Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie Great Britain
Cameron Norrie ATP 45
29/04/2025 07:40
Gabriel Diallo Canada
Gabriel Diallo ATP 169

Prediction :

 

Norrie to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

On his fourth straight appearance at the Madrid Masters, Cameron Norrie will proceed to the third round. Here he faces Gabriel Diallo for the first time, and the winner will meet Grigor Dimitrov or Jacob Fearnley. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Main draw victories haven't come a lot for Norrie, but he's landed favorable draws so far. He has faced the inexperienced Martin Landaluce and Jiri Lehecka, who is struggling for fitness.

In both matches, Norrie scored three-set wins, recovering from the first-round loss in Barcelona. The Brit arrived in Madrid on a losing run but has so far stretched his record to 11-11.  

Diallo is playing a third Masters tournament as a lucky loser and will hope for a deeper run here. At Indian Wells and Miami, he exited in the second round, so being in the third here is some achievement.

Diallo, here in Madrid, has also seen his first main draw win on clay at the Masters level. In the second round, he needed over two hours to see off Kamil Majchrzak in three sets.

He has seized the second chance handed to him after the loss to Borna Coric at the qualification stage. The Canadian has compiled a 16-13 record so far, with five of his wins coming on clay.

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Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Form

Cameron Norrie and Gabriel Diallo Last Matches

Cameron Norrie Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Cameron Norrie

15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Karen Khachanov
2 :  1
Cameron Norrie

9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Jiri Lehecka

5 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Cameron Norrie
2 :  0
Luca Nardi

24 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie
Gabriel Diallo Last matches
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gabriel Diallo
0 :  2
Borna Ćorić

2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Gabriel Diallo

1 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  0
Chun Hsin Tseng

17 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  1
Yosuke Watanuki

7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

24 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Gabriel Diallo
0 :  2
Tommy Paul
Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Cameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo Key Points

  1. Diallo lost twice in his last five matches.
  2. Norrie has a 6-3 record at the Madrid Open.
  3. Norrie won his last two matches in three sets.
  4. Five of Norrie’s last 10 matches needed a deciding set.
  5. Diallo failed to win a set in only two of his last nine matches.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Diallo is quite inexperienced at this stage, and this could work against the lucky loser, facing the seasoned Norrie. As the Canadian makes his Madrid debut, Norrie will be targeting advancing from the third round here for the first time.

His chances will be helped also by the fact that this season Diallo hadn’t gone past the second round at any event before Madrid. Diallo rode his luck in the last two outings, and this could be the end of it. Our prediction for Cameron Norrie v Gabriel Diallo is for Norrie to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Norrie to win in three sets

 
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