Cardiff vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
The Cardiff City Stadium hosts a key League One match on Saturday as the Bluebirds take on Bolton Wanderers in a clash between two teams in the top four. Like the hosts, the Trotters still have plenty to play for over these last few games of the season, with promotion still possible, and the playoffs looking likely. Here's our prediction for what should be a fiercely competitive match.
Brian Barry Murphy's Cardiff City sit second in the current L2 table, but they are now 12 points behind leaders Lincoln, albeit with a game in hand. They have 78 points from their 40 games played. Bolton sit fourth in the table, a point behind Bradford City with Steven Schumacher's team amassing 70 points from their 41 league games played, eight behind Cardiff.
Cardiff's form coming into this home game will be a little concerning for their manager and fans. After a superb 4-0 away win over Exeter City, the Bluebirds have failed to win their next three league games. A 2-0 home defeat by Wycombe was then followed by two draws, a 0-0 draw at home with Blackpool and then a 1-1 draw on Easter Monday at Peterborough.
However, Bolton's recent form is very similar to their hosts. Schumacher's team drew 0-0 at home to Doncaster before a 1-0 defeat away at Port Vale. A 2-1 win at Plymouth followed on Good Friday before a 2-2 draw at home to Stockport last Monday.
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Cardiff v Bolton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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1.81 | 4 | 3.85 |
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1.79 | 4 | 3.86 |
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|
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1.78 | 4 | 3.92 |
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|
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1.79 | 3.9 | 3.75 |
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1.77 | 3.9 | 3.75 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Bolton?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Bolton match is: A Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Cardiff and Bolton in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.91% for a win of Cardiff against Bolton with odds of 1.84 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Bolton is 31.42% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Cardiff with odds of 3.92 at Betwinner.
Cardiff - Bolton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cardiff Bolton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 36.66% | 3.92 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 52.25% | |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton | 18% | 10 at LSbet |
Cardiff vs Bolton Form
Cardiff and Bolton's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
91 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | +40 |
|
5
|
75 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | +18 |
Cardiff and Bolton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
10 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
10 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
14 Feb 2026 - League One
Cardiff vs Bolton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - League One
Players list
N. Trott
DefenderJ. Bagan
D. Lawlor
W. Fish
P. Ng
MidfielderA. Robertson
C. Willock
R. Wintle
R. Colwill
ForwardO. Kellyman
O. Tanner
J. Bonham
DefenderM. Burstow
C. Christie
E. Toal
J. Osei-Tutu
G. Johnston
MidfielderM. Conway
J. Sheehan
K. Dempsey
ForwardT. Gale
S. Dalby
Substitutes
M. Turner
DefenderC. Scanlon
R. Kpakio
MidfielderJ. Colwill
Y. Salech
C. Robinson
D. Turnbull
D. Harrington
DefenderC. Forino
MidfielderR. Apter
D. Lawrence
R. Rodrigues
T. Ritchie
A. Cozier-Duberry
Most goals and assists
Cardiff - Bolton Key Points
- Cardiff City have drawn three of their last five league games.
- No team has drawn more league games in L1 than Bolton (16 from 41 games).
- Bolton have drawn five of their last ten league games (W4, L1).
- Nine of Bolton's draws this season have come away from home.
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Our Cardiff vs Bolton Prediction
Our prediction for the Cardiff City vs. Bolton Wanderers League One match is: A Draw.
Both of these teams have hit some indifferent form as we head into the last few games of the season. That is a concern for both managers as they seek to secure either automatic promotion or a playoff spot. Both teams need a win, but with both teams finding draws rather than wins of late, the data does strongly suggest that the draw is the bet to back.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Bolton
| Cardiff vs Bolton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 1.92 | 1.84 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.1 | +13.9% |
| Bolton wins | 3.35 | 3.92 | +17.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.9% and is now 25.5% (-4.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Cardiff vs. Bolton game

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Cardiff and Bolton when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on League One!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.