Cardiff vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

England - League One

Cardiff
11/04/2026 07:30
Bolton

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Ian John | in League One Predictions

The Cardiff City Stadium hosts a key League One match on Saturday as the Bluebirds take on Bolton Wanderers in a clash between two teams in the top four. Like the hosts, the Trotters still have plenty to play for over these last few games of the season, with promotion still possible, and the playoffs looking likely. Here's our prediction for what should be a fiercely competitive match.

Brian Barry Murphy's Cardiff City sit second in the current L2 table, but they are now 12 points behind leaders Lincoln, albeit with a game in hand. They have 78 points from their 40 games played. Bolton sit fourth in the table, a point behind Bradford City with Steven Schumacher's team amassing 70 points from their 41 league games played, eight behind Cardiff.

Cardiff's form coming into this home game will be a little concerning for their manager and fans. After a superb 4-0 away win over Exeter City, the Bluebirds have failed to win their next three league games. A 2-0 home defeat by Wycombe was then followed by two draws, a 0-0 draw at home with Blackpool and then a 1-1 draw on Easter Monday at Peterborough.

However, Bolton's recent form is very similar to their hosts. Schumacher's team drew 0-0 at home to Doncaster before a 1-0 defeat away at Port Vale. A 2-1 win at Plymouth followed on Good Friday before a 2-2 draw at home to Stockport last Monday.

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Cardiff v Bolton Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.81 4 3.85
Melbet
1.79 4 3.86
Betwinner
1.78 4 3.92
Bet365
1.79 3.9 3.75
Roobet
1.77 3.9 3.75
Check all Cardiff vs Bolton odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Bolton?

Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Bolton match is: A Draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Cardiff and Bolton in League One :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.91% for a win of Cardiff against Bolton with odds of 1.84 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Bolton is 31.42% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Cardiff with odds of 3.92 at Betwinner.

Cardiff - Bolton Prediction and Best Odds:

Cardiff Bolton Prediction Probability Odds
Bolton wins 36.66% 3.92 at Betwinner
Under 2.5 52.25%
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton 18% 10 at LSbet

Cardiff vs Bolton Form

Cardiff and Bolton's standings in the League One

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Cardiff
91 46 27 10 9 +40
5 Bolton
75 46 19 18 9 +18

Cardiff and Bolton Last Matches

Cardiff
Cardiff Last matches
L D W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - League One

Peterborough
1 :  1
Cardiff

21 Mar 2026 - League One

Cardiff
0 :  0
Blackpool

17 Mar 2026 - League One

Cardiff
0 :  2
Wycombe Wanderers

14 Mar 2026 - League One

Exeter City
0 :  4
Cardiff

10 Mar 2026 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  1
Cardiff

7 Mar 2026 - League One

Cardiff
0 :  2
Lincoln City
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - League One

Cardiff
0 :  0
Blackpool

17 Mar 2026 - League One

Cardiff
0 :  2
Wycombe Wanderers

7 Mar 2026 - League One

Cardiff
0 :  2
Lincoln City

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  1
AFC Wimbledon

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Cardiff
3 :  1
Luton Town

27 Jan 2026 - League One

Cardiff
4 :  0
Barnsley
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - League One

Peterborough
1 :  1
Cardiff

14 Mar 2026 - League One

Exeter City
0 :  4
Cardiff

10 Mar 2026 - League One

Barnsley
1 :  1
Cardiff

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Doncaster
0 :  4
Cardiff

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Plymouth
5 :  2
Cardiff

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Rotherham
0 :  3
Cardiff
Bolton
Bolton Last matches
W D D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - League One

Bolton
2 :  2
Stockport County FC

3 Apr 2026 - League One

Plymouth
1 :  2
Bolton

21 Mar 2026 - League One

Port Vale
1 :  0
Bolton

17 Mar 2026 - League One

Bolton
0 :  0
Doncaster

14 Mar 2026 - League One

Rotherham
2 :  2
Bolton

7 Mar 2026 - League One

Bolton
3 :  2
Wycombe Wanderers
W W D W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - League One

Bolton
2 :  2
Stockport County FC

17 Mar 2026 - League One

Bolton
0 :  0
Doncaster

7 Mar 2026 - League One

Bolton
3 :  2
Wycombe Wanderers

21 Feb 2026 - League One

Bolton
2 :  2
Blackpool

7 Feb 2026 - League One

Bolton
3 :  2
Barnsley

27 Jan 2026 - League One

Bolton
2 :  1
Burton Albion
D D W D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Apr 2026 - League One

Plymouth
1 :  2
Bolton

21 Mar 2026 - League One

Port Vale
1 :  0
Bolton

14 Mar 2026 - League One

Rotherham
2 :  2
Bolton

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Exeter City
1 :  5
Bolton

17 Feb 2026 - League One

Reading
1 :  1
Bolton

14 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
1 :  1
Bolton

Cardiff vs Bolton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cardiff

0 %

Draw

0 %

Bolton

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - League One

Bolton
1 :  0
Cardiff

Players list

Cardiff
Cardiff
Goalkeeper

N. Trott

Defender

J. Bagan

D. Lawlor

W. Fish

P. Ng

Midfielder

A. Robertson

C. Willock

R. Wintle

R. Colwill

Forward

O. Kellyman

O. Tanner

Bolton
Bolton
Goalkeeper

J. Bonham

Defender

M. Burstow

C. Christie

E. Toal

J. Osei-Tutu

G. Johnston

Midfielder

M. Conway

J. Sheehan

K. Dempsey

Forward

T. Gale

S. Dalby

Substitutes

Cardiff
Cardiff
Goalkeeper

M. Turner

Defender

C. Scanlon

C. Willock 77'

R. Kpakio

Midfielder

J. Colwill

R. Colwill 78'

Forward

Y. Salech

O. Kellyman 88'

C. Robinson

D. Turnbull

A. Robertson 77'

Bolton
Bolton
Goalkeeper

D. Harrington

Defender

C. Forino

Midfielder

R. Apter

T. Gale 60'

D. Lawrence

R. Rodrigues

K. Dempsey 60'

T. Ritchie

M. Burstow 83'

Forward

A. Cozier-Duberry

C. Christie 60'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Cardiff
CD Huachipato Bolton
Top Goalscorer
Denmark Y. Salech (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Burstow (12 Goals)

Cardiff - Bolton Key Points

  1. Cardiff City have drawn three of their last five league games.
  2. No team has drawn more league games in L1 than Bolton (16 from 41 games).
  3. Bolton have drawn five of their last ten league games (W4, L1).
  4. Nine of Bolton's draws this season have come away from home.
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Our Cardiff vs Bolton Prediction

Our prediction for the Cardiff City vs. Bolton Wanderers League One match is: A Draw.

Both of these teams have hit some indifferent form as we head into the last few games of the season. That is a concern for both managers as they seek to secure either automatic promotion or a playoff spot. Both teams need a win, but with both teams finding draws rather than wins of late, the data does strongly suggest that the draw is the bet to back.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Bolton

Cardiff vs Bolton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Cardiff wins 1.92 1.84 -4.2%
Draw 3.6 4.1 +13.9%
Bolton wins 3.35 3.92 +17.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bolton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 17.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 29.9% and is now 25.5% (-4.3%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cardiff vs Bolton Prediction