoln City in League One :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.89% for a win of Cardiff against Lincoln City with odds of 2.27 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Lincoln City is 17.22% with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Lincoln City vs Cardiff with odds of 3.26 at 888Starz.

Cardiff - Lincoln City Prediction and Best Odds:

Cardiff Lincoln City Prediction Probability Odds
Lincoln City wins 45.89% 3.26 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 63.72% 1.85 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 60.42%
Half-time / Full-time: Lincoln City/Lincoln City 19.13% 5 at LSbet

Cardiff vs Lincoln City Form

Cardiff and Lincoln City's standings in the League One

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Lincoln City
103 46 31 10 5 +48
2 Cardiff
91 46 27 10 9 +40

Cardiff and Lincoln City Last Matches

Cardiff
Cardiff Last matches
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Doncaster
0 :  4
Cardiff

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Plymouth
5 :  2
Cardiff

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
3 :  1
Luton Town

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Rotherham
0 :  3
Cardiff

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Burton Albion
2 :  2
Cardiff
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
3 :  1
Luton Town

27 Jan 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  0
Barnsley

24 Jan 2026 - League One

Cardiff
1 :  1
Stockport County FC

4 Jan 2026 - League One

Cardiff
1 :  0
Wigan

29 Dec 2025 - League One

Cardiff
2 :  1
Stevenage
D W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Doncaster
0 :  4
Cardiff

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Plymouth
5 :  2
Cardiff

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Rotherham
0 :  3
Cardiff

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Burton Albion
2 :  2
Cardiff

17 Jan 2026 - League One

Bradford City FC
1 :  2
Cardiff

10 Jan 2026 - League One

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Cardiff
Lincoln City
Lincoln City Last matches
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Blackpool

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Mansfield Town
0 :  2
Lincoln City

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Northampton Town

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
1 :  1
Bolton

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Plymouth
1 :  4
Lincoln City

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Wigan
0 :  1
Lincoln City
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Blackpool

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Northampton Town

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
1 :  1
Bolton

27 Jan 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
3 :  0
Bradford City FC

22 Jan 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
2 :  1
Burton Albion

4 Jan 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
5 :  2
Peterborough
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Mansfield Town
0 :  2
Lincoln City

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Plymouth
1 :  4
Lincoln City

31 Jan 2026 - League One

Wigan
0 :  1
Lincoln City

17 Jan 2026 - League One

Luton Town
2 :  2
Lincoln City

29 Dec 2025 - League One

Barnsley
0 :  2
Lincoln City

26 Dec 2025 - League One

Stockport County FC
1 :  2
Lincoln City

Cardiff vs Lincoln City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cardiff

0 %

Draw

0 %

Lincoln City

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - League One

Lincoln City
2 :  1
Cardiff

Players list

Cardiff
Cardiff
Goalkeeper

N. Trott

Defender

J. Bagan

G. Osho

W. Fish

R. Kpakio

Midfielder

A. Robertson

J. Colwill

R. Wintle

R. Colwill

Forward

O. Tanner

O. Kellyman

Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Goalkeeper

G. Wickens

Defender

T. Darikwa

S. Bradley

T. Hamer

Midfielder

R. Towler

V. Oleksandrovych

A. Reach

C. McGrandles

Forward

R. Street

R. Hackett-Fairchild

B. House

Substitutes

Cardiff
Cardiff
Defender

C. Scanlon

D. Lawlor

G. Osho 76'

C. Chambers

Midfielder

C. Ashford

O. Tanner 76'

C. Willock

O. Kellyman 67'

Forward

C. Robinson

J. Colwill 67'

D. Turnbull

A. Robertson 90'

Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Goalkeeper

Z. Jeacock

Defender

D. Elerewe

Midfielder

A. Lloyd

R. Street 81'

J. Moylan

D. Jefferies

R. Hackett-Fairchild 67'

T. Bayliss

B. House 81'

Forward

R. One

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Cardiff
CD Huachipato Lincoln City
Top Goalscorer
Denmark Y. Salech (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
R. Hackett-Fairchild (11 Goals) Rep. of Ireland J. Moylan (11 Goals)

Cardiff - Lincoln City Key Points

  1. Cardiff have lost two of their last 20 league games (D4, W14)
  2. Lincoln are unbeaten in their last 17 league games (W13, D4).
  3. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 12 home games, scoring in every match.
  4. Lincoln have scored in all of their last 19 League One matches.
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Our Cardiff vs Lincoln City Prediction

Our prediction for the Cardiff City vs. Lincoln City League One match is: A Draw.

Both these teams have been by far and away the best and most consistent performers in League One this season and both look certainties for the two promotion spots as things stand. Both are in excellent form, especially Lincoln City who are on a long unbeaten run, however Cardiff City's home form is also outstanding which makes this a game neither team will want to lose. When that happens, a draw is always a good value option.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Lincoln City

Cardiff vs Lincoln City Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Cardiff wins 2.27 2.27 0%
Draw 3.3 3.5 +6.1%
Lincoln City wins 3.05 3.26 +6.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lincoln City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 6.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 30.7% (-2.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cardiff vs Lincoln City Prediction